Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Greencoat Renewables PLC €2.34, price €0.78, upside +200.0%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.7540 – €1.18 · fair‑value band €1.32 – €3.95 · the €0.7800 price screens below the €2.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Greencoat Renewables PLC owns and operates renewable energy infrastructure assets in the Republic of Ireland, Germany, France, Sweden, and Spain. As of December 31, 2024, its portfolio consisted of interests in 39 operating assets, such as wind, solar, and battery storage with an aggregate net installed capacity of 1.5 gigawatts.
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Greencoat Renewables PLC owns and operates renewable energy infrastructure assets in the Republic of Ireland, Germany, France, Sweden, and Spain. As of December 31, 2024, its portfolio consisted of interests in 39 operating assets, such as wind, solar, and battery storage with an aggregate net installed capacity of 1.5 gigawatts. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Dublin, the Republic of Ireland.
Stock analysis
Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP) currently trades at €0.7800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.34, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €2.15 per share, and 2 of the 3 models we run sit above the €0.7800 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.6900, and 1 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €1.32 (bear) to €3.95 (bull), the price of €0.7800 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Greencoat Renewables PLC reported revenue of −€38.7M in FY2025 versus €80.6M in FY2021. Reported net income was −€52.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €868M · P/E ratio 15.6 · P/S ratio 8.32 · EPS (TTM) €0.0500 · Dividend yield 8.7% · Net margin −53.4% · Return on equity −4.5% · Return on assets 2.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 200%, GRP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.32Fair Value €2.34Bull €3.95
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.0%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+81.4%
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What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.9% a year for the price.
Compare Greencoat Renewables PLC with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 210 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Above median
Fair Value upside+200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−53% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)94% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)8.7% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
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Is Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.34 versus a price of €0.7800, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GRP?
Our model-based fair value for Greencoat Renewables PLC is €2.34 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.7800.
What is the quality score of GRP?
Greencoat Renewables PLC has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.34 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.32, optimistic scenario €3.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Greencoat Renewables PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.34, about +200% upside versus a price of €0.7800 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.32, optimistic scenario €3.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
Greencoat Renewables PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €98.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Greencoat Renewables PLC pay a dividend?
Greencoat Renewables PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.72% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Greencoat Renewables PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +1.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +23.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GRP use?
Our models discount Greencoat Renewables PLC at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.22, country premium for Ireland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Greencoat Renewables PLC that is +1.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Greencoat Renewables PLC grew +23.0 % a year. The price currently implies +1.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Greencoat Renewables PLC (+1.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.42 %: that much free cash flow Greencoat Renewables PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Greencoat Renewables PLC it is €2.34 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €0.7800. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Greencoat Renewables PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GRP trades below its calculated fair value: price €0.7800, fair value €2.34, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.7800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.34). For Greencoat Renewables PLC the two are €1.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Greencoat Renewables PLC worth?
The market values Greencoat Renewables PLC at about €868M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €0.7800; our models calculate a fair value of €2.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRP?
Our models span a range for Greencoat Renewables PLC: cautious scenario €1.32, base €2.34, optimistic €3.95 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €0.7800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GRP?
Greencoat Renewables PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €2.34 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 10.1, EV/EBITDA 12.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Greencoat Renewables PLC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −4.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRP from its 52-week high?
Greencoat Renewables PLC trades at €0.7800, at its 52-week high of €0.7800 and 3% above the low of €0.7540 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Greencoat Renewables PLC?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Greencoat Renewables PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €0.7800, calculated fair value €2.34 (+200%), Quality Score 50/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRP calculated?
We run Greencoat Renewables PLC through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €2.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Greencoat Renewables PLC currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €0.7800. Our model-based fair value is €2.34, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Greencoat Renewables PLC right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€1.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (€1.32 to €3.95). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Greencoat Renewables PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
The market capitalisation of Greencoat Renewables PLC is €868M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Greencoat Renewables PLC is 8.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
Earnings per share at Greencoat Renewables PLC are €0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
The dividend yield of Greencoat Renewables PLC is 8.7% (payout 136%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
The net margin of Greencoat Renewables PLC is −53.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Greencoat Renewables PLC is −4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the return on assets of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
The return on assets (ROA) of Greencoat Renewables PLC is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to everything the company owns. Harder to inflate than return on equity because debt does not boost it.
What is the operating margin of Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
The operating margin of Greencoat Renewables PLC is 94.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
Revenue at Greencoat Renewables PLC is growing −7.7% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP)?
Earnings per share at Greencoat Renewables PLC are growing −4.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP) carry?
The net debt of Greencoat Renewables PLC is €1.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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