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Formycon AG (FYB) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · DE · Market cap €321M

FA Formycon AG FYB · XETRA
Price€18.68
Fair Value€48.60
Upside+160.2%
Quality31/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -108.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Low Range €37.29 – €59.91 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −0.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 160% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€37.29). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€92.50 €16.82 Fair Value €48.60 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €16.82 – €92.50 · fair‑value band €37.29 – €59.91 · the €18.68 price screens below the €48.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Formycon AG (FYB) currently trades at €18.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €48.60, implying the stock looks roughly 160.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €44.5M. Revenue declined 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €59.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €37.29 (bear case) to €59.91 (bull case); at €18.68, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 160%, FYB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA €37.83 €49.14 €60.45 54
NCAV (Graham) €11.29 €15.13 €22.58 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €37.83 €49.14 €60.45 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €11.29 €15.13 €22.58 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (€49.14) versus Asset-Based (€15.13). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €44.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) -12.6%
Net margin -145%
Return on equity -15.0%
Free cash flow −€44.1M FY2025
Operating margin 41.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-3.66
EPS growth (YoY) -98.2%
Net cash €59.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 35
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Formycon AG, a biotechnology company, develops biosimilar drugs in Germany and Switzerland. It provides ranibizumab and aflibercept used in the treatment of neovascular age-related macular degeneration, diabetic macular edema, choroidal neovascularization, proliferative diabetic retinopathy, and macular edema under the Ranivisio, Ongavia, Cimerli, Ranopto, …

Full company description

Formycon AG, a biotechnology company, develops biosimilar drugs in Germany and Switzerland. It provides ranibizumab and aflibercept used in the treatment of neovascular age-related macular degeneration, diabetic macular edema, choroidal neovascularization, proliferative diabetic retinopathy, and macular edema under the Ranivisio, Ongavia, Cimerli, Ranopto, Uptera, and Ravegza brand names, as well as AHZANTIVE, Baiama, and Fovlya brand names. The company's pipeline includes ustekinumab used in the treatment of Crohn's disease, ulcerative colitis, Plaque Psoriasis, and Psoriatic Arthritis under the Otulf, Fymskina, and Sitovab brand names. It is also developing pembrolizumab for the treatment of immuno-oncology diseases, such as advanced melanoma, non-small cell bronchial carcinoma, hodgkin's lymphoma, urothelial carcinomas, tumors in the head and neck area, other tumor diseases; and FYB208 and FYB209 that is indicated for immunology areas. The company was formerly known as Nanohale AG and changed its name to Formycon AG in 2012. Formycon AG was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Planegg, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Formycon AG reported revenue of €44.5M in FY2025 versus €36.6M in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€64.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 4/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€44.5M
Latest YoY
−36.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+61.9%
Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY21 €36.6M
FY22 €42.5M
FY23 €77.7M
FY24 €69.7M
FY25 €44.5M
Net income
FY21 −€13.3M
FY22 €36.0M
FY23 €75.8M
FY24 −€126M
FY25 −€64.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Formycon AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FYB

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +160% · Top 25%
Return on assets -3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -109% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -56% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 147% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.93× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 7.09× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 25.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Formycon AG (FYB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €48.60 versus a price of €18.68, about +160% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FYB?
Our model-based fair value for Formycon AG is €48.60 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €18.68.
What is the quality score of FYB?
Formycon AG has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Formycon AG (FYB)?
Formycon AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €44.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FYB?
The net profit margin of Formycon AG is about -145.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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