Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. $22.09, price $17.81, upside +24.0%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range $7.31 – $896,524 · fair‑value band $16.06 – $27.67 · the $17.81 price screens below the $22.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, sells electrical equipment and materials, industrial automation, and proprietary products in Japan and internationally.
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Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, sells electrical equipment and materials, industrial automation, and proprietary products in Japan and internationally. It supplies a range of products, including light fitting; air conditioning systems; distribution panels; other electric equipment, such as power sockets and wiring accessories; other electrical materials for buildings comprising houses, office buildings, and public facilities; and environmentally friendly products, which include solar photovoltaic systems and LED light fittings, as well as plans and sells JAPPY brand products. The company also offers sensors; switches; relays; other control units; combinations of LCD devices; connectors; condensers; and other electrical components. In addition, it develops pipe covers, insulated copper tubes, and other products for air conditioners under the INABA DENKO brand; multimedia-compatible wiring systems for newly built digital age residences under the ABANIACT brand; and provides LED status indicating lights, sound alarms, and visual and audible communication network systems and solutions under the PATLITE brand. The company was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
Stock analysis
Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF) currently trades at $17.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.09, implying the stock looks roughly 19.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $23.88 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the $17.81 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.02, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $16.06 (bear) to $27.67 (bull), the price of $17.81 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. reported revenue of ¥384B in FY2025 versus ¥277B in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥18.8B in FY2025, compounding +13.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.0B · P/E ratio 13.7 · P/S ratio 0.67 · EPS (TTM) $1.30 · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 24%, IBADF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $16.06Fair Value $22.09Bull $27.67
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 7%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−16.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −18.2% a year for the price.
Compare Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 110 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+24% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13% · Above median
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.0% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
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Is Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.09 versus a price of $17.81, about +24% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IBADF?
Our model-based fair value for Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. is $22.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $17.81.
What is the quality score of IBADF?
Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $22.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $16.06, optimistic scenario $27.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $22.09, about +24% upside versus a price of $17.81 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $16.06, optimistic scenario $27.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥417B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. pay a dividend?
Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by -16.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IBADF use?
Our models discount Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. that is -16.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. grew +5.5 % a year. The price currently implies -16.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (-16.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.02 %: that much free cash flow Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. it is $22.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $17.81. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IBADF trades below its calculated fair value: price $17.81, fair value $22.09, a gap of about +24% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IBADF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($17.81); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($22.09). For Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. the two are $4.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. worth?
The market values Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. at about $2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $17.81; our models calculate a fair value of $22.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IBADF?
Our models span a range for Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd.: cautious scenario $16.06, base $22.09, optimistic $27.67 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $17.81). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IBADF?
Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $22.09 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 8.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IBADF from its 52-week high?
Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. trades at $17.81, at its 52-week high of $17.81 and 93% above the low of $9.22 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $22.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $17.81, calculated fair value $22.09 (+24%), Quality Score 69/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IBADF calculated?
We run Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $22.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. currently trades 24 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $17.81. Our model-based fair value is $22.09, about +24% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. right now?
Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
The market capitalisation of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. is $2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. is 0.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
Earnings per share at Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. are $1.30 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
The dividend yield of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. is 3.0% (payout 41.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
The net margin of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
The operating margin of Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
Revenue at Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. is growing +12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. (IBADF)?
Earnings per share at Inaba Denki Sangyo Co.Ltd. are growing +26.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026