There (HVP) Fair Value & Analysis
Other · DE · Market cap €4.5B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from €0.1000 to €0.0300 (−70.0%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.0400). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (€0.0100 to €0.0400). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.2500 – €2.14 · fair‑value band €0.0100 – €0.0400 · the €0.2800 price screens above the €0.0300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
There (HVP) currently trades at €0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.0300, implying the stock looks roughly 89.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Other sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Net debt stands at €67.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.0100 (bear case) to €0.0400 (bull case); at €0.2800, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Other peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -89%, HVP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€4.30) versus Earnings-Based (€0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
There is no Profile data available for HVP.BE.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
There reported revenue of €37.8B in FY2024 versus €34.4B in FY2020, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was €120M in FY2024, compounding −69.4%/yr from FY2020.
HVP screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →
Peer Group
Other · 390 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation FREJO | $15.84 | $52.77 | +233% |
| 533278 533278 | ₹438.60 | ₹720.31 | +64% |
| Nestl?? India Limited 500790 | ₹1,459 | ₹191.93 | -87% |
| 540376 540376 | ₹3,993 | ₹1,806 | -55% |
| 540777 540777 | ₹567.55 | ₹142.69 | -75% |
| Lupin Limited 500257 | ₹2,476 | ₹1,983 | -20% |
| 540719 540719 | ₹1,788 | ₹850.02 | -52% |
| 524804 524804 | ₹1,620 | ₹1,268 | -22% |
| 540716 540716 | ₹1,612 | ₹1,224 | -24% |
| Eicher Motors Limited 505200 | ₹7,340 | ₹6,859 | -7% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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