HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd ₹510, price ₹386, upside +32.2%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹8.21 – ₹1,219 · fair‑value band ₹335.39 – ₹704.10 · the ₹385.95 price screens below the ₹510.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL) currently trades at ₹385.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹510.21, implying the stock looks roughly 24.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹935.83 per share, and 8 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹385.95 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹51.45, and 6 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹335.39 (bear) to ₹704.10 (bull), the price of ₹385.95 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd reported revenue of ₹5.9B in FY2026 versus ₹1.1B in FY2022, a compound +51.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹232M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹4.1B (≈ $42.8M) · P/E ratio 17.9 · P/S ratio 0.71 · EPS (TTM) ₹21.61 · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 30.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% · Operating margin 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades near its 52-week high and 175% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Materials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 32%, HPBL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹335.39Fair Value ₹510.21Bull ₹704.10
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹10.48 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+106.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−19.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−35% → 8%
Compare HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Containers & Packaging · 25 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Below median
Fair Value upside+32% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)31% · Top 25%
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.67× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Containers & Packaging median · lower = cheaper
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Is HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹510.21 versus a price of ₹385.95, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HPBL?
Our model-based fair value for HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd is ₹510.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹385.95.
What is the quality score of HPBL?
HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹510.21 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹335.39, optimistic scenario ₹704.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹510.21, about +32% upside versus a price of ₹385.95 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹335.39, optimistic scenario ₹704.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd it is ₹510.21 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ₹385.95. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, HPBL trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹385.95, fair value ₹510.21, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HPBL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹385.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹510.21). For HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd the two are ₹124.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd worth?
The market values HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd at about ₹4.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ₹385.95; our models calculate a fair value of ₹510.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HPBL?
Our models span a range for HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd: cautious scenario ₹335.39, base ₹510.21, optimistic ₹704.10 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ₹385.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HPBL?
HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹510.21 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 5.0, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 8.1.
What is the PEG ratio of HPBL?
The PEG ratio of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd is 1.04 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
Balance-sheet figures for HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 30.9%, debt of 0.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HPBL from its 52-week high?
HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd trades at ₹385.95, about 36% below its 52-week high of ₹284.45 and 175% above the low of ₹140.10 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹510.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd?
From the same area (Materials) we also value DAIOS, Daelim Paper Co, M2N Co, RDBRL, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ₹385.95, calculated fair value ₹510.21 (+32%), Quality Score 56/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HPBL calculated?
We run HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹510.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd currently trades 32 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ₹385.95. Our model-based fair value is ₹510.21, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd right now?
Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (₹335.39 to ₹704.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
The market capitalisation of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd is ₹4.1B (≈ $42.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd is 0.71 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
Earnings per share at HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd are ₹21.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
The net margin of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd is 3.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd is 30.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
The operating margin of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
Revenue at HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd is growing +16.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL)?
Earnings per share at HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd are growing +64.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL) generate?
The free cash flow of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd is −₹190M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd (HPBL) carry?
The net debt of HCP Plastene Bulkpack Ltd is ₹2.3B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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