Healthcare Triangle Inc (HCTI) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $4.4M · ISIN US42227W1080
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −45.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 397% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2040). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.1105 to $0.2040) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range $0.8336 – $536,346 · fair‑value band $0.1105 – $0.2040 · the $0.8440 price screens above the $0.1700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Healthcare Triangle Inc (HCTI) currently trades at $0.8440, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1700, implying the stock looks roughly 79.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Healthcare Triangle Inc generated revenue of $20.0M at a net margin of -69.7%. Revenue grew 166.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -45.6%. Net debt stands at $3.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1105 (bear case) to $0.2040 (bull case); at $0.8440, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at -80%, HCTI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 265.76 USD per share, which is 156,330.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Healthcare Triangle, Inc., a healthcare information technology company, focuses on advancing solutions in the sectors of cloud services, data science, and professional and managed services for the electronic health record, and healthcare and life sciences industry.
Full company description
Healthcare Triangle, Inc., a healthcare information technology company, focuses on advancing solutions in the sectors of cloud services, data science, and professional and managed services for the electronic health record, and healthcare and life sciences industry. It provides a suite of software, solutions, platforms, and services that enables healthcare and pharma organizations to deliver personalized healthcare, precision medicine, advances in drug discovery, development and efficacy, collaborative research and development, respond to evidence, and accelerate their digital transformation. The company's software platforms include CloudEz, an enterprise multi-cloud transformation and management platform that enables customers to manage their cloud infrastructure in private, hybrid, and public cloud infrastructures; DataEz, a cloud-based data analytics and data science platform for the data analytics and data science requirements of life sciences/pharmaceutical and healthcare provider organizations; Blockchain infrastructure; and Cybersecurity navigator. It also provides Readabl.AI, a Software-as-a-Service solution that uses public cloud artificial intelligence and machine learning to recognize and extract healthcare information from documents, faxes, and narrative reports. In addition, the company offers cloud IT services; and healthcare IT services, such as electronic health records and software implementation, optimization, and extension to community partners, as well as application managed services, and backup and disaster recovery capabilities on public cloud. It also serves healthcare delivery organizations, healthcare insurance companies, pharmaceutical and life sciences, biotech companies, and medical device manufacturers. Healthcare Triangle, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Pleasanton, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Healthcare Triangle Inc reported revenue of $13.9M in FY2025 versus $35.3M in FY2021, a compound −20.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.5M in FY2025.
HCTI screens 397% overvalued. Compare with Veeva Systems Inc →
Peer Group
Health Information Services · 131 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Health Information Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Health Information Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Veeva Systems Inc VEEV | $282.13 | $91.49 | -68% |
| Pro Medicus Limited PME | A$183.71 | A$23.74 | -87% |
| BrightSpring Health Services, Inc BTSG | $59.68 | $21.31 | -64% |
| HealthEquity, Inc HQY | $104.27 | $56.63 | -46% |
| Hinge Health, Inc HNGE | $86.32 | $24.03 | -72% |
| 10x Genomics, Inc TXG | $55.63 | $17.18 | -69% |
| Waystar Holding WAY | $24.54 | $12.86 | -48% |
| XtalPi Holdings 2228 | HK$8.19 | HK$1.04 | -87% |
| Doximity, Inc DOCS | $24.74 | $25.91 | +5% |
| Privia Health Group PRVA | $21.07 | $5.26 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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