HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of HKFoods Oyj A €2.87, price €1.69, upside +69.8%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.4929 – €2.06 · fair‑value band €1.47 – €4.28 · the €1.69 price screens below the €2.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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HKFoods Oyj operates as a food company in Finland and Poland. The company produces, sells, and markets pork, beef, poultry, meat products, and ready and components meals; and processed meats and convenience food under the HK, Kariniemen, Via, Boltsi, Tamminen, and Kivikylän to retail, food service, industry, and export sectors.
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HKFoods Oyj operates as a food company in Finland and Poland. The company produces, sells, and markets pork, beef, poultry, meat products, and ready and components meals; and processed meats and convenience food under the HK, Kariniemen, Via, Boltsi, Tamminen, and Kivikylän to retail, food service, industry, and export sectors. It also exports its products internationally. The company was formerly known as HKScan Oyj and changed its name to HKFoods Oyj in May 2024. HKFoods Oyj was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Turku, Finland. HKFoods Oyj operates as a subsidiary of LSO Osuuskunta.
Stock analysis
HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS) currently trades at €1.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.87, implying the stock looks roughly 41.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €5.49 per share, and 10 of the 15 models we run sit above the €1.69 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.9400, and 5 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €1.47 (bear) to €4.28 (bull), the price of €1.69 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
HKFoods Oyj A reported revenue of €996M in FY2025 versus €1.8B in FY2021, a compound −13.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€1.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €152M · P/E ratio 16.9 · P/S ratio 0.16 · EPS (TTM) €0.1000 · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin −0.1% · Return on equity 7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 70%, HKFOODS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.47Fair Value €2.87Bull €4.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0147 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.3% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.9% (2020) → 3.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside+70% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.18× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HKFoods Oyj A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HKFOODS
Frequently asked questions
Is HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.87 versus a price of €1.69, about +70% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HKFOODS?
Our model-based fair value for HKFoods Oyj A is €2.87 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.69.
What is the quality score of HKFOODS?
HKFoods Oyj A has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.87 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.47, optimistic scenario €4.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HKFoods Oyj A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.87, about +70% upside versus a price of €1.69 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.47, optimistic scenario €4.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
HKFoods Oyj A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does HKFoods Oyj A pay a dividend?
HKFoods Oyj A currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, HKFoods Oyj A would have to grow free cash flow by -9.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -11.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HKFOODS use?
Our models discount HKFoods Oyj A at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.73, country premium for Finland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For HKFoods Oyj A that is -9.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at HKFoods Oyj A grew -11.0 % a year. The price currently implies -9.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into HKFoods Oyj A (-9.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 33.47 %: that much free cash flow HKFoods Oyj A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HKFoods Oyj A it is €2.87 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €1.69. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HKFoods Oyj A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, HKFOODS trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.69, fair value €2.87, a gap of about +70% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HKFOODS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.69); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.87). For HKFoods Oyj A the two are €1.18 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HKFoods Oyj A worth?
The market values HKFoods Oyj A at about €152M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €1.69; our models calculate a fair value of €2.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HKFOODS?
Our models span a range for HKFoods Oyj A: cautious scenario €1.47, base €2.87, optimistic €4.28 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €1.69). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HKFOODS?
HKFoods Oyj A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €2.87 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 18.8 (the reported result was a loss). Other multiples: PEG 0.2.
What is the PEG ratio of HKFOODS?
The PEG ratio of HKFoods Oyj A is 0.24 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
Balance-sheet figures for HKFoods Oyj A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.8%, debt of 1.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HKFOODS from its 52-week high?
HKFoods Oyj A trades at €1.69, about 9% below its 52-week high of €1.86 and 28% above the low of €1.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HKFoods Oyj A?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HKFoods Oyj A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €1.69, calculated fair value €2.87 (+70%), Quality Score 52/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HKFOODS calculated?
We run HKFoods Oyj A through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €2.87, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. HKFoods Oyj A currently trades 70 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €1.69. Our model-based fair value is €2.87, about +70% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HKFoods Oyj A right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€1.47 to €4.28). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of HKFoods Oyj A
How large is the market capitalisation of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
The market capitalisation of HKFoods Oyj A is €152M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HKFoods Oyj A is 0.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
Earnings per share at HKFoods Oyj A are €0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
The dividend yield of HKFoods Oyj A is 4.7% (payout 80.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
The net margin of HKFoods Oyj A is −0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HKFoods Oyj A is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HKFoods Oyj A is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
The operating margin of HKFoods Oyj A is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS)?
Revenue at HKFoods Oyj A is growing +3.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does HKFoods Oyj A (HKFOODS) carry?
The net debt of HKFoods Oyj A is €247M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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