Five Star Bancorp (FSBC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.0B

Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
• For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.22 – $49.68 · fair‑value band $28.10 – $46.83 · the $46.08 price screens above the $37.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Five Star Bancorp (FSBC) currently trades at $46.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.47, implying the stock looks roughly 18.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Five Star Bancorp generated revenue of $158M at a net margin of 42.6%. Revenue grew 26.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $421M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $28.10 (bear case) to $46.83 (bull case); at $46.08, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -19%, FSBC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($29.20) versus Dividend Discount ($10.22). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Five Star Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Five Star Bank that provides banking products and services to small and medium-sized businesses, professionals, and individuals primarily in Northern California. The company offers deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, and term certificate accounts, as well as time deposits.

Full company description

Five Star Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Five Star Bank that provides banking products and services to small and medium-sized businesses, professionals, and individuals primarily in Northern California. The company offers deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, and term certificate accounts, as well as time deposits. It also provides debit cards, remote deposit capture, online banking, mobile banking, and direct deposit services. In addition, the company offers loan products, such as commercial real estate loans; commercial land and construction loans; residential real estate and construction loans; farmland loans; the U.S. small business administration loans; and consumer and other loans, as well as operating lines of credit. Further, its investment portfolio consists of U.S. government agency securities, mortgage-backed securities, and obligations of states and political subdivisions. Five Star Bancorp was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Rancho Cordova, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Five Star Bancorp reported revenue of $255M in FY2025 versus $87.8M in FY2021, a compound +30.6%/yr. Reported net income was $61.6M in FY2025, compounding +9.8%/yr from FY2021.

FSBC screens 19% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.