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GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. ₹157, price ₹137, upside +15.1%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · IN · ISIN INE218N01021

GD Thin data Sep 27, 2026

GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD.

GUJCMDS · BSE

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

Fair value ₹157.14 · Undervalued (+15.1%)
Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +9.0 %/yr in INR)
Loss over the last twelve months · -7.4% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 6.0%
Quality 32/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 21/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹530.00 ₹7.00 Fair Value ₹157.14 Dec 2020 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹7.00 – ₹530.00 · fair‑value band ₹117.86 – ₹197.39 · the ₹136.50 price screens below the ₹157.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Gujchem Distillers India Limited engages in the trading business in India. The company was formerly known as Sardesai Brothers Limited and changed its name to Gujchem Distillers India Limited in 1974. The company was founded in 1911 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.

Stock analysis

GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS) currently trades at ₹136.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹157.14, implying the stock looks roughly 13.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹157.14 per share, and 5 of the 7 models we run sit above the ₹136.50 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹76.65, and 2 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹117.86 (bear) to ₹197.39 (bull), the price of ₹136.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. reported revenue of ₹14.9M in FY2025 versus ₹0 in FY2021. Reported net income was ₹902K in FY2025, compounding −0.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap ₹1.2B (≈ $12.8M) · P/S ratio 40.1 · EPS (TTM) ₹−0.5600 · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.7% · Operating margin −15.6% · Revenue (TTM) ₹30.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 15%, GUJCMDS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹117.86 Fair Value ₹157.14 Bull ₹197.39
Price ₹136.50 · Upside +15.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹9,435 ₹8,716 ₹8,172 68
Graham-Dodd ₹63.24 ₹76.65 ₹86.24 65
Growth-Adj P/E ₹84.32 ₹120.73 ₹156.18 65
All 7 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹63.24 ₹76.65 ₹86.24 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹117.86 ₹157.14 ₹197.38 63
P/S Multiple ₹117.86 ₹157.14 ₹197.38 58
P/B Multiple ₹117.86 ₹157.14 ₹197.38 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹7,161 ₹9,596 ₹14,322 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹9,435 ₹8,716 ₹8,172 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹84.32 ₹120.73 ₹156.18 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−14.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 342 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +15.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Return on assets 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −15.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.42× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)53 · sector 3
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 63
PAST (return on equity)2 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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BASF SE BAS €49.93 €24.40 −51%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥22.33 ¥40.44 +81%
Dow Inc DOW $27.59 $20.98 −24%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.15 ¥43.28 +168%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥71.46 ¥78.61 +10%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 252,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +133%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥33.97 ¥19.25 −43%
Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong Co 000301 ¥13.36 ¥3.06 −77%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 67.00 TWD 17.68 TWD −74%
Syensqo SA SYENS €78.20 €32.87 −58%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GUJCMDS

Frequently asked questions

Is GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹157.14 versus a price of ₹136.50, about +15% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GUJCMDS?
Our model-based fair value for GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. is ₹157.14 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹136.50.
What is the quality score of GUJCMDS?
GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹157.14 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹117.86, optimistic scenario ₹197.39. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹157.14, about +15% upside versus a price of ₹136.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹117.86, optimistic scenario ₹197.39. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹30.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. it is ₹157.14 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹136.50. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, GUJCMDS trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹136.50, fair value ₹157.14, a gap of about +15% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GUJCMDS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹136.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹157.14). For GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. the two are ₹20.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. worth?
The market values GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. at about ₹1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹136.50; our models calculate a fair value of ₹157.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GUJCMDS?
Our models span a range for GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD.: cautious scenario ₹117.86, base ₹157.14, optimistic ₹197.39 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹136.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
Balance-sheet figures for GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.5%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GUJCMDS from its 52-week high?
GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. trades at ₹136.50, about 64% below its 52-week high of ₹374.85 and 48% above the low of ₹92.50 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹157.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Hengli Petrochemical Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹136.50, calculated fair value ₹157.14 (+15%), Quality Score 32/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GUJCMDS calculated?
We run GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹157.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. currently trades 13 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹136.50. Our model-based fair value is ₹157.14, about +15% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD.

How large is the market capitalisation of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
The market capitalisation of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. is ₹1.2B (≈ $12.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. is 40.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
Earnings per share at GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. are ₹−0.5600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
The net margin of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. is 6.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. is −0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
The operating margin of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. is −15.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast are earnings growing at GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS)?
Earnings per share at GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. are growing −79.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS) generate?
The free cash flow of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. is −₹884M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. (GUJCMDS) carry?
The net debt of GUJCHEM DISTILLERS INDIA LTD. is ₹177M (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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