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Generations Bancorp NY, Inc (GBNY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $34.4M

GB Generations Bancorp NY, Inc logo Generations Bancorp NY, Inc GBNY · US
Price$15.28
Fair Value$3.47
Upside-77.3%
Quality45/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -62.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.6940 – $6.43 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.6940 to $6.43). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$17.95 $5.85 Fair Value $3.47 Aug 2018 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.85 – $17.95 · fair‑value band $0.6940 – $6.43 · the $15.28 price screens above the $3.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Generations Bancorp NY, Inc (GBNY) currently trades at $15.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.47, implying the stock looks roughly 77.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Generations Bancorp NY, Inc generated revenue of $7.6M at a net margin of -62.4%. Revenue declined 34.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.1%. Net debt stands at $14.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.6940 (bear case) to $6.43 (bull case); at $15.28, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -77%, GBNY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.9100 to $9.79). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.9100 $2.56 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.58 $5.67 74
NCAV (Graham) $7.30 $9.79 $14.61 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.9300 $2.81 38
5Y Revenue Exit $2.47 $5.90 39
10Y Revenue Exit $1.53 $4.01 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue $0.5200 $3.47 $6.43 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.30 $9.79 $14.61 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.9100 $2.56 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.58 $5.67 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($9.79) versus Growth DCF ($0.9100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $7.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) -34.0%
Net margin -62.4%
Return on equity -13.1%
Free cash flow $1.7M FY2025
Operating margin -81.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.06
EPS growth (YoY) -92.0%
Net debt $14.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 56
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Generations Bancorp NY, Inc. operates as a holding company for Generations Bank that engages in the provision of various banking products and services. It accepts various deposit accounts, including demand, NOW, money market, savings, and certificates of deposit accounts.

Full company description

Generations Bancorp NY, Inc. operates as a holding company for Generations Bank that engages in the provision of various banking products and services. It accepts various deposit accounts, including demand, NOW, money market, savings, and certificates of deposit accounts. The company provides one- to four-family residential real estate loans, including home equity loans and lines of credit; consumer loans, such as student, automobile, recreational vehicle, manufactured home, and other consumer loans; and commercial real estate and multi-family, consumer business, residential and commercial construction loans. In addition, it invests in securities, including corporate and municipal bonds issued by states, local municipalities, and schools in the northeastern United States; and mortgage-backed securities issued by the U.S. government sponsored entities and Federal Home Loan Bank stock, as well as offers insurance and other financial products. It operates through primary office in Seneca Falls, New York; and eight full-service branch offices and one drive-through facility located in Auburn, Farmington, Geneva, Medina, Phelps, Union Springs, and Waterloo, New York. The company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Seneca Falls, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Generations Bancorp NY, Inc reported revenue of $16.5M in FY2025 versus $14.3M in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$16.5M
Latest YoY
−11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY21 $14.3M
FY22 $13.3M
FY23 $17.0M
FY24 $18.8M
FY25 $16.5M
Net income
FY21 $1.4M
FY22 $1.1M
FY23 −$1.6M
FY24 −$4.8M
FY25 −$4.7M

GBNY screens 77% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Generations Bancorp NY, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GBNY

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -62% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -81% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -34% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.52× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.03× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.49× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 19.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 0 · sector 41
HEALTH 74 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Generations Bancorp NY, Inc (GBNY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.47 versus a price of $15.28, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GBNY?
Our model-based fair value for Generations Bancorp NY, Inc is $3.47 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $15.28.
What is the quality score of GBNY?
Generations Bancorp NY, Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Generations Bancorp NY, Inc (GBNY)?
Generations Bancorp NY, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GBNY?
The net profit margin of Generations Bancorp NY, Inc is about -62.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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