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Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. (HPHTY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $4.7B

HP Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. logo Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. HPHTY · US
Price$7.22
Fair Value$6.53
Upside-9.5%
Quality55/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 6.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.47% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range $4.70 – $8.60 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $3.63 to $6.53 (+80.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −10.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($4.70 to $8.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$13.77 $3.57 Fair Value $6.53 Dec 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.57 – $13.77 · fair‑value band $4.70 – $8.60 · the $7.22 price screens above the $6.53 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. (HPHTY) currently trades at $7.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.53, implying the stock looks roughly 9.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. generated revenue of $218B at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 58.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.70 (bear case) to $8.60 (bull case); at $7.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -10%, HPHTY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.06 $1.09 $1.14 80
ROIC Compounder $1.89 $2.03 $2.15 72
Growth-Adj P/E $2.92 $4.17 $5.42 68
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.06 $1.09 $1.15 38
5Y Revenue Exit $2.10 $3.04 $4.26 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.62 $7.71 $11.35 41
5Y P/E Exit $3.08 $4.85 $6.72 38
10Y Revenue Exit $1.65 $2.41 $3.45 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.27 $5.56 $8.70 37
10Y P/E Exit $2.31 $3.63 $5.27 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.19 $3.57 $4.72 54
Lynch FV $0.7566 $1.08 $1.41 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.7566 $1.08 $1.41 46
EPV $1.89 $2.03 $2.15 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.67 $4.89 $6.11 63
P/S Multiple $2.23 $2.97 $3.71 58
P/B Multiple $2.23 $2.97 $3.71 55
EV/EBIT $4.56 $5.75 $6.95 53
EV/EBITDA $7.38 $9.51 $11.64 54
EV/Revenue $2.79 $3.57 $4.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.99 $2.66 $3.98 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.06 $1.09 $1.14 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.95 $2.93 $2.65 61
ROIC Compounder $1.89 $2.03 $2.15 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.92 $4.17 $5.42 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($4.17) versus Earnings-Based ($1.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $218B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9%
Net margin 6.2%
Return on equity 4.3%
Free cash flow $562M FY2025
P/E ratio 58.0
More key figures
Operating margin 12.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.1400
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +14.5%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. manufactures and sells photomultiplier tubes, imaging devices, light sources, opto-semiconductors, and imaging and analyzing systems in Japan and internationally. It operates through four segments: Electron Tube, Opto-Semiconductor, Imaging and Measurement Instruments, Laser, and Other.

Full company description

Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. manufactures and sells photomultiplier tubes, imaging devices, light sources, opto-semiconductors, and imaging and analyzing systems in Japan and internationally. It operates through four segments: Electron Tube, Opto-Semiconductor, Imaging and Measurement Instruments, Laser, and Other. The company offers optical sensors, including photodiodes, avalanche photodiodes, photo integrated circuits, multi-pixel photon counters, single-photon avalanche diodes, photomultiplier tubes, phototubes, image sensors, spectrometers, spectrum sensors, infrared detectors, ultraviolet and flame sensors, radiation and x-ray sensors, electron and ion sensors, distance and position sensors, and terahertz sensors. It also provides optical components, such as optical blocks, fiber optic plates, FAC lenses, collimating capillary lenses, capillary plates, flow cells, LCOS-SLM optical phase modulators, image splitting optics, MEMS mirrors, terahertz wave plates, porous transfer plates, photonic crystal fibers, and QPM optical modules. In addition, the company offers cameras, comprising qCMOS, CMOS, sCMOS, InGaAs, TDI, board-level CMOS, board-level TDI, x-ray line scan, x-ray TDI, x-ray CMOS cameras, as well as high-resolution x-ray imaging systems, and software. Further, it provides light and radiation sources, such as LEDs, lamps, lamp modules and units, UV-LED light sources, excimer lamp light sources, microfocus x-ray sources, soft x-ray sources, extreme ultraviolet and soft x-ray sources, laser-driven tunable light sources, laser-driven light sources, chromatiq spectral engines; lasers, including semiconductor, applied products of semiconductor, solid-state lasers, and laser-related products; and manufacturing support, semiconductor manufacturing support systems, photometry, life science, and medical systems. The company was formerly known as Hamamatsu TV Co., Ltd. Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. was incorporated in 1953 and is headquartered in Hamamatsu, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. reported revenue of $212B in FY2025 versus $169B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $14.2B in FY2025, compounding −13.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$212B
Latest YoY
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+6.0%
Revenue +5.8%/yr
FY21 $169B
FY22 $209B
FY23 $221B
FY24 $204B
FY25 $212B
Net income −13.2%/yr
FY21 $25.1B
FY22 $41.3B
FY23 $42.8B
FY24 $25.1B
FY25 $14.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HPHTY

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 58.0× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 8.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 21 · sector 0
FUTURE 40 · sector 32
PAST 17 · sector 24
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. (HPHTY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.53 versus a price of $7.22, about −10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HPHTY?
Our model-based fair value for Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. is $6.53 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.22.
What is the quality score of HPHTY?
Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. (HPHTY)?
Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $218B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HPHTY?
The net profit margin of Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. is about 6.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. pay a dividend?
Hamamatsu Photonics K.K. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.47% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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