Fuel Tech, Inc (FTEK) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $48.0M

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

• The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
• Our model range runs from $1.05 (bear) to $1.63 (bull), base $1.34. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9150 – $3.63 · fair‑value band $1.05 – $1.63 · the $1.40 price screens above the $1.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Fuel Tech, Inc (FTEK) currently trades at $1.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.34, implying the stock looks roughly 4.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Fuel Tech, Inc generated revenue of $26.4M at a net margin of -11.2%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $11.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.05 (bear case) to $1.63 (bull case); at $1.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -4%, FTEK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($1.68) versus Dividend Discount ($0.4600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Fuel Tech, Inc. engages in the development, commercialization, and application of technologies for air pollution control, process optimization, water treatment, and advanced engineering services to utility and industrial customers in the United States, rest of the Americas, Europe, South Africa, the Pacific Rim, and internationally.

Full company description

Fuel Tech, Inc. engages in the development, commercialization, and application of technologies for air pollution control, process optimization, water treatment, and advanced engineering services to utility and industrial customers in the United States, rest of the Americas, Europe, South Africa, the Pacific Rim, and internationally. The Air Pollution Control Technology segment offers technologies to reduce nitrogen oxide emissions (NOx) in flue gas from boilers, incinerators, furnaces, and other stationary combustion sources; NOxOUT selected non-catalytic reduction and selected catalytic reduction systems, including ammonia injection grid and graduated straightening grid systems; electrostatic precipitator processes and services; ULTRA technology; urea direct injection systems; and flue gas conditioning systems. Its FUEL CHEM Technology segment provides chemical injection programs to improve the efficiency, reliability, fuel flexibility, boiler heat rate, and environmental status of combustion units for the control of slagging, fouling, corrosion, opacity, and acid plume, as well as the formation of sulfur trioxide, ammonium bisulfate, particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, and carbon dioxide through the addition of chemicals into the furnace using targeted in-furnace injection technology. This segment also offers its FUEL CHEM program for plants operating in the electric utility, industrial, pulp and paper, waste-to-energy, and university and district heating markets; and the owners of boilers, furnaces, and other combustion units for treating a wide variety of solid and liquid fuels, including coal, heavy oil, black liquor, biomass, and municipal waste. In addition, the company provides dissolved gas infusion systems, which utilize a proprietary channel injector and a patented saturator that infuses oxygen, carbon dioxide, or other gases into water; and visualization software. Fuel Tech, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Warrenville, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fuel Tech, Inc reported revenue of $26.7M in FY2025 versus $24.3M in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.3M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Pollution & Treatment Controls · 91 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Pollution & Treatment Controls median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.