GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L ₹204, price ₹151, upside +35.0%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Ganesh Consumer Products Limited operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in India.
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Ganesh Consumer Products Limited operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in India. It offers a range of consumer staples comprising wheat flour products; wheat and gram-based value-added flour products, including refined wheat flour, semolina flour, roasted gram flour, gram flour, cracked wheat, and other products; and other food products, such as packaged instant food mixes, spices, snacks, and flours. The company offers its products under the Ganesh brand name. Ganesh Consumer Products Limited was formerly known as Ganesh Grains Limited and changed its name to Ganesh Consumer Products Limited in August 2024. The company was founded in 1936 and is based in Kolkata, India. Ganesh Consumer Products Limited operates as a subsidiary of Srivaru Agro Limited.
Stock analysis
GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP) currently trades at ₹151.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹204.46, implying the stock looks roughly 25.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹217.15 per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹151.41 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹61.42, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹125.42 (bear) to ₹269.27 (bull), the price of ₹151.41 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L reported revenue of ₹8.7B in FY2026 versus ₹4.5B in FY2022, a compound +17.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹424M in FY2026, compounding +11.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹8.0B (≈ $83.4M) · P/E ratio 13.7 · P/S ratio 0.67 · EPS (TTM) ₹11.04 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 14.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at 35%, GANESHCP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹125.42Fair Value ₹204.46Bull ₹269.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹3.04 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 7%
2026 sits 56% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.8% a year for the price.
Compare GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 644 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+35.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−0.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GANESHCP
Frequently asked questions
Is GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹204.46 versus a price of ₹151.41, about +35% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GANESHCP?
Our model-based fair value for GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L is ₹204.46 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹151.41.
What is the quality score of GANESHCP?
GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹204.46 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹125.42, optimistic scenario ₹269.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹204.46, about +35% upside versus a price of ₹151.41 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹125.42, optimistic scenario ₹269.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹8.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L pay a dividend?
GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L would have to grow free cash flow by +16.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +17.9 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GANESHCP use?
Our models discount GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L at 15.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L that is +16.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L grew +17.9 % a year. The price currently implies +16.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (+16.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.84 %: that much free cash flow GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L it is ₹204.46 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹151.41. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, GANESHCP trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹151.41, fair value ₹204.46, a gap of about +35% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GANESHCP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹151.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹204.46). For GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L the two are ₹53.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L worth?
The market values GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L at about ₹8.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹151.41; our models calculate a fair value of ₹204.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GANESHCP?
Our models span a range for GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L: cautious scenario ₹125.42, base ₹204.46, optimistic ₹269.27 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹151.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GANESHCP?
GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.7 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹204.46 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
Balance-sheet figures for GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 14.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GANESHCP from its 52-week high?
GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L trades at ₹151.41, about 50% below its 52-week high of ₹302.95 and at the low of ₹151.41 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹204.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹151.41, calculated fair value ₹204.46 (+35%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GANESHCP calculated?
We run GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹204.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L currently trades 26 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ₹151.41. Our model-based fair value is ₹204.46, about +35% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L right now?
Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (₹125.42 to ₹269.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L
How large is the market capitalisation of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
The market capitalisation of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L is ₹8.0B (≈ $83.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L is 0.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
Earnings per share at GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L are ₹11.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
The dividend yield of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L is 3.3% (payout 45.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
The net margin of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L is 4.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L is 14.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L is 12.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
The operating margin of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
Revenue at GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L is growing −0.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP)?
Earnings per share at GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L are growing +88.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L (GANESHCP) carry?
The net debt of GANESH CONSUMER PRODUCT L is ₹491M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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