Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Guardforce AI Co. Limited $0.05, price $0.05, upside +0.0%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0134 – $3.96 · fair‑value band $0.0400 – $0.0700 · the $0.0500 price screens below the $0.0500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Stock analysis
Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF) currently trades at $0.0500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0500, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.0%).
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.0400 (bear) to $0.0700 (bull), the price of $0.0500 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Guardforce AI Co. Limited reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$303K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $4.0M · Return on equity −18.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.6% · Operating margin −1,358% · Revenue (TTM) $23.0K · Revenue growth (YoY) −96.0% · Free cash flow −C$78.7K · Net cash C$41.1K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 0%, GRDAF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0400Fair Value $0.0500Bull $0.0700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−33.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−80.5%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
’17
’19
’20
’22
’23
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−8,773.3% (2017) → −20,236.0% (2022)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Guardforce AI Co. Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 433 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Above median
Fair Value upside+67.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−8.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−96.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guardforce AI Co. Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRDAF
Frequently asked questions
Is Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0500 versus a price of $0.0500, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GRDAF?
Our model-based fair value for Guardforce AI Co. Limited is $0.0500 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0500.
What is the quality score of GRDAF?
Guardforce AI Co. Limited has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0500 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0400, optimistic scenario $0.0700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guardforce AI Co. Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0500, about +0% upside versus a price of $0.0500 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0400, optimistic scenario $0.0700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF)?
Guardforce AI Co. Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $23.0K (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guardforce AI Co. Limited it is $0.0500 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0500. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guardforce AI Co. Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 24, 2026, GRDAF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0500, fair value $0.0500, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRDAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0500). For Guardforce AI Co. Limited the two are $0.0000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guardforce AI Co. Limited worth?
The market values Guardforce AI Co. Limited at about $4.0M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0500; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRDAF?
Our models span a range for Guardforce AI Co. Limited: cautious scenario $0.0400, base $0.0500, optimistic $0.0700 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026, price $0.0500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guardforce AI Co. Limited (as of Jun 24, 2026): return on equity −18.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRDAF from its 52-week high?
Guardforce AI Co. Limited trades at $0.0500, about 37% below its 52-week high of $0.0798 and 85% above the low of $0.0270 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guardforce AI Co. Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guardforce AI Co. Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 24, 2026: price $0.0500, calculated fair value $0.0500 (+0%), Quality Score 42/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRDAF calculated?
We run Guardforce AI Co. Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Guardforce AI Co. Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0500. Our model-based fair value is $0.0500, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guardforce AI Co. Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Guardforce AI Co. Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF)?
The market capitalisation of Guardforce AI Co. Limited is $4.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guardforce AI Co. Limited is −18.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guardforce AI Co. Limited is 16.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF)?
The operating margin of Guardforce AI Co. Limited is −1,358% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF)?
Revenue at Guardforce AI Co. Limited is growing −96.0% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF) generate?
The free cash flow of Guardforce AI Co. Limited is −C$78.7K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Guardforce AI Co. Limited (GRDAF) hold?
Guardforce AI Co. Limited holds more cash than debt, C$41.1K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Jun 24, 2026