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Primis Financial Corp (FRST) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $383M

PF Primis Financial Corp logo Primis Financial Corp FRST · US
Price$16.25
Fair Value$30.68
Upside+88.8%
Quality56/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 23.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.63% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range $23.01 – $38.36 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $31.50 to $30.68 (−2.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +5.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 89% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($23.01). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.65 $6.35 Fair Value $30.68 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.35 – $16.65 · fair‑value band $23.01 – $38.36 · the $16.25 price screens below the $30.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Primis Financial Corp (FRST) currently trades at $16.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.68, implying the stock looks roughly 88.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Primis Financial Corp generated revenue of $198M at a net margin of 23.3%. Revenue declined 22.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. Net debt stands at $119M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $23.01 (bear case) to $38.36 (bull case); at $16.25, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 89%, FRST screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $15.83 $19.37 $44.11 76
Gordon GGM $3.10 $5.58 $7.68 70
P/E Multiple $24.18 $32.24 $40.31 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.10 $5.58 $7.68 70
DDM Multi-Stage $3.10 $5.10 $5.96 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $24.18 $32.24 $40.31 63
P/B Multiple $17.93 $23.90 $29.88 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.54 $11.44 $17.07 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $15.83 $19.37 $44.11 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($23.90) versus Dividend Discount ($5.10). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $198M
Revenue growth (YoY) -22.7%
Net margin 23.3%
Return on equity 11.5%
Free cash flow $9.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.3
More key figures
Operating margin 25.1%
EPS (TTM) $1.87
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -67.6%
Net debt $119M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 83
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Primis Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Primis Bank that provides various financial services to individuals, and small and medium sized businesses in the United States.

Full company description

Primis Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Primis Bank that provides various financial services to individuals, and small and medium sized businesses in the United States. The company offers deposit products, including checking, NOW, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposits; and commercial deposit products comprising investment/sweep accounts, wire transfer services, employer services/payroll processing services, zero balance accounts, night depository services, depository transfers, merchant services, ACH originations, business debit cards, controlled disbursement accounts, and remote deposit capture services. It also provides commercial lending products, such as loans consist of lines of credit, revolving credit facilities, demand loans, term loans, equipment loans, SBA loans, stand-by letters of credit, and unsecured loans; loans for permanent financing; construction loans for commercial, multi-family, assisted living and other non-residential properties, and builder/developer lines; second asset based lending; SBA lending; financing for medical, dental, and veterinary businesses; and warehouse lending lines of credit to residential mortgage originators. In addition, the company provides consumer lending products comprising residential mortgage, home equity lines of credit, secured and unsecured personal loans, life insurance premium financing, and Panacea consumer loans. Further, it offers debit cards, ATM services, notary services, and mobile and online banking. The company was formerly known as Southern National Bancorp of Virginia, Inc. and changed its name to Primis Financial Corp. Primis Financial Corp. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Primis Financial Corp reported revenue of $313M in FY2025 versus $124M in FY2021, a compound +26.1%/yr. Reported net income was $61.4M in FY2025, compounding +18.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$313M
Latest YoY
+23.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.9%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.2%
Revenue +26.1%/yr
FY21 $124M
FY22 $142M
FY23 $136M
FY24 $254M
FY25 $313M
Net income +18.5%/yr
FY21 $31.1M
FY22 $14.1M
FY23 $9.9M
FY24 −$16.2M
FY25 $61.4M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +7.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.4 pp

of which total revenue +19.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −9.0 pp

EBIT margin −3.6 pp
Tax rate +2.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Primis Financial Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FRST

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +89% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -23% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.91× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.93× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 42.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 46 · sector 41
HEALTH 84 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 53 · sector 49

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Primis Financial Corp (FRST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.68 versus a price of $16.25, about +89% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FRST?
Our model-based fair value for Primis Financial Corp is $30.68 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $16.25.
What is the quality score of FRST?
Primis Financial Corp has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Primis Financial Corp (FRST)?
Primis Financial Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $198M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FRST?
The net profit margin of Primis Financial Corp is about 23.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Primis Financial Corp pay a dividend?
Primis Financial Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.63% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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