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First Physicians Capital Group Inc (FPCG) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $10.1M · ISIN US33613R2094

FP First Physicians Capital Group Inc logo First Physicians Capital Group Inc FPCG · US
Price from Aug 21, 2026$1,025
Fair Value$1,196
Upside+16.7%
Quality59/100
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Strengths

Trades 14% below our fair value of $1,196
Highly profitable · 38.8% net margin
Ranks above peers (8/9)
Wide moat 91/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.1 %/yr)
!Moderate debt
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.1 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 38.8% net margin
Moderate debt
Ranks above peers (8/9)
Wide moat 91/100
Evidence: Medium Range $790.96 – $1,708 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

A solid business, trading 14% below our fair value.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($790.96 to $1,708) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $790.96 (bear) to $1,708 (bull), base $1,196. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1,500 $8.58 Fair Value $1,196 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.58 – $1,500 · fair‑value band $790.96 – $1,708 · the $1,025 price screens below the $1,196 fair value. 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

First Physicians Capital Group Inc (FPCG) currently trades at $1,025, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1,196, implying the stock looks roughly 16.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, First Physicians Capital Group Inc generated revenue of $23.1M at a net margin of 38.8%. Revenue grew 32.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 68.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.1. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $790.96 (bear case) to $1,708 (bull case); at $1,025, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 17%, FPCG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3,187 $5,440 $8,961 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4,224 $7,999 $15,884 74
ROIC Compounder $4,673 $6,575 $8,759 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3,435 $5,008 $9,597 38
5Y Revenue Exit $3,779 $6,939 $13,555 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $5,360 $10,129 $19,487 41
5Y P/E Exit $7,173 $17,466 $31,624 38
10Y Revenue Exit $3,500 $8,160 $11,120 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $4,625 $11,061 $22,354 37
10Y P/E Exit $5,756 $14,387 $28,807 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3,994 $27,853 $39,088 54
Lynch FV $14,390 $20,557 $26,724 50
PEG = 1.0 $14,390 $20,557 $26,724 46
EPV $3,731 $4,236 $4,646 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $9,691 $12,922 $16,152 63
P/S Multiple $5,179 $6,905 $8,632 58
P/B Multiple $3,188 $4,250 $5,313 55
EV/EBIT $7,871 $10,654 $13,437 53
EV/EBITDA $6,407 $8,702 $10,998 54
EV/Revenue $3,664 $5,440 $7,215 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $472.28 $632.85 $944.55 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3,187 $5,440 $8,961 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4,224 $7,999 $15,884 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4,126 $6,990 $133,476 61
ROIC Compounder $4,673 $6,575 $8,759 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $19,102 $27,288 $35,474 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($27,288) versus Asset-Based ($632.85). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 0.1
P/S ratio 0.03 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $10,992 price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1
Net margin 29.8% FY2013
Return on equity 68.9% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -5.6% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 39.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $23.1M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.1% 3y avg -21.1%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 83
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Avem Health Partners, Inc. provides financial, technology, management, and capital solutions to hospitals in rural markets. Its services benefit residents and their physicians, as well as help to sustain and preserve the quality of healthcare services in these communities. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2009 – FY2013 · reported fiscal years

First Physicians Capital Group Inc reported revenue of $19.4M in FY2013 versus $39.1M in FY2009, a compound −16.1%/yr. Reported net income was $5.8M in FY2013.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2013)
$19.4M
Latest YoY
+19.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+85.1%
Revenue −16.1%/yr
FY09 $39.1M
FY10 $39.5M
FY11 $6.7M
FY12 $16.2M
FY13 $19.4M
Net income
FY09 −$10.1M
FY10 −$9.5M
FY11 −$472K
FY12 $5.6M
FY13 $5.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "First Physicians Capital Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FPCG

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 267 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +17% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 69% · Top 25%
Return on assets 16% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.61× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE56 · sector 26
FUTURE100 · sector 25
PAST100 · sector 30
HEALTH69 · sector 90
DIVIDEND0 · sector 40

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA $427.16 $547.67 +28%
Fresenius SE FRE €46.20 €32.15 -30%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 241.00 SAR 112.37 SAR -53%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.67 SGD 1.44 SGD -46%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $274.19 $330.25 +20%
DaVita Inc DVA $180.05 $186.49 +4%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,818 ₹2,955 -66%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FME €39.92 €71.28 +79%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 ¥8.25 ¥7.67 -7%
Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH ₹1,005 ₹284.87 -72%

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Frequently asked questions

Is First Physicians Capital Group Inc (FPCG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1,196 versus the last price from Aug 21, 2026 of $1,025, about +17% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FPCG?
Our model-based fair value for First Physicians Capital Group Inc is $1,196 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 21, 2026): $1,025.
What is the quality score of FPCG?
First Physicians Capital Group Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of First Physicians Capital Group Inc (FPCG)?
First Physicians Capital Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $23.1M (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FPCG?
The net profit margin of First Physicians Capital Group Inc is about 38.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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