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Galapagos NV (G1LP34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 14, 2026: fair value of Galapagos NV BRL 20.50, price BRL 7.82, upside +162.2%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Healthcare · BR

GN Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Galapagos NV

G1LP34 · SA

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value R$20.50 · Strongly undervalued (+162.2%)
✓Quality 70/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +58.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 46.8% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (6/7)
✓Wide moat 72/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$22.56 R$6.56 Fair Value R$20.50 Mar 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$6.56 – R$22.56 · fair‑value band R$10.18 – R$28.35 · the R$7.82 price screens below the R$20.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV, a biotechnology company, develops medicines focusing on oncology and immunology primarily in the United States and Europe.

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Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV, a biotechnology company, develops medicines focusing on oncology and immunology primarily in the United States and Europe. The company's pipeline products comprise GLPG3667, which is in a phase 2 clinical trial in dermatomyositis and systemic lupus erythematosus; GLPG5101, a CD19 CAR-T product candidate manufactured at point-of-care, currently in a phase 1/2 trial in relapsed/refractory non-hodgkin lymphoma; and GLPG5301, a BCMA CAR-T product candidate manufactured at point-of-care, currently in phase 1/2 in relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma. The company has collaboration agreements with Gilead Sciences, Inc. The company was formerly known as Galapagos NV and changed its name to Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV in May 2026. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Mechelen, Belgium.

Stock analysis

Galapagos NV (G1LP34) currently trades at R$7.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$20.50, implying the stock looks roughly 61.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$66.40 per share, and 15 of the 15 models we run sit above the R$7.82 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$9.66, and 0 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: R$10.18 (bear) to R$28.35 (bull), the price of R$7.82 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Galapagos NV reported revenue of €1.1B in FY2025 versus €234M in FY2021, a compound +47.6%/yr. Reported net income was €321M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap R$9.1B (≈ $1.7B) · P/E ratio 3.6 · P/S ratio 1.03 · EPS (TTM) R$2.18 · Net margin 28.9% · Return on equity 16.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8% · Operating margin −983%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 162%, G1LP34 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$10.18 Fair Value R$20.50 Bull R$28.35
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$1.65 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV R$8.70 R$9.83 R$10.77 68
Residual Income R$11.88 R$12.87 R$14.92 66
ROIC Compounder R$8.70 R$9.83 R$10.77 66
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings R$21.09 R$43.29 R$84.48 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$9.72 R$67.78 R$95.12 59
Lynch FV R$35.02 R$50.02 R$65.03 57
PEG = 1.0 R$35.02 R$50.02 R$65.03 53
EPV R$8.70 R$9.83 R$10.77 68
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$23.58 R$31.44 R$39.30 63
P/S Multiple R$13.00 R$17.34 R$21.67 58
P/B Multiple R$18.22 R$24.30 R$30.37 55
EV/EBIT R$17.15 R$22.73 R$28.32 63
EV/EBITDA R$16.80 R$22.27 R$27.74 64
EV/Revenue R$10.79 R$15.25 R$19.71 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$7.21 R$9.66 R$14.41 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$11.88 R$12.87 R$14.92 66
ROIC Compounder R$8.70 R$9.83 R$10.77 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$46.48 R$66.40 R$86.32 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+303.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+58.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+23.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−73% → 27%
2025 sits 125% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.

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Compare Galapagos NV with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 624 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/7 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +162.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 46.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −91.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)65 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 22

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $527.67 $580.44 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $752.25 $1,275 +69%
argenx SE ARGX $959.49 $918.60 −4%
CSL Limited CSL A$175.35 A$192.89 +10%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,354,000 KRW 1,489,400 KRW +10%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $360.85 $280.94 −22%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $255.96 $217.88 −15%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.21 $19.01 −67%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$53.00 HK$58.30 +10%

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Galapagos NV · Fair Value
R$20.50 +62%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Galapagos NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/G1LP34

Frequently asked questions

Is Galapagos NV (G1LP34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$20.50 versus the last price from Jul 14, 2026 of R$7.82, about +162% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of G1LP34?
Our model-based fair value for Galapagos NV is R$20.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 14, 2026): R$7.82.
What is the quality score of G1LP34?
Galapagos NV has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$20.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$10.18, optimistic scenario R$28.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Galapagos NV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$20.50, about +162% upside versus the last price from Jul 14, 2026 of R$7.82 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R$10.18, optimistic scenario R$28.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
Galapagos NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$1.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Galapagos NV it is R$20.50 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R$7.82. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Galapagos NV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, G1LP34 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$7.82, fair value R$20.50, a gap of about +162% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of G1LP34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$7.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$20.50). For Galapagos NV the two are R$12.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Galapagos NV worth?
The market values Galapagos NV at about R$9.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R$7.82; our models calculate a fair value of R$20.50 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about G1LP34?
Our models span a range for Galapagos NV: cautious scenario R$10.18, base R$20.50, optimistic R$28.35 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R$7.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of G1LP34?
Galapagos NV trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$20.50 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Galapagos NV (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is G1LP34 from its 52-week high?
Galapagos NV trades at R$7.82, about 22% below its 52-week high of R$10.00 and 14% above the low of R$6.88 (as of Jul 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$20.50 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Galapagos NV?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, CSL Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Galapagos NV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R$7.82, calculated fair value R$20.50 (+162%), Quality Score 70/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of G1LP34 calculated?
We run Galapagos NV through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$20.50, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Galapagos NV currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 14, 2026 and stands at R$7.82. Our model-based fair value is R$20.50, about +162% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Galapagos NV right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$10.18). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (R$10.18 to R$28.35). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Galapagos NV

How large is the market capitalisation of Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
The market capitalisation of Galapagos NV is R$9.1B (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Galapagos NV is 1.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
Earnings per share at Galapagos NV are R$2.18 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
The net margin of Galapagos NV is 28.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Galapagos NV is 16.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Galapagos NV is −0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
The operating margin of Galapagos NV is −983% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
Revenue at Galapagos NV is growing −91.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +58.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Galapagos NV (G1LP34)?
Earnings per share at Galapagos NV are growing +30.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Galapagos NV (G1LP34) generate?
The free cash flow of Galapagos NV is −R$271M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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