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Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Huadian Power International Corporation $1.21, price $0.61, upside +97.1%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Huadian Power International Corporation
HPIFF · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value $1.21 · Strongly undervalued (+97.1%)
!Quality 36/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 44/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1647 – $0.6140 · fair‑value band $0.7800 – $1.51 · the $0.6140 price screens below the $1.21 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Huadian Power International Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the power generation, heat supply, coal sales, and other related businesses in the People's Republic of China.
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Huadian Power International Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the power generation, heat supply, coal sales, and other related businesses in the People's Republic of China. The company is involved in the construction and operation of power plants, including large-scale, coal-fired, and gas-fired generator units; and hydropower projects. It also engages in coal production and sales; coal mine machinery equipment and accessories sales; power heat project investment and development; purchase and sale of electricity; power project consulting and engineering services; power construction project management and consulting; investment and asset management; design and development; coal wholesale business; goods and materials sales; machinery and equipment sales; production of electrical equipment; and construction and operation of wharf projects. As of December 31, 2025, the company had 55 controlled power plants with a total installed capacity of approximately 77,924,288 kilowatts (kW), including a total of approximately 54,380 kW through coal-fired power generation, 21,072,708 kW through gas-fired power generation, 2,459 MW through hydropower, and 12,580 kW through self-consumed photovoltaic power generation. The company was formerly known as Shandong International Power Development Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Huadian Power International Corporation Limited in June 2004. Huadian Power International Corporation Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF) currently trades at $0.6140, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.21, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.22 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.6140 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.3900, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.7800 (bear) to $1.51 (bull), the price of $0.6140 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Huadian Power International Corporation reported revenue of 123B CNY in FY2025 versus 104B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was 5.9B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $7.6B · P/E ratio 8.8 · P/S ratio 0.42 · EPS (TTM) $0.0700 · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 8.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 97%, HPIFF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.7800
Fair Value $1.21
Bull $1.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$1.11
$2.10
$3.54
78
Growth DCF
$1.14
$2.01
$3.20
77
Residual Income
$0.5400
$0.6200
$0.8500
76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$1.11
$2.10
$3.54
78
Owner Earnings
$0.0800
$0.5200
$1.17
68
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.5300
$1.15
$1.91
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
$1.07
$2.16
$3.41
73
5Y P/E Exit
$0.4600
$1.01
$1.58
68
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.7000
$1.31
$2.09
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$1.07
$1.99
$3.21
66
10Y P/E Exit
$0.6900
$1.22
$1.84
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.4800
$1.50
$2.00
64
Lynch FV
$0.3300
$0.4700
$0.6100
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.3300
$0.4700
$0.6100
57
EPV
n/a
$0.1100
$0.2100
68
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.9600
$1.28
$1.60
63
P/S Multiple
$0.9100
$1.21
$1.51
58
P/B Multiple
$0.7800
$1.05
$1.31
55
EV/EBIT
$0.4900
$0.9000
$1.32
63
EV/EBITDA
$1.27
$1.95
$2.63
66
EV/Revenue
$0.2500
$0.6800
$1.12
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.2900
$0.3900
$0.5800
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$1.14
$2.01
$3.20
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.5300
$1.16
$1.90
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.5400
$0.6200
$0.8500
76
ROIC Compounder
n/a
$0.1100
$0.2100
68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.8100
$1.16
$1.50
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
36/100
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Profitability
29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
8
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8.0% vs −4.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.4% a year for the price and −3.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−1.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−2.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)−1.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)−1.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)−0.5%
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $75.74 | $29.97 | −60% |
| The Southern Company SO | $82.89 | $57.57 | −31% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $113.41 | $74.88 | −34% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $118.64 | $100.03 | −16% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $60.76 | $37.84 | −38% |
| Entergy Corporation ETR | $98.10 | $37.37 | −62% |
| Xcel Energy Inc XEL | $69.39 | $54.92 | −21% |
| Exelon Corporation EXC | $40.32 | $36.01 | −11% |
| Consolidated Edison, Inc ED | $103.33 | $47.76 | −54% |
| PG&E Corporation PCG | $12.34 | $17.85 | +45% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.21 versus a price of $0.6140, about +97% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HPIFF?
Our model-based fair value for Huadian Power International Corporation is $1.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.6140.
What is the quality score of HPIFF?
Huadian Power International Corporation has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.7800, optimistic scenario $1.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Huadian Power International Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.21, about +97% upside versus a price of $0.6140 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.7800, optimistic scenario $1.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
Huadian Power International Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 123B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Huadian Power International Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by -1.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HPIFF use?
Our models discount Huadian Power International Corporation at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.29, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Huadian Power International Corporation that is -1.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Huadian Power International Corporation grew +6.2 % a year. The price currently implies -1.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Huadian Power International Corporation (-1.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.84 %: that much free cash flow Huadian Power International Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Huadian Power International Corporation it is $1.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.6140. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Huadian Power International Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HPIFF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.6140, fair value $1.21, a gap of about +97% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HPIFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.6140); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.21). For Huadian Power International Corporation the two are $0.5960 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Huadian Power International Corporation worth?
The market values Huadian Power International Corporation at about $7.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.6140; our models calculate a fair value of $1.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HPIFF?
Our models span a range for Huadian Power International Corporation: cautious scenario $0.7800, base $1.21, optimistic $1.51 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.6140). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is HPIFF from its 52-week high?
Huadian Power International Corporation trades at $0.6140, at its 52-week high of $0.6140 and 25% above the low of $0.4920 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Huadian Power International Corporation?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Huadian Power International Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.6140, calculated fair value $1.21 (+97%), Quality Score 36/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HPIFF calculated?
We run Huadian Power International Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Huadian Power International Corporation currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.6140. Our model-based fair value is $1.21, about +97% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Huadian Power International Corporation right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.7800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range ($0.7800 to $1.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF) come from?
Earnings per share at Huadian Power International Corporation grew −3.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.2 %, EBIT margin −13.5 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +7.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Huadian Power International Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
The market capitalisation of Huadian Power International Corporation is $7.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Huadian Power International Corporation is 8.8 (as of Jun 21, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Huadian Power International Corporation is 0.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
Earnings per share at Huadian Power International Corporation are $0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
The net margin of Huadian Power International Corporation is 4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Huadian Power International Corporation is 8.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Huadian Power International Corporation is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
The operating margin of Huadian Power International Corporation is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
Revenue at Huadian Power International Corporation is growing −9.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF)?
Earnings per share at Huadian Power International Corporation are growing −17.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Huadian Power International Corporation (HPIFF) carry?
The net debt of Huadian Power International Corporation is 151B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 12.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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