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Healthcare Triangle Inc (HCTI) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $4.4M · ISIN US42227W1080

HT Healthcare Triangle Inc logo Healthcare Triangle Inc HCTI · US
Price$0.8440
Fair Value$0.1700
Upside-79.9%
Quality21/100
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Risks

!Trades 397% ABOVE our fair value of $0.1700
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −15.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -69.7% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −15.0 %/yr)
Loss-making · -69.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.1105 – $0.2040 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −45.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and trading another 397% above our fair value.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2040). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.1105 to $0.2040) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$536,346 $0.8336 Fair Value $0.1700 Oct 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range $0.8336 – $536,346 · fair‑value band $0.1105 – $0.2040 · the $0.8440 price screens above the $0.1700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Healthcare Triangle Inc (HCTI) currently trades at $0.8440, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1700, implying the stock looks roughly 79.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Healthcare Triangle Inc generated revenue of $20.0M at a net margin of -69.7%. Revenue grew 166.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -45.6%. Net debt stands at $3.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1105 (bear case) to $0.2040 (bull case); at $0.8440, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at -80%, HCTI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 265.76 USD per share, which is 156,330.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $0.9500 $1.27 $1.90 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $0.9500 $1.27 $1.90 54

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 0.0 as of Jun 20, 2026
P/S ratio 0.22 TTM
EPS (TTM) $399.19 price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0
Net margin -68.2% FY2025
Return on equity -45.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -108% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin -36.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $20.0M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +166% 3y avg -32.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$16.5M FY2025
Net debt $3.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 21/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Healthcare Triangle, Inc., a healthcare information technology company, focuses on advancing solutions in the sectors of cloud services, data science, and professional and managed services for the electronic health record, and healthcare and life sciences industry.

Full company description

Healthcare Triangle, Inc., a healthcare information technology company, focuses on advancing solutions in the sectors of cloud services, data science, and professional and managed services for the electronic health record, and healthcare and life sciences industry. It provides a suite of software, solutions, platforms, and services that enables healthcare and pharma organizations to deliver personalized healthcare, precision medicine, advances in drug discovery, development and efficacy, collaborative research and development, respond to evidence, and accelerate their digital transformation. The company's software platforms include CloudEz, an enterprise multi-cloud transformation and management platform that enables customers to manage their cloud infrastructure in private, hybrid, and public cloud infrastructures; DataEz, a cloud-based data analytics and data science platform for the data analytics and data science requirements of life sciences/pharmaceutical and healthcare provider organizations; Blockchain infrastructure; and Cybersecurity navigator. It also provides Readabl.AI, a Software-as-a-Service solution that uses public cloud artificial intelligence and machine learning to recognize and extract healthcare information from documents, faxes, and narrative reports. In addition, the company offers cloud IT services; and healthcare IT services, such as electronic health records and software implementation, optimization, and extension to community partners, as well as application managed services, and backup and disaster recovery capabilities on public cloud. It also serves healthcare delivery organizations, healthcare insurance companies, pharmaceutical and life sciences, biotech companies, and medical device manufacturers. Healthcare Triangle, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is based in Pleasanton, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Healthcare Triangle Inc reported revenue of $13.9M in FY2025 versus $35.3M in FY2021, a compound −20.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.9M
Latest YoY
+18.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−32.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+63.8%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −20.8%/yr
FY21 $35.3M
FY22 $45.9M
FY23 $33.2M
FY24 $11.7M
FY25 $13.9M
Net income
FY21 −$5.9M
FY22 −$14.4M
FY23 −$8.7M
FY24 −$6.0M
FY25 −$9.5M

HCTI screens 397% overvalued. Compare with Veeva Systems Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Healthcare Triangle Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HCTI

Peer Group

Health Information Services · 131 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -16% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -70% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -37% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 166% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Health Information Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 34
PAST0 · sector 5
HEALTH96 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Health Information Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veeva Systems Inc VEEV $282.13 $91.49 -68%
Pro Medicus Limited PME A$183.71 A$23.74 -87%
BrightSpring Health Services, Inc BTSG $59.68 $21.31 -64%
HealthEquity, Inc HQY $104.27 $56.63 -46%
Hinge Health, Inc HNGE $86.32 $24.03 -72%
10x Genomics, Inc TXG $55.63 $17.18 -69%
Waystar Holding WAY $24.54 $12.86 -48%
XtalPi Holdings 2228 HK$8.19 HK$1.04 -87%
Doximity, Inc DOCS $24.74 $25.91 +5%
Privia Health Group PRVA $21.07 $5.26 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Healthcare Triangle Inc (HCTI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1700 versus a price of $0.8440, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HCTI?
Our model-based fair value for Healthcare Triangle Inc is $0.1700 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.8440.
What is the quality score of HCTI?
Healthcare Triangle Inc has a Quality Score of 21/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Healthcare Triangle Inc (HCTI)?
Healthcare Triangle Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $20.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HCTI?
The net profit margin of Healthcare Triangle Inc is about -69.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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