HomeToGo SE (HTG) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · DE · Market cap €170M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 24% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (€0.5695 to €1.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.9000 – €10.12 · fair‑value band €0.5695 – €1.14 · the €1.00 price screens above the €0.7565 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
HomeToGo SE (HTG) currently trades at €1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.7565, implying the stock looks roughly 24.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, HomeToGo SE generated revenue of €280M at a net margin of -39.5%. Revenue grew 71.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -40.6%. Net debt stands at €6.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.5695 (bear case) to €1.14 (bull case); at €1.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -24%, HTG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HomeToGo SE operates a marketplace for vacation rentals that connects users searching for a place to stay in Luxembourg and internationally. It operates in two segments, HomeToGo Marketplace and HomeToGo_PRO.
Full company description
HomeToGo SE operates a marketplace for vacation rentals that connects users searching for a place to stay in Luxembourg and internationally. It operates in two segments, HomeToGo Marketplace and HomeToGo_PRO. The company operates under the HomeToGo, Agriturismo.it, AMIVAC, Atraveo, Casamundo, CaseVacanza.it, e-domizil, EscapadaRural, Tripping.com, and Wimdu, as well as SECRA and Smoobu brands. It offers software and services for semi-professional agencies and hosts, which enables them to centrally control their listings and coordinate their actions across multiple platforms. HomeToGo SE was founded in 2014 and is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HomeToGo SE reported revenue of €255M in FY2025 versus €94.8M in FY2021, a compound +28.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€100.0M in FY2025.
HTG screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →
Peer Group
Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet Inc GOOGL | $354.46 | $145.14 | -59% |
| Meta Platforms, Inc META | $669.21 | $534.91 | -20% |
| Tencent Holdings 0700 | HK$460.20 | HK$467.50 | +2% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $485.38 | $209.56 | -57% |
| Baidu, Inc BIDU | $113.30 | $451.51 | +299% |
| Reddit, Inc RDDT | $195.34 | $39.59 | -80% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 | HK$44.70 | HK$101.03 | +126% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 191,300 KRW | 231,585 KRW | +21% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$34.74 | HK$65.78 | +89% |
| REA Group REA | A$149.14 | A$88.53 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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