Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · IE · Market cap €800M
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 124% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€1.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (€1.09 to €3.40). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.7420 – €1.18 · fair‑value band €1.09 – €3.40 · the €0.7420 price screens below the €1.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Greencoat Renewables PLC (GRP) currently trades at €0.7420, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.66, implying the stock looks roughly 123.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Greencoat Renewables PLC generated revenue of €98.2M at a net margin of -53.4%. Revenue declined 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.5%. Net debt stands at €1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.09 (bear case) to €3.40 (bull case); at €0.7420, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 124%, GRP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€1.52) versus Asset-Based (€0.6800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Greencoat Renewables PLC owns and operates renewable energy infrastructure assets in the Republic of Ireland, Germany, France, Sweden, and Spain. As of December 31, 2024, its portfolio consisted of interests in 39 operating assets, such as wind, solar, and battery storage with an aggregate net installed capacity of 1.5 gigawatts.
Full company description
Greencoat Renewables PLC owns and operates renewable energy infrastructure assets in the Republic of Ireland, Germany, France, Sweden, and Spain. As of December 31, 2024, its portfolio consisted of interests in 39 operating assets, such as wind, solar, and battery storage with an aggregate net installed capacity of 1.5 gigawatts. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Dublin, the Republic of Ireland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Greencoat Renewables PLC reported revenue of −€38.7M in FY2025 versus €80.6M in FY2021. Reported net income was −€52.4M in FY2025.
Watch GRP: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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