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Home Bancorp, Inc (HBCP) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $534M

HB Home Bancorp, Inc logo Home Bancorp, Inc HBCP · US
Price$71.88
Fair Value$76.35
Upside+6.2%
Quality65/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 30.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.75% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range $57.26 – $95.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +7.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$72.51 $26.38 Fair Value $76.35 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $26.38 – $72.51 · fair‑value band $57.26 – $95.44 · the $71.88 price screens below the $76.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Home Bancorp, Inc (HBCP) currently trades at $71.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $76.35, implying the stock looks roughly 6.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Home Bancorp, Inc generated revenue of $151M at a net margin of 30.9%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $83.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $57.26 (bear case) to $95.44 (bull case); at $71.88, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 6%, HBCP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $46.42 $50.91 $68.17 76
Gordon GGM $8.90 $16.04 $22.09 70
P/E Multiple $57.26 $76.35 $95.44 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.90 $16.04 $22.09 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.90 $14.66 $17.14 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $57.26 $76.35 $95.44 63
P/B Multiple $58.25 $77.67 $97.09 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $27.74 $37.17 $55.48 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $46.42 $50.91 $68.17 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($76.35) versus Dividend Discount ($14.66). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $151M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5%
Net margin 30.9%
Return on equity 11.0%
Free cash flow $44.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.4
More key figures
Operating margin 40.5%
EPS (TTM) $5.95
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.8%
Net cash $83.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Home Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Home Bank, National Association that provides various banking products and services for individuals and businesses in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas, the United States.

Full company description

Home Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Home Bank, National Association that provides various banking products and services for individuals and businesses in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas, the United States. The company offers deposit products, including interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing checking, money market, savings, NOW, and certificates of deposit accounts; custodial accounts; health savings and individual retirement accounts; and statement savings. It also provides various loan products comprising one-to four-family first mortgage loans, home equity loans and lines, commercial real estate loans, construction and land loans, multi-family residential loans, commercial and industrial loans, and consumer loans; personal loans, including auto, savings and CD secured, unsecured, and credit builder loans; and business loans, such as business term and SBA loans. In addition, the company invests in loans and securities. Further, it offers debit and credit cards; account services; treasury management, such as online banking and bill pay, mobile banking, remote deposit capture, positive pay, and ACH positive pay services; merchant card services; and payroll cards. Home Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Lafayette, Louisiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Home Bancorp, Inc reported revenue of $209M in FY2025 versus $123M in FY2021, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was $46.1M in FY2025, compounding −1.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$209M
Latest YoY
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+11.9%
Revenue +14.2%/yr
FY21 $123M
FY22 $140M
FY23 $178M
FY24 $199M
FY25 $209M
Net income −1.3%/yr
FY21 $48.6M
FY22 $34.1M
FY23 $40.2M
FY24 $36.4M
FY25 $46.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Home Bancorp, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HBCP

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.23× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.55× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 42 · sector 39
FUTURE 28 · sector 44
PAST 44 · sector 41
HEALTH 93 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 35 · sector 49

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Home Bancorp, Inc (HBCP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $76.35 versus a price of $71.88, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HBCP?
Our model-based fair value for Home Bancorp, Inc is $76.35 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $71.88.
What is the quality score of HBCP?
Home Bancorp, Inc has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Home Bancorp, Inc (HBCP)?
Home Bancorp, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $151M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HBCP?
The net profit margin of Home Bancorp, Inc is about 30.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 30.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Home Bancorp, Inc pay a dividend?
Home Bancorp, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.75% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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