Hokkaido Electric Power Company (HKEPF) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $1.2B

Below-average quality, screening 188% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.97). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• A fairly wide model range ($12.97 to $26.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range $5.34 – $7.00 · fair‑value band $12.97 – $26.19 · the $5.69 price screens below the $16.38 fair value. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Hokkaido Electric Power Company (HKEPF) currently trades at $5.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.38, implying the stock looks roughly 187.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hokkaido Electric Power Company generated revenue of $856B at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.3%. Net debt stands at $1.1T. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.97 (bear case) to $26.19 (bull case); at $5.69, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 188%, HKEPF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($27.01) versus Growth DCF ($1.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Hokkaido Electric Power Company, Incorporated generates, transmits, and distributes electricity in Japan. The company undertakes electrical and telecommunication, civil engineering and construction, piping, air-conditioning, water supply and drainage facility, and disaster prevention equipment works, as well as engages in the manufacture, maintenance, sale, …

Full company description

Hokkaido Electric Power Company, Incorporated generates, transmits, and distributes electricity in Japan. The company undertakes electrical and telecommunication, civil engineering and construction, piping, air-conditioning, water supply and drainage facility, and disaster prevention equipment works, as well as engages in the manufacture, maintenance, sale, and electric meters. It also engages in energy conservation business; sale of fuel, equipment and materials; civil engineering and construction materials; rental condominiums and apartments, and parking lot business; and travel, insurance agency, utility pole advertising, cleaning/security service business, and public bathhouse business. In addition, the company provides construction consultant services for civil engineering, construction, electricity, environment, and energy; electricity meter inspection and billing, energy conservation, and energy-saving services; telecommunication services; information processing system consulting, development, operation, management, training, sale of information processing equipment and software, internet data center business, and other information processing-related services; and document management improvement, and confidential document destruction and recycling services. Further, it engages in the commissioning, repairing, maintaining, and consulting for power generation facilities; and receipt, storage, and delivery of overseas coal, maritime transport agent, and customs clearance business. Additionally, the company designs, prints, book binds, and produces broadcasts and videos; sells novelties, gift products, and everyday goods, food, etc.; leases LNG receiving facilities; and operates and maintains thermal, hydroelectric, photovoltaic, and wind power generation plants. Hokkaido Electric Power Company, Incorporated was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Sapporo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hokkaido Electric Power Company reported revenue of $902B in FY2025 versus $889B in FY2023, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was $64.2B in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.