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Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive · DE · ISIN DE0006048408

HA Henkel AG & Co. KGaA logo Broad data Sep 18, 2026

Henkel AG & Co. KGaA

HEN · XETRA

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

Fair value €78.02 · Undervalued (+13%)
Quality 71/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.9% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.96% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
!Moderate moat 60/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€74.50 €50.49 Fair Value €78.02 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €50.49 – €74.50 · fair‑value band €55.09 – €114.49 · the €69.30 price screens below the €78.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Henkel AG & Co. KGaA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the adhesive technologies and consumer brands businesses in Europe, India, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Latin America, the Asia Pacific.

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Henkel AG & Co. KGaA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the adhesive technologies and consumer brands businesses in Europe, India, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Latin America, the Asia Pacific. It offers adhesives, sealants, and functional coatings for various business areas, including packaging and consumer goods; mobility and electronics; and craftsmen, construction, and professional industries. The company also provides hair styling, hair colorants, and hair care products; and body care products, as well as distributes its products through brick-and-mortar stores, hair salons, and digital channels. In addition, it offers laundry and home care products, such as heavy-duty and specialty detergents, fabric softeners and laundry additives, and other fabric cleaning and fabric care products; dishwashing products; and hard surface and toilet cleaners. Further, the company provides household cleaners products. The company was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany.

Stock analysis

Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN) currently trades at €69.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €78.02, implying the stock looks roughly 11.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €83.48 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the €69.30 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €24.21, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €55.09 (bear) to €114.49 (bull), the price of €69.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Henkel AG & Co. KGaA reported revenue of €20.5B in FY2025 versus €20.1B in FY2021, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was €2.0B in FY2025, compounding +5.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €28.7B · P/E ratio 14.4 · P/S ratio 1.43 · EPS (TTM) €4.92 · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 9.9% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 61 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 13%, HEN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €55.09 Fair Value €78.02 Bull €114.49
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€2.08 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €47.90 €64.14 €93.87 79
Growth DCF €49.62 €65.39 €92.15 78
Owner Earnings €52.26 €70.09 €102.72 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €47.90 €64.14 €93.87 79
Owner Earnings €52.26 €70.09 €102.72 76
5Y Revenue Exit €50.04 €72.42 €104.28 72
5Y EBITDA Exit €66.46 €100.50 €144.46 74
5Y P/E Exit €61.78 €92.50 €128.11 70
10Y Revenue Exit €47.41 €66.90 €89.49 66
10Y EBITDA Exit €58.94 €85.49 €116.23 68
10Y P/E Exit €56.06 €80.20 €105.34 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €33.39 €58.77 €72.18 64
EPV €56.61 €65.52 €73.30 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €18.83 €24.21 €29.72 67
DDM Multi-Stage €18.83 €25.59 €33.78 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €77.34 €103.12 €128.90 61
P/S Multiple €59.35 €79.13 €98.91 56
P/B Multiple €62.61 €83.48 €104.35 53
EV/EBIT €95.35 €126.07 €156.78 65
EV/EBITDA €89.20 €117.86 €146.53 66
EV/Revenue €55.13 €77.39 €99.64 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €24.73 €33.13 €49.45 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €49.62 €65.39 €92.15 78
Rev-Margin DCF €50.04 €73.15 €101.21 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income €43.48 €48.26 €72.75 74
ROIC Compounder €57.12 €67.75 €79.03 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €54.61 €78.02 €101.43 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Revenue growth 28 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+11.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 15%
2025 sits 56% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.8%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 249 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +22% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.63× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.63× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 18.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.53× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)50 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)39 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)59 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
L'Oréal S.A LORL C$25.21 C$21.85 −13%
Unilever PLC UNA €54.18 €40.47 −25%
Colgate-Palmolive Company CL $87.02 $55.28 −36%
500696 500696 ₹1,934 ₹493.08 −75%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹1,962 ₹789.46 −60%
Kenvue Inc KVUE $17.83 $10.97 −38%
Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB $98.10 $79.71 −19%
Henkel AG HEN3 €73.30 €78.02 +6%
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc EL $96.25 $21.04 −78%
Church & Dwight Co CHD $95.51 $65.12 −32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €78.02 versus a price of €69.30, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HEN?
Our model-based fair value for Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is €78.02 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €69.30.
What is the quality score of HEN?
Henkel AG & Co. KGaA has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €78.02 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €55.09, optimistic scenario €114.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Henkel AG & Co. KGaA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €78.02, about +13% upside versus a price of €69.30 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €55.09, optimistic scenario €114.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
Henkel AG & Co. KGaA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €20.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Henkel AG & Co. KGaA pay a dividend?
Henkel AG & Co. KGaA currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.96% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Henkel AG & Co. KGaA would have to grow free cash flow by +0.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.3 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HEN use?
Our models discount Henkel AG & Co. KGaA at 8.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.57, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Henkel AG & Co. KGaA that is +0.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Henkel AG & Co. KGaA grew +1.3 % a year. The price currently implies +0.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (+0.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.48 %: that much free cash flow Henkel AG & Co. KGaA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Henkel AG & Co. KGaA it is €78.02 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of €69.30. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Henkel AG & Co. KGaA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, HEN trades below its calculated fair value: price €69.30, fair value €78.02, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HEN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€69.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€78.02). For Henkel AG & Co. KGaA the two are €8.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Henkel AG & Co. KGaA worth?
The market values Henkel AG & Co. KGaA at about €28.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is €69.30; our models calculate a fair value of €78.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HEN?
Our models span a range for Henkel AG & Co. KGaA: cautious scenario €55.09, base €78.02, optimistic €114.49 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price €69.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HEN?
Henkel AG & Co. KGaA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.4 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €78.02 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.5, P/B 1.6, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 9.9.
What is the PEG ratio of HEN?
The PEG ratio of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is 3.53 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HEN from its 52-week high?
Henkel AG & Co. KGaA trades at €69.30, about 7% below its 52-week high of €74.64 and 21% above the low of €57.40 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €78.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Henkel AG & Co. KGaA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value L'Oréal S.A, Unilever PLC, Colgate-Palmolive Company, 500696, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Henkel AG & Co. KGaA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price €69.30, calculated fair value €78.02 (+13%), Quality Score 71/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HEN calculated?
We run Henkel AG & Co. KGaA through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €78.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Henkel AG & Co. KGaA currently trades 13 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was €69.30. Our model-based fair value is €78.02, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Henkel AG & Co. KGaA right now?
A fairly wide model range (€55.09 to €114.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN) come from?
Earnings per share at Henkel AG & Co. KGaA grew −0.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.4 %, EBIT margin −2.6 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA

How large is the market capitalisation of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
The market capitalisation of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is €28.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is 1.43 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
Earnings per share at Henkel AG & Co. KGaA are €4.92 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
The dividend yield of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is 3.0% (payout 41.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
The net margin of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is 9.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
The operating margin of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is 12.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
Revenue at Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is growing −6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN)?
Earnings per share at Henkel AG & Co. KGaA are growing −3.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Henkel AG & Co. KGaA (HEN) carry?
The net debt of Henkel AG & Co. KGaA is €998M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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