Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd $0.26, price $2.00, upside -87.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.33 – $2.50 · fair‑value band $0.2500 – $0.3300 · the $2.00 price screens above the $0.2600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in mobile telecommunications business in Hong Kong and Macau.
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Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in mobile telecommunications business in Hong Kong and Macau. The company offers range of mobile telecommunications services and products, such as digital lifestyle and roaming services, as well as 5G Broadband, telemedicine, dietitian consultation, gaming, music, entertainment, mobile protection, and security applications; prepaid SIM cards with 4G data; and data plans. It also develops business and corporate solutions covering mobile business, information technology, smart city, Internet of Things, and big data, as well as provides solutions for indoor high speed internet access and 5G smart car park solutions. In addition, the company offers voice services, including local, international direct dialing (IDD), and international roaming services. The company offers diverse mobile telecommunications and data solutions under the 3 Hong Kong, 3 SUPREME, SoSIM, and Mo+ brand names. Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Hutchison Telecommunications Investment Holdings Limited.
Stock analysis
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR (HUTCY) currently trades at $2.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2600, 87.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $2.43 per share, and 8 of the 16 models we run sit above the $2.00 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.2500, and 8 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2500 (bear) to $0.3300 (bull), the price of $2.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR reported revenue of HK$5.4B in FY2025 versus HK$5.4B in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$25.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $643M · P/E ratio 200.0 · P/S ratio 0.12 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity 0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −87%, HUTCY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2500Fair Value $0.2600Bull $0.3300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.43/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −13.1% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.0% (2019) → 0.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−39.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in HKD, Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −41.1% a year for the price.
Compare Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−87.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−0.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.8% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)200.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.12× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF0.7× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)39· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)1· sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)75· sector 71
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HUTCY
Frequently asked questions
Is Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2600 versus a price of $2.00, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HUTCY?
Our model-based fair value for Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR is $0.2600 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.00.
What is the quality score of HUTCY?
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2600 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2500, optimistic scenario $0.3300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2600, about −87% upside versus a price of $2.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2500, optimistic scenario $0.3300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$5.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.75% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -39.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HUTCY use?
Our models discount Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.13, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR that is -39.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR grew +3.7 % a year. The price currently implies -39.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR (-39.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.06 %: that much free cash flow Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR it is $0.2600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.00. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HUTCY trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.00, fair value $0.2600, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HUTCY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2600). For Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR the two are $1.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR at about $643M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.00; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HUTCY?
Our models span a range for Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $0.2500, base $0.2600, optimistic $0.3300 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HUTCY?
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 200.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2600 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HUTCY from its 52-week high?
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR trades at $2.00, about 18% below its 52-week high of $2.43 and 11% above the low of $1.79 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.00, calculated fair value $0.2600 (−87%), Quality Score 52/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HUTCY calculated?
We run Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was $2.00. Our model-based fair value is $0.2600, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
The market capitalisation of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR is $643M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR is 0.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
Earnings per share at Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 200.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
The dividend yield of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR is 3.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
The net margin of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR is −0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR is 11.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
The operating margin of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
Revenue at Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR is growing +7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY)?
Earnings per share at Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR are growing −78.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd (HUTCY) hold?
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR holds more cash than debt, HK$193M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026