EN DE

High Tide Inc (HITI) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CA · Market cap C$280M

HT High Tide Inc HITI · V
PriceC$3.19
Fair ValueC$2.40
Upside-24.8%
Quality33/100
Watch High Tide Inc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -7.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 19/100
Evidence: Medium Range C$1.39 – C$3.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from C$3.17 to C$2.40 (−24.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (C$1.39 to C$3.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$11.70 C$1.44 Fair Value C$2.40 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$1.44 – C$11.70 · fair‑value band C$1.39 – C$3.15 · the C$3.19 price screens above the C$2.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

High Tide Inc (HITI) currently trades at C$3.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$2.40, implying the stock looks roughly 24.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, High Tide Inc generated revenue of C$630M at a net margin of -7.4%. Revenue grew 25.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -39.7%. Net debt stands at C$51.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$1.39 (bear case) to C$3.15 (bull case); at C$3.19, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -25%, HITI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF C$1.29 C$2.31 C$3.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$1.54 C$3.02 C$6.12 74
ROIC Compounder C$0.7500 C$0.8800 C$0.9900 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$1.40 C$2.12 C$4.21 38
5Y Revenue Exit C$1.36 C$2.59 C$5.18 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$3.10 C$6.11 C$12.02 41
10Y Revenue Exit C$1.32 C$3.19 C$4.34 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$2.46 C$6.38 C$13.38 37
Earnings-Based
EPV C$0.7500 C$0.8800 C$0.9900 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM C$0.1600 C$0.2600 C$0.3400 70
DDM Multi-Stage C$0.1600 C$0.2500 C$0.2800 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT C$1.86 C$2.60 C$3.35 53
EV/EBITDA C$4.03 C$5.50 C$6.97 54
EV/Revenue C$1.22 C$1.90 C$2.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.5000 C$0.6700 C$1.00 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$1.29 C$2.31 C$3.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$1.54 C$3.02 C$6.12 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder C$0.7500 C$0.8800 C$0.9900 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$3.19) versus Dividend Discount (C$0.2500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Notify me when HITI reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$630M
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.2%
Net margin -7.4%
Return on equity -39.7%
Free cash flow C$13.2M FY2025
Operating margin 2.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) C$-0.5800
EPS growth (YoY) -17.5%
Net debt C$51.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

High Tide Inc. engages in the cannabis retail business in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Bricks and Mortar, E-commerce, and Medical Cannabis Distribution segments. It manufactures and distributes consumption accessories; cannabis; and hemp derived products.

Full company description

High Tide Inc. engages in the cannabis retail business in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Bricks and Mortar, E-commerce, and Medical Cannabis Distribution segments. It manufactures and distributes consumption accessories; cannabis; and hemp derived products. The company also engages in data analytics; advertising; product sourcing and imports; event-based cannabis retail; medical cannabis distribution; accessories retail; and other related services. It provides its products under the Daily High Club, DankStop, FAB CBD, GC, Nuleaf Naturals, Smoke Cartel, Blessed CBD, Fastendr, Famous Brandz, Queen of Bud, Canna Cabana, Grasscity, Daily High Club, and Valiant Distribution brands. The company sells its products through a network of retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and the wholesale distribution arm. The company was formerly known as High Tide Ventures Inc. and changed its name to High Tide Inc. in October 2018. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

High Tide Inc reported revenue of C$594M in FY2025 versus C$181M in FY2021, a compound +34.6%/yr. Reported net income was −C$50.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$594M
Latest YoY
+13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+48.1%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+60.6%
Revenue +34.6%/yr
FY21 C$181M
FY22 C$357M
FY23 C$488M
FY24 C$522M
FY25 C$594M
Net income
FY21 −C$35.0M
FY22 −C$70.8M
FY23 −C$39.3M
FY24 −C$4.3M
FY25 −C$50.7M

HITI screens 25% overvalued. Compare with JD Health International Inc →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "High Tide Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HITI

Peer Group

Pharmaceutical Retailers · 61 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.93× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Pharmaceutical Retailers median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.29× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 15.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 54 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Pharmaceutical Retailers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JD Health International Inc 6618 HK$39.20 HK$33.28 -15%
Raia Drogasil S.A RADL3 R$18.20 R$15.58 -14%
Yifeng Pharmacy Chain Co 603939 ¥20.24 ¥29.07 +44%
DaShenLin Pharmaceutical Group 603233 ¥17.81 ¥23.86 +34%
Corporativo Fragua, S.A. FRAGUAB 463.00 MXN 821.18 MXN +77%
LBX Pharmacy Chain Joint Stock Company 603883 ¥11.51 ¥10.57 -8%
MedPlus Health Services Limited MEDPLUS ₹690.20 ₹379.25 -45%
Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group 002727 ¥11.46 ¥9.45 -18%
Anhui Huaren Health Pharmaceutical Co 301408 ¥14.40 ¥10.05 -30%
Apotea AB APOTEA kr 74.75 kr 43.95 -41%

Compare High Tide Inc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Healthcare stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is High Tide Inc (HITI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$2.40 versus a price of C$3.19, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HITI?
Our model-based fair value for High Tide Inc is C$2.40 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$3.19.
What is the quality score of HITI?
High Tide Inc has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of High Tide Inc (HITI)?
High Tide Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$630M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HITI?
The net profit margin of High Tide Inc is about -7.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track High Tide Inc and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.