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Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. €0.06, price €0.35, upside -82.9%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · GR · ISIN GRS346003007

FS Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Frigoglass S.A.I.C.

FRIGO · AT

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €0.0595 · Strongly overvalued (−83%)
!Quality 58/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −43.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/13)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€1.00 €0.1720 Fair Value €0.0595 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.1720 – €1.00 · fair‑value band €0.0425 – €0.0850 · the €0.3470 price screens above the €0.0595 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Frigoglass S.A.I.C., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, trades in, and distributes commercial refrigeration units and packaging materials for the beverage industry. The company operates through Ice Cold Merchandise Operations and Glass Operations segments.

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Frigoglass S.A.I.C., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, trades in, and distributes commercial refrigeration units and packaging materials for the beverage industry. The company operates through Ice Cold Merchandise Operations and Glass Operations segments. It also offers glass containers and bottles, plastic crates, metal crowns, and other containers primarily for soft drinks, beer, food, spirits, cosmetics, and pharmaceutical industries. In addition, the company provides integrated, standard and post warranty, repair call management, rebranding and refurbishment, one-to-one placement, spare parts management, preventive maintenance, and technical training services. It operates in east Europe, west Europe, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia. Frigoglass S.A.I.C. was founded in 1996 and is based in Athens, Greece.

Stock analysis

Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO) currently trades at €0.3470, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.0595, implying the stock looks roughly 483.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €0.0700 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the €0.3470 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €0.0600, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €0.0425 (bear) to €0.0850 (bull), the price of €0.3470 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Frigoglass S.A.I.C. reported revenue of €18.9M in FY2025 versus €333M in FY2020, a compound −43.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€651K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €42.0M · P/S ratio 2.24 · EPS (TTM) €−0.0100 · Net margin −3.5% · Return on equity −11.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.1% · Operating margin 5.5% · Revenue (TTM) €18.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −83%, FRIGO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.0425 Fair Value €0.0595 Bull €0.0850
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €0.0600 €0.0800 €0.1200 80
Growth DCF €0.0600 €0.0800 €0.1200 78
Owner Earnings €0.0500 €0.0700 €0.1000 77
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.0600 €0.0800 €0.1200 80
Owner Earnings €0.0500 €0.0700 €0.1000 77
5Y Revenue Exit €0.0500 €0.0700 €0.0900 74
5Y EBITDA Exit €0.0600 €0.0900 €0.1200 76
10Y Revenue Exit €0.0500 €0.0600 €0.0800 68
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.0600 €0.0800 €0.1000 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €0.0700 €0.0900 €0.1100 67
EV/Revenue €0.0400 €0.0600 €0.0800 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.0400 €0.0600 €0.0800 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.0600 €0.0800 €0.1200 78
Rev-Margin DCF €0.0500 €0.0700 €0.0900 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 14/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−43.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −27.2% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.9% (2020) → −1.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

FRIGO screens 483% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 827 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.15× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.79× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.54× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 88.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 76.3× · Priciest 25%
PEG 21.39× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $955.04 $210.47 −78%
SIE SIE €274.80 €150.42 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $440.00 $173.12 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $974.98 $494.81 −49%
Cummins Inc CMI $524.65 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $273.42 $151.39 −45%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.59 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $432.89 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 383.50 kr 193.39 −50%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Frigoglass S.A.I.C. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FRIGO

Frequently asked questions

Is Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.0595 versus a price of €0.3470, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FRIGO?
Our model-based fair value for Frigoglass S.A.I.C. is €0.0595 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.3470.
What is the quality score of FRIGO?
Frigoglass S.A.I.C. has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.0595 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.0425, optimistic scenario €0.0850. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Frigoglass S.A.I.C. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.0595, about −83% upside versus a price of €0.3470 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.0425, optimistic scenario €0.0850. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
Frigoglass S.A.I.C. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €18.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Frigoglass S.A.I.C. would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -43.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FRIGO use?
Our models discount Frigoglass S.A.I.C. at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for Greece. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Frigoglass S.A.I.C. that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Frigoglass S.A.I.C. grew -43.7 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.29 %: that much free cash flow Frigoglass S.A.I.C. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Frigoglass S.A.I.C. it is €0.0595 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €0.3470. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Frigoglass S.A.I.C. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FRIGO trades above its calculated fair value: price €0.3470, fair value €0.0595, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FRIGO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.3470); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.0595). For Frigoglass S.A.I.C. the two are €0.2875 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Frigoglass S.A.I.C. worth?
The market values Frigoglass S.A.I.C. at about €42.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €0.3470; our models calculate a fair value of €0.0595 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FRIGO?
Our models span a range for Frigoglass S.A.I.C.: cautious scenario €0.0425, base €0.0595, optimistic €0.0850 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €0.3470). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of FRIGO?
The PEG ratio of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. is 21.39 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −11.1%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FRIGO from its 52-week high?
Frigoglass S.A.I.C. trades at €0.3470, about 34% below its 52-week high of €0.5240 and 16% above the low of €0.3000 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.0595 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Frigoglass S.A.I.C.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Frigoglass S.A.I.C. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €0.3470, calculated fair value €0.0595 (−83%), Quality Score 58/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FRIGO calculated?
We run Frigoglass S.A.I.C. through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.0595, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Frigoglass S.A.I.C. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €0.3470. Our model-based fair value is €0.0595, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Frigoglass S.A.I.C. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.0850). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€0.0425 to €0.0850) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Frigoglass S.A.I.C.

How large is the market capitalisation of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
The market capitalisation of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. is €42.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. is 2.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
Earnings per share at Frigoglass S.A.I.C. are €−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
The net margin of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. is −3.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. is −11.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. is −6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
The operating margin of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
Revenue at Frigoglass S.A.I.C. is growing +25.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −63.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO)?
Earnings per share at Frigoglass S.A.I.C. are growing −72.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Frigoglass S.A.I.C. (FRIGO) carry?
The net debt of Frigoglass S.A.I.C. is €1.6M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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