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Hanover Foods Corporation (HNFSA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $57.8M

HF Hanover Foods Corporation logo Hanover Foods Corporation HNFSA · US
Price$50.00
Fair Value$115.14
Upside+130.3%
Quality52/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
Low debt
2.12% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: Medium Range $73.49 – $150.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +6.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 130% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($73.49). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($73.49 to $150.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$89.82 $36.86 Fair Value $115.14 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $36.86 – $89.82 · fair‑value band $73.49 – $150.15 · the $50.00 price screens below the $115.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Hanover Foods Corporation (HNFSA) currently trades at $50.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $115.14, implying the stock looks roughly 130.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hanover Foods Corporation generated revenue of $331M at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 19.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 3.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $73.49 (bear case) to $150.15 (bull case); at $50.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 130%, HNFSA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $59.58 $86.84 $119.52 80
Residual Income $73.49 $71.11 $60.01 76
Rev-Margin DCF $79.60 $139.94 $210.91 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $59.77 $91.92 $133.25 38
Owner Earnings $69.52 $105.84 $152.53 31
5Y Revenue Exit $79.60 $140.40 $218.97 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $123.48 $223.99 $343.44 41
5Y P/E Exit $62.40 $107.64 $155.48 38
10Y Revenue Exit $66.97 $115.14 $181.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $93.75 $165.24 $263.91 37
10Y P/E Exit $60.16 $95.51 $139.26 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $38.89 $133.11 $178.62 54
Lynch FV $30.63 $43.76 $56.88 50
PEG = 1.0 $30.63 $43.76 $56.88 46
EPV $44.30 $51.46 $57.26 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.10 $8.54 $11.08 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.10 $7.99 $9.19 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $90.09 $120.12 $150.15 63
P/S Multiple $72.93 $97.24 $121.55 58
P/B Multiple $72.93 $97.24 $121.55 55
EV/EBIT $147.08 $201.22 $255.36 53
EV/EBITDA $195.90 $266.31 $336.73 54
EV/Revenue $100.59 $150.27 $199.95 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $53.15 $71.23 $106.31 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $59.58 $86.84 $119.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF $79.60 $139.94 $210.91 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $73.49 $71.11 $60.01 76
ROIC Compounder $44.30 $51.46 $57.26 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $77.05 $110.07 $143.09 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($120.12) versus Dividend Discount ($7.99). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $331M
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.1%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 11.6%
P/E ratio 3.3
Operating margin 4.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $15.73
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +9.1%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hanover Foods Corporation engages in processing, packaging, and selling fresh canned and frozen products. It offers baked beans, beans, canned blends and vegetables, frozen blends and vegetables, kosher, pork and beans, soft pretzels, steam in bag products, and tomatoes, as well as soups, salads, and broths.

Full company description

Hanover Foods Corporation engages in processing, packaging, and selling fresh canned and frozen products. It offers baked beans, beans, canned blends and vegetables, frozen blends and vegetables, kosher, pork and beans, soft pretzels, steam in bag products, and tomatoes, as well as soups, salads, and broths. The company was founded in 1924 and is based in Hanover, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2001 – FY2006 · reported fiscal years

Hanover Foods Corporation reported revenue of $361M in FY2006 versus $293M in FY2001, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $6.6M in FY2006, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2001.

Growth Quality 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2006)
$361M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY01 $293M
FY02 $290M
FY03 $290M
FY04 $318M
FY06 $361M
Net income −0.1%/yr
FY01 $6.7M
FY02 $7.3M
FY03 $9.9M
FY04 $11.4M
FY06 $6.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hanover Foods Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HNFSA

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +130% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.47× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.18× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 28
FUTURE 96 · sector 20
PAST 46 · sector 27
HEALTH 91 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 42 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hanover Foods Corporation (HNFSA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $115.14 versus a price of $50.00, about +130% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HNFSA?
Our model-based fair value for Hanover Foods Corporation is $115.14 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $50.00.
What is the quality score of HNFSA?
Hanover Foods Corporation has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hanover Foods Corporation (HNFSA)?
Hanover Foods Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $331M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HNFSA?
The net profit margin of Hanover Foods Corporation is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hanover Foods Corporation pay a dividend?
Hanover Foods Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.12% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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