Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Globe Telecom Inc $41.29, price $28.20, upside +46.4%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Globe Telecom, Inc. provides telecommunication services in the Philippines. It operates through Mobile Communications Services and Wireline Communication Services segments. The company offers digital wireless communications services under the Globe Postpaid and Prepaid, GOMO, and Touch Mobile name.
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Globe Telecom, Inc. provides telecommunication services in the Philippines. It operates through Mobile Communications Services and Wireline Communication Services segments. The company offers digital wireless communications services under the Globe Postpaid and Prepaid, GOMO, and Touch Mobile name. It also provides digital mobile communication and internet-on-the-go services; voice, SMS, data, and value-added services; and domestic and international long distance communication services or carrier services. In addition, the company is involved in venture capital, land holding, distribution, marketing and distribution, tower, and advertising business; and management of capital investment funds, as well as technology platforms. Further, it provides wireline voice and data communications, support and share services, human capital management, data management, information technology and software development, warehouse and logistics, and data communication services; support and industry specific solutions; and A2P messaging. The company was formerly known as GMCR, Inc. and changed its name to Globe Telecom, Inc. in August 1998. Globe Telecom, Inc. was incorporated in 1935 and is headquartered in Taguig City, the Philippines.
Stock analysis
Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF) currently trades at $28.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $41.29, implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $44.66 per share, and 18 of the 23 models we run sit above the $28.20 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $8.04, and 5 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $23.98 (bear) to $58.14 (bull), the price of $28.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Globe Telecom Inc reported revenue of 178B PHP in FY2025 versus 168B PHP in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was 23.3B PHP in FY2025, compounding −0.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.1B · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 1.61 · EPS (TTM) $2.29 · Dividend yield 5.7% · Net margin 13.1% · Return on equity 11.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 46%, GTMEF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $23.98Fair Value $41.29Bull $58.14
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.0% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 20%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in PHP, Philippines: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 3.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.6% a year for the price and −0.1% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (34 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 238 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside−9.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11.7% · Above median
Return on assets3.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)12.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)18.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.34× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $41.29 versus a price of $28.20, about +46% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GTMEF?
Our model-based fair value for Globe Telecom Inc is $41.29 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $28.20.
What is the quality score of GTMEF?
Globe Telecom Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $41.29 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $23.98, optimistic scenario $58.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Globe Telecom Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $41.29, about +46% upside versus a price of $28.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $23.98, optimistic scenario $58.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
Globe Telecom Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 178B PHP (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Globe Telecom Inc pay a dividend?
Globe Telecom Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Globe Telecom Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +1.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GTMEF use?
Our models discount Globe Telecom Inc at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.28, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Globe Telecom Inc that is +1.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Globe Telecom Inc grew +2.1 % a year. The price currently implies +1.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Globe Telecom Inc (+1.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.09 %: that much free cash flow Globe Telecom Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Globe Telecom Inc it is $41.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $28.20. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Globe Telecom Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GTMEF trades below its calculated fair value: price $28.20, fair value $41.29, a gap of about +46% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GTMEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($28.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($41.29). For Globe Telecom Inc the two are $13.09 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Globe Telecom Inc worth?
The market values Globe Telecom Inc at about $4.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $28.20; our models calculate a fair value of $41.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GTMEF?
Our models span a range for Globe Telecom Inc: cautious scenario $23.98, base $41.29, optimistic $58.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $28.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GTMEF?
Globe Telecom Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $41.29 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.9, P/B 1.5, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
What is the PEG ratio of GTMEF?
The PEG ratio of Globe Telecom Inc is 0.89 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Globe Telecom Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.7%, debt of 1.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Globe Telecom Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Globe Telecom Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $28.20, calculated fair value $41.29 (+46%), Quality Score 53/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GTMEF calculated?
We run Globe Telecom Inc through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $41.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Globe Telecom Inc currently trades 32 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $28.20. Our model-based fair value is $41.29, about +46% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Globe Telecom Inc right now?
Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($23.98 to $58.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Globe Telecom Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
The market capitalisation of Globe Telecom Inc is $4.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Globe Telecom Inc is 1.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
Earnings per share at Globe Telecom Inc are $2.29 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
The dividend yield of Globe Telecom Inc is 5.7% (payout 70.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
The net margin of Globe Telecom Inc is 13.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Globe Telecom Inc is 11.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Globe Telecom Inc is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
The operating margin of Globe Telecom Inc is 18.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
Revenue at Globe Telecom Inc is growing −1.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF)?
Earnings per share at Globe Telecom Inc are growing −21.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Globe Telecom Inc (GTMEF) carry?
The net debt of Globe Telecom Inc is 231B PHP (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 24, 2026