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Galilee Energy Ltd (GLL) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · AU · Market cap A$10.9M

GE Galilee Energy Ltd GLL · AU
PriceA$0.0040
Fair ValueA$0.0050
Upside+25.0%
Quality28/100
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Strengths

Trades 20% below our fair value of A$0.0050

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −13.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −13.4 %/yr)
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0049 – A$0.0051 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 46 days ago

Share price −33.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, trading 20% below our fair value.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0049). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0049 to A$0.0051), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.7550 A$0.0040 Fair Value A$0.0050 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0040 – A$0.7550 · fair‑value band A$0.0049 – A$0.0051 · the A$0.0040 price screens below the A$0.0050 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

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Analysis

Galilee Energy Ltd (GLL) currently trades at A$0.0040, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0050, implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$183K. Revenue declined 30.6% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0049 (bear case) to A$0.0051 (bull case); at A$0.0040, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 25%, GLL screens cheaper than that median.

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 59.5 TTM
Return on equity -421% TTM
Return on assets -45.8% TTM
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
Revenue (TTM) A$183K TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -30.6% 3y avg -69.1%
More key figures
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −A$2.8M FY2025
Net cash A$2.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Galilee Energy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and evaluation of oil and gas properties in Australia, the United States, and Chile. The company explores coal seam gas assets.

Full company description

Galilee Energy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and evaluation of oil and gas properties in Australia, the United States, and Chile. The company explores coal seam gas assets. Its flagship project is the 100% owned Glenaras gas project, which covers an area of approximately 3,200 square kilometers located in western Queensland's Galilee Basin. The company was formerly known as Eastern Corporation Limited and changed its name to Galilee Energy Limited in June 2010. Galilee Energy Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Galilee Energy Ltd reported revenue of A$183K in FY2025 versus A$6.9M in FY2021, a compound −59.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$183K
Latest YoY
−30.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−69.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.8%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −59.7%/yr
FY21 A$6.9M
FY22 A$6.2M
FY23 A$8.0M
FY24 A$263K
FY25 A$183K
Net income
FY21 −A$18.5M
FY22 −A$19.8M
FY23 −A$8.9M
FY24 −A$3.5M
FY25 −A$3.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Galilee Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GLL

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 328 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +25% · Top 25%
Return on assets -46% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth -31% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 12.33× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 36.00× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 42.50× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE67 · sector 13
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH0 · sector 87
DIVIDEND0 · sector 61

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥32.85 ¥32.55 -1%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $126.78 $90.15 -29%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.57 $31.14 -35%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $153.05 $130.19 -15%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $58.55 $30.06 -49%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $210.02 $105.24 -50%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $44.86 $27.06 -40%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$32.55 A$20.71 -36%
EQT Corporation EQT $54.06 $42.85 -21%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $342.77 $77.26 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Galilee Energy Ltd (GLL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0050 versus a price of A$0.0040, about +25% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GLL?
Our model-based fair value for Galilee Energy Ltd is A$0.0050 (as of Jul 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0040.
What is the quality score of GLL?
Galilee Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Galilee Energy Ltd (GLL)?
Galilee Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$183K (latest available figure, as of Jul 10, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GLL?
The net profit margin of Galilee Energy Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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