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Heliospectra AB (HELIO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 55.9M SEK

HA Heliospectra AB HELIO · ST
Pricekr 0.0940
Fair Valuekr 0.0170
Upside-81.9%
Quality14/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -131.5% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 0.0131 – kr 0.0211 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −8.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.0211). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (14/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 3.82 kr 0.0695 Fair Value kr 0.0170 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.0695 – kr 3.82 · fair‑value band kr 0.0131 – kr 0.0211 · the kr 0.0940 price screens above the kr 0.0170 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Heliospectra AB (HELIO) currently trades at kr 0.0940, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 81.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 14/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 32.1M SEK. Revenue grew 162.2% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 26.8M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.0131 (bear case) to kr 0.0211 (bull case); at kr 0.0940, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -82%, HELIO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.0200 kr 0.0200 kr 0.0400 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.0200 kr 0.0200 kr 0.0400 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 32.1M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +162%
Net margin -131%
Return on equity -164%
Free cash flow −32.4M SEK FY2025
Operating margin -163%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -0.0500
Net cash 26.8M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 14/100

Of which business quality 19 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 4
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Heliospectra AB (publ) provides smart LED light technology and light control systems for greenhouse and controlled plant growth environments worldwide.

Full company description

Heliospectra AB (publ) provides smart LED light technology and light control systems for greenhouse and controlled plant growth environments worldwide. The company offers MITRA X, an LED grow light with full modularity; MITRA X Flex, a wireless controllable flexible far-red light; ELIXIA, an essential tool for greenhouse or indoor operation; and DYNA, a flexible LED grow light. It also provides helioCORE, a light control software that optimizes plant growth, enhance energy efficiency, and streamline operations; DOXA wireless PAR/ePAR sensors for real-time light data monitoring; and Adelphi, a wireless connector for wireless dimming and control in greenhouse facility. In addition, the company offers light planning, on site, try-before-you-buy, and cultivation training services. Heliospectra AB (publ) was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Gothenburg, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Heliospectra AB reported revenue of kr 28.5M in FY2025 versus kr 35.2M in FY2021, a compound −5.2%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 42.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
28.5M SEK
Latest YoY
−12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.7%
Revenue −5.2%/yr
FY21 kr 35.2M
FY22 kr 25.7M
FY23 kr 35.3M
FY24 kr 32.4M
FY25 kr 28.5M
Net income
FY21 −kr 60.0M
FY22 −kr 36.2M
FY23 −kr 24.7M
FY24 −kr 23.5M
FY25 −kr 42.8M

HELIO screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Heliospectra AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HELIO

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 531 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -57% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -131% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -163% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 162% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.56× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.18× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 72 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Heliospectra AB (HELIO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.0170 versus a price of kr 0.0940, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HELIO?
Our model-based fair value for Heliospectra AB is kr 0.0170 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 0.0940.
What is the quality score of HELIO?
Heliospectra AB has a Quality Score of 14/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Heliospectra AB (HELIO)?
Heliospectra AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 32.1M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HELIO?
The net profit margin of Heliospectra AB is about -131.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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