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Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (FRIGO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · TR · Market cap 2.0B TRY (≈ $41.7M) · ISIN TRAFRIGO91A8

What is Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS really worth?

FP Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS FRIGO · IS
Price2.34 TRY
Fair Value1.76 TRY
Upside−24.8%
Quality29/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 33% above our fair value of 1.76 TRY.

As of Aug 28, 2026, the fair value of Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 1.76 TRY per share against a price of 2.34 TRY, so the fair value sits 25% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +62.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -21.8% net margin
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range 1.21 TRY – 2.32 TRY

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price +6.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (1.21 TRY to 2.32 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3.61 TRY 0.3683 TRY Fair Value 1.76 TRY May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.3683 TRY – 3.61 TRY · fair‑value band 1.21 TRY – 2.32 TRY · the 2.34 TRY price screens above the 1.76 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (FRIGO) currently trades at 2.34 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.76 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 33.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 3.64 TRY per share, and 5 of the 7 models we run sit above the 2.34 TRY price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.9800 TRY, and 2 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS generated revenue of 1.2B TRY at a net margin of −21.8%. Revenue declined 18.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −19.5%. Net debt stands at 74.5M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.21 TRY (bear case) to 2.32 TRY (bull case); at 2.34 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −25%, FRIGO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 2.41 TRY 3.64 TRY 7.45 TRY 74
Growth DCF 2.28 TRY 4.20 TRY 7.30 TRY 73
5Y Revenue Exit 1.82 TRY 2.98 TRY 5.41 TRY 68
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.41 TRY 3.64 TRY 7.45 TRY 74
5Y Revenue Exit 1.82 TRY 2.98 TRY 5.41 TRY 68
10Y Revenue Exit 1.97 TRY 4.00 TRY 5.24 TRY 64
Multiples
EV/Revenue 1.45 TRY 2.00 TRY 2.56 TRY 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.7300 TRY 0.9800 TRY 1.47 TRY 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.28 TRY 4.20 TRY 7.30 TRY 73
Rev-Margin DCF 1.99 TRY 3.39 TRY 6.33 TRY 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (3.64 TRY) versus Asset-Based (0.9800 TRY). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.73 TTM
EPS (TTM) −0.3100 TRY
Net margin −24.2% FY2025
Return on equity −19.5% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8% avg 5y
Operating margin −13.9% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.2B TRY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −18.6% 3y avg +43.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +509%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 121M TRY FY2025
Net debt 74.5M TRY FY2024 · ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 16
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells frozen and canned fruit, vegetable juice, fruit juice, fruit and vegetable purees, and tomato pastes in Turkey.

Full company description

Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells frozen and canned fruit, vegetable juice, fruit juice, fruit and vegetable purees, and tomato pastes in Turkey. It offers mandarin, red grapefruit, apple, orange, cherry, mango, tomato, pineapple, pomegranate, and black grape juices under the Sunpride brand, as well as carbonated beverages, such as soft drinks, colas, and sodas. The company also provides frozen fruits and vegetables, including blackberry, raspberry, strawberry, sour cherry, black cherry, pomegranate, orange, grapefruit, mandarin, orange peel, plum, fig, pepper, and roasted eggplant; canned foods, such as mandarin, grapefruit, orange, black cherry, pomegranate, sour cherry, plum, and strawberry; and canned vegetables, such as red pepper, green pepper, artichokes, roasted red pepper, and red kidney beans. It exports its products. Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 1.2B TRY in FY2025 versus 160M TRY in FY2021, a compound +66.3%/yr. Reported net income was −297M TRY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2B TRY
Latest YoY
+11.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+43.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+62.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.4%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
26.0% (2020) → −23.6% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +66.3%/yr
FY21 160M TRY
FY22 415M TRY
FY23 1.1B TRY
FY24 1.1B TRY
FY25 1.2B TRY
Net income
FY21 7.2M TRY
FY22 75.0M TRY
FY23 −76.0M TRY
FY24 141M TRY
FY25 −297M TRY

FRIGO screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FRIGO.IS

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 648 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on assets −6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −22% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −14% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −19% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 25
FUTURE0 · sector 21
PAST0 · sector 29
HEALTH100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 78.62 CHF 57.26 −27%
Danone S.A BN €64.28 €48.41 −25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,478 ₹251.94 −83%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.85 $24.59 −1%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.05 ¥21.93 −37%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥25.51 ¥32.50 +27%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.28 ¥9.89 −61%
General Mills, Inc GIS $38.29 $28.32 −26%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.64 SGD 3.89 SGD +7%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,511 ₹1,765 −68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (FRIGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.76 TRY versus a price of 2.34 TRY, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FRIGO?
Our model-based fair value for Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 1.76 TRY (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.34 TRY.
What is the quality score of FRIGO?
Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (FRIGO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.76 TRY (as of Aug 28, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.21 TRY, optimistic scenario 2.32 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.76 TRY, about −25% upside versus a price of 2.34 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.21 TRY, optimistic scenario 2.32 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (FRIGO)?
Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FRIGO?
The net profit margin of Frigo-Pak Gida Maddeleri Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is about −21.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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