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Data-driven stock valuation

Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. stock ARS 3,081, price ARS 4,915, that is 37.3% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services AR · ISIN ARP495251018

GF Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.

GGAL · BA
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 37% below what the stock costs today.

Positive coverage
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +108.7 %/yr in ARS)
Thin margins · 1.5% net margin (TTM)
Some data
Fair value 3,081 ARS · Strongly overvalued
Quality 29/100
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 30/100 · thin data

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Price drop: Softening loan growth and rising non-performing loans amid macro pressures🚩Fintechs like Mercado Pago gaining bank licences
Watch Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

9,161 ARS 114.30 ARS Fair Value 3,081 ARS May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 114.30 ARS – 9,161 ARS · fair‑value band 2,373 ARS – 4,598 ARS · the 4,915 ARS price screens above the 3,081 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A., a financial service holding company, provides various financial products and services to individuals and companies in Argentina. The company operates through Bank, Naranja X, Insurance, and Other Businesses segments.

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It offers savings, checking, and time deposits; and credit and debit cards.

The company also provides personal loans, salary advance, express loans, AfterPay, Buy Now Pay Later, flexible loans, and overdrafts for individuals; and immediate loans, discount of electronic credit invoice and e-checks, pledge and mortgage loans, Sociedad de Garantía Recíproca loans, Socios de valor, productive line, leasing, and purchase of agricultural inputs for companies.

In addition, the company offers life, home, personal accident, robbery, cars, and other insurance products; fixed term, traditional fixed term, and purchasing value unit investment products; custody of securities; purchase and sale of foreign currency; private banking; and fixed income products, stocks, CEDEARs, secured loans, mutual funds, stock promissory note, structured solutions, and primary issuances; foreign trade; and capital market and investment banking.

Further, it provides online banking services. Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. was founded in 1905 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Stock analysis

Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL) currently trades at 4,915 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,081 ARS, 37% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 4,078 ARS per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the 4,915 ARS price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1,482 ARS, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 2,373 ARS (bear) to 4,598 ARS (bull), the price of 4,915 ARS sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. reported revenue of 8.5T ARS in FY2025 versus 273B ARS in FY2021, a compound +136.6%/yr. Reported net income was 213B ARS in FY2025, compounding +63.9%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 9.7T ARS (≈ $6.3B) Mid · P/E ratio 48.2 · P/S ratio 1.64 · EPS (TTM) 124.90 ARS · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 17.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −37%, GGAL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2,373 ARS Fair Value 3,081 ARS Bull 4,598 ARS
Price 4,915 ARS · Downside -37.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (107.11 ARS per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 2,373 ARS 2,524 ARS 2,738 ARS 75
Gordon GGM 1,050 ARS 1,514 ARS 1,779 ARS 67
DDM Multi-Stage 1,050 ARS 1,449 ARS 1,643 ARS 65
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1,050 ARS 1,514 ARS 1,779 ARS 67
DDM Multi-Stage 1,050 ARS 1,449 ARS 1,643 ARS 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,290 ARS 1,720 ARS 2,150 ARS 61
P/B Multiple 4,828 ARS 6,437 ARS 8,046 ARS 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2,299 ARS 3,081 ARS 4,598 ARS 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,373 ARS 2,524 ARS 2,738 ARS 75

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 14
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 68
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 32
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 54
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 24
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 31
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 63
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+131.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+108.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +84.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in ARS ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in ARS: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+49.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+49.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

GGAL screens overvalued: fair value 37% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (93 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Note from the team Nov 9, 2026
AI conclusion: The regional Argentine bank shows no clear durable advantages while struggling with weak profitability metrics and cash conversion issues amid ongoing volatility.
Main risk: Fintech companies such as Mercado Pago obtaining full banking licences could attract deposits and offer lower-cost digital lending and payment services, eroding the bank's customer base and margins.
Bull case: The bank could leverage its integrated Naranja X fintech platform and ongoing digital investments to retain and attract customers against new digital entrants.
Bear case: If fintech banks capture significant deposit and lending share, the bank could face sustained pressure on funding costs and reduced volumes in core banking products.
Grupo Financiero Galicia shows softening loan growth and rising non-performing loans as credit normalizes after recent acquisitions. Analysts have cut targets and turned more cautious on margins and multiples amid Argentina's macro pressures. Will dollar lending and efficiency gains offset the asset quality and political risks?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 996 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −37.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 1.1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 1.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 17.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −7.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.37× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 48.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.24× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.64× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.02× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.53 ¥7.59 +37% vs GGAL
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.88 ¥52.73 +23% vs GGAL
BNP Paribas SA BNP €91.93 €106.01 +15% vs GGAL
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.18 €4.49 −27% vs GGAL
State Bank of India SBIN ₹1,019 ₹736.65 −28% vs GGAL
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €76.80 €50.44 −34% vs GGAL
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.40 $5.89 −37% vs GGAL
DBS Group D05 69.72 SGD 40.39 SGD −42% vs GGAL
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹788.25 ₹406.39 −48% vs GGAL
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,571 ₹615.63 −61% vs GGAL

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Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GGAL

Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3,081 ARS versus a price of 4,915 ARS, about 37% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GGAL?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. is 3,081 ARS (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4,915 ARS.
What is the quality score of GGAL?
Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3,081 ARS (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2,373 ARS, optimistic scenario 4,598 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3,081 ARS, about 37% lower versus a price of 4,915 ARS (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2,373 ARS, optimistic scenario 4,598 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.9T ARS (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. it is 3,081 ARS per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 4,915 ARS. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, GGAL trades above its calculated fair value: price 4,915 ARS, fair value 3,081 ARS, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GGAL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4,915 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3,081 ARS). For Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. the two are 1,834 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. worth?
The market values Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. at about 9.7T ARS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 4,915 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 3,081 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GGAL?
Our models span a range for Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.: cautious scenario 2,373 ARS, base 3,081 ARS, optimistic 4,598 ARS per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 4,915 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GGAL?
Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 48.2 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3,081 ARS is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 8.6. Other multiples: PEG 0.0, P/B 1.2, P/S 1.6.
What is the PEG ratio of GGAL?
The PEG ratio of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. is 0.02 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GGAL from its 52-week high?
Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. trades at 4,915 ARS, about 43% below its 52-week high of 8,652 ARS and at the low of 4,915 ARS (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3,081 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 4,915 ARS, calculated fair value 3,081 ARS (−37%), Quality Score 29/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GGAL calculated?
We run Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 3,081 ARS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 4,915 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 3,081 ARS, about 37% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4,598 ARS). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (2,373 ARS to 4,598 ARS) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. is 9.7T ARS (≈ $6.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. is 1.64 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. are 124.90 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 48.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
The net margin of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. is 1.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
The operating margin of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. is 17.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
Revenue at Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. is growing −7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +131%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. are growing +12.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. (GGAL) generate?
The free cash flow of Grupo Financiero Galicia S.A. is −1.9T ARS (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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