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PT Equity Development Investment Tbk (GSMF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ID · Market cap 1.2T IDR

PE PT Equity Development Investment Tbk GSMF · JK
Price87.00 IDR
Fair Value49.25 IDR
Upside-43.4%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: Medium Range 36.94 IDR – 61.56 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 60.02 IDR to 49.25 IDR (−17.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +4.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 43% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (61.56 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

316.00 IDR 50.00 IDR Fair Value 49.25 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 316.00 IDR · fair‑value band 36.94 IDR – 61.56 IDR · the 87.00 IDR price screens above the 49.25 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Equity Development Investment Tbk (GSMF) currently trades at 87.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 49.25 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 43.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Equity Development Investment Tbk generated revenue of 955B IDR at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue grew 17.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 183B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 36.94 IDR (bear case) to 61.56 IDR (bull case); at 87.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -43%, GSMF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 123.80 IDR 118.66 IDR 96.78 IDR 76
P/E Multiple 36.94 IDR 49.25 IDR 61.56 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 48.30 IDR 64.40 IDR 80.50 IDR 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple 36.94 IDR 49.25 IDR 61.56 IDR 63
P/B Multiple 48.30 IDR 64.40 IDR 80.50 IDR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 86.14 IDR 115.42 IDR 172.28 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 123.80 IDR 118.66 IDR 96.78 IDR 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (118.66 IDR) versus Multiples (49.25 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 955B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.9%
Net margin 7.2%
Return on equity 2.9%
Free cash flow −78.7B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 13.3
More key figures
Operating margin 3.9%
EPS (TTM) 4.80 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -24.8%
Net cash 183B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Equity Development Investment Tbk provides financial products and services in Indonesia. The company operates through four segments: Insurance; Banking and Financing; Stock Administration and Securities; and Holding Company, Travel Services, and Venture Capital.

Full company description

PT Equity Development Investment Tbk provides financial products and services in Indonesia. The company operates through four segments: Insurance; Banking and Financing; Stock Administration and Securities; and Holding Company, Travel Services, and Venture Capital. It offers general insurance products, such as fire, motor vehicles, accident, marine hull, engineering, and marine cargo; and life insurance products, including whole life, term insurance, health assurance, unitised pensions, unit link, pure endowment pensions, mortgage reduction term allowance, and combined endowments, as well as reinsurance services. The company provides financial leasing, consumer financing, and factoring services, as well as health insurance and pension funds; operates as a securities underwriter, securities broker, investment manager, and investment advisor; and venture capital services. In addition, it offers travel and health services; insurance brokerage services; securities administration; and mutual fund services, as well as sell securities. PT Equity Development Investment Tbk was formerly known as PT Gajah Surya Arta Leasing. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Equity Development Investment Tbk operates as a subsidiary of Equity Global International Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Equity Development Investment Tbk reported revenue of 949B IDR in FY2025 versus 1.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was 53.9B IDR in FY2025, compounding +71.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
949B IDR
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.7%
Revenue −8.1%/yr
FY21 1.3T IDR
FY22 1.7T IDR
FY23 1.2T IDR
FY24 1.2T IDR
FY25 949B IDR
Net income +71.9%/yr
FY21 6.2B IDR
FY22 18.2B IDR
FY23 −59.1B IDR
FY24 22.6B IDR
FY25 53.9B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −12.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share −6.4 pp

of which total revenue −1.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.0 pp

EBIT margin −8.6 pp
Tax rate +2.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

GSMF screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Berkshire Hathaway Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Equity Development Investment Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GSMF

Peer Group

Insurance - Diversified · 84 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −43% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.49× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.25× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.8× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 45
FUTURE 90 · sector 31
PAST 12 · sector 49
HEALTH 91 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRKB 8,562 MXN 10,844 MXN +27%
Allianz SE ALV €421.00 €369.31 -12%
Zurich Insurance Group ZURN CHF 624.40 CHF 619.80 -1%
AXA SA AXAN 888.28 MXN 1,249 MXN +41%
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G €42.90 €12.18 -72%
Sun Life Financial Inc SLF C$114.20 C$87.83 -23%
BB Seguridade Participações S.A BBSE3 R$40.71 R$60.39 +48%
Tryg A/S TRYG kr 154.00 kr 116.45 -24%
PT Sinar Mas Multiartha Tbk SMMA 20,625 IDR 4,176 IDR -80%
Caixa Seguridade Participações S.A CXSE3 R$21.77 R$18.60 -15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Equity Development Investment Tbk (GSMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 49.25 IDR versus a price of 87.00 IDR, about −43% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GSMF?
Our model-based fair value for PT Equity Development Investment Tbk is 49.25 IDR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 87.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of GSMF?
PT Equity Development Investment Tbk has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Equity Development Investment Tbk (GSMF)?
PT Equity Development Investment Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 955B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GSMF?
The net profit margin of PT Equity Development Investment Tbk is about 7.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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