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Data-driven stock valuation

Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ibiden Co.Ltd stock $9.57, price $60.17, that is 84.1% below the price, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US · Home Japan

IC Ibiden Co.Ltd logo Thin data Nov 1, 2026

Ibiden Co.Ltd

IBIDF · US
Stretched Valuation

Our calculation puts a fair price 84% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 61/100
Solidly profitable · 15.6% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +26%, profit +42%.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.3 %/yr in JPY)
0.1% dividend yield · Token dividend
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 61/100 · thin data
Fair value $9.57 · Strongly overvalued (−84.1%)
Thin data
Extreme value⚠ Thinly traded

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Glass or alternative substrates could displace ABF🚩Rivals Unimicron and SEMCO expand AI capacity🚩Heavy reliance on few chip-design customers

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$989,535 $5.73 Fair Value $9.57 Aug 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.73 – $989,535 · fair‑value band $5.78 – $13.73 · the $60.17 price screens above the $9.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 1, 2026.

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Company profile

Ibiden Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells electronic and ceramics products in Japan, Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally.

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The company offers plastic packaging; printed circuit boards ; and integrated circuit package substrates used as microprocessor units for personal computers and data centers, as well as graphic processing units for AI and vehicles.

It also provides diesel particulate filter substrates for passenger cars mounted with diesel engines, buses, and tracks; substrate holding mats for automobiles, construction machinery, and agricultural equipment; high temperature insulating wools for heat processing devices in energy industrial facilities for energy, molten metal casting apparatuses, fuel cells, and high-heat part insulating materials for combustion devices; graphite specialty for single crystal pulling apparatuses for silicon and SiC, auto and aviation electric discharge machining electrode, and industrial materials for continuous casting and industrial furnaces; and special carbon products, fine ceramic products, and ceramic fiber.

In addition, the company is involved in construction such as slope stabilization and landscaping; production of housing materials, including decorative interior laminates, services equipment, and wilhel; synthetic resin processing; agricultural and livestock products; marine product processing; sale of petroleum products; information services; environmental engineering technology; medical software package development; sale of information and communication terminals; sale of welfare vehicles; LP gas; styrol automotive components; and electrode for high-precision electric discharge machining.

The company was formerly known as Ibigawa Electric Power Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Ibiden Co.,Ltd. in November 1982. Ibiden Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1912 and is headquartered in Ogaki, Japan.

Stock analysis

Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF) currently trades at $60.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.57, 84.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $16.89 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the $60.17 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $1.48, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $5.78 (bear) to $13.73 (bull), the price of $60.17 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ibiden Co.Ltd reported revenue of ¥419B in FY2026 versus ¥401B in FY2022, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥64.1B in FY2026, compounding +11.7%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $34.0B Large · P/E ratio 80.2 · P/S ratio 12.3 · EPS (TTM) $0.7500 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 15.3% · Return on equity 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 61 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 89% below its 52-week high and 258% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −84%, IBIDF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.6200 to $36.90). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $5.78 Fair Value $9.57 Bull $13.73
Price $60.17 · Downside -84.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3970 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $1.45 $1.48 $1.52 82
Growth DCF $1.45 $1.48 $1.51 80
Owner Earnings $3.41 $4.05 $4.92 78
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.45 $1.48 $1.52 82
Owner Earnings $3.41 $4.05 $4.92 78
5Y Revenue Exit $4.62 $6.99 $10.07 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.95 $17.97 $26.16 74
5Y P/E Exit $9.01 $14.60 $20.40 70
10Y Revenue Exit $3.11 $4.86 $7.03 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.88 $11.62 $17.42 67
10Y P/E Exit $5.77 $9.55 $13.70 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.88 $9.69 $12.16 66
EPV $4.21 $4.61 $4.94 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.6200 $0.8400 $1.04 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.6200 $0.8300 $1.05 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $15.08 $20.10 $25.13 63
P/S Multiple $9.15 $12.21 $15.26 58
P/B Multiple $27.67 $36.90 $46.12 55
EV/EBIT $12.96 $16.89 $20.83 66
EV/EBITDA $20.09 $26.40 $32.70 67
EV/Revenue $7.13 $9.68 $12.24 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4100 $0.6200 $0.7800 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.45 $1.48 $1.51 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.44 $6.04 $7.25 76
ROIC Compounder $4.21 $4.61 $4.94 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.77 $15.39 $20.01 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 42
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 46
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 78
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 44
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 5
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 88
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 54
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 78
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.9% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +7.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18.8% vs 16.2%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 14%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 92% above its own trend.

IBIDF screens overvalued: fair value 84% below the price. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: The business benefits from strong data-center demand that has lifted margins on IC package substrates but shows very low free cash flow relative to operating cash flow.
Main risk: A faster shift to glass substrates or other advanced packaging like EMIB-T or CoWoP could reallocate demand away from Ibiden’s core ABF-based IC package substrates and hit volumes or margins in high-end AI and server applications.
Bull case: By leveraging its yield leadership and co-design relationships Ibiden could secure further customer-funded capacity and maintain share even as alternatives emerge.
Bear case: If glass substrates or rival capacity ramps mature faster than expected Ibiden could face lower utilization, price pressure and slower growth in its core electronics segment.
Ibiden produces IC package substrates that go into AI servers and high-performance chips. Strong data-center demand has lifted its electronics margins and prompted a sizable upgrade to full-year profit guidance. Will continued AI spending keep volumes and profitability rising, or will capacity additions and customer shifts erode the edge?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 651 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −84.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 12.7% · Above median
Return on assets 6.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 15.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 21.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 26.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.32× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 80.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B 10.12× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 12.68× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 39.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)51 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 251.00 TWD 292.29 TWD +16% vs IBIDF
TE Connectivity plc TEL $217.51 $224.30 +3% vs IBIDF
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 3,060 TWD 2,737 TWD −11% vs IBIDF
Amphenol Corporation APH $79.84 $70.91 −11% vs IBIDF
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥82.08 ¥66.42 −19% vs IBIDF
Celestica Inc CLS $249.22 $109.91 −56% vs IBIDF
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥45.27 ¥18.44 −59% vs IBIDF
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,355 TWD 519.57 TWD −62% vs IBIDF
Corning Incorporated GLW $123.20 $33.72 −73% vs IBIDF
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,193,000 KRW 171,572 KRW −86% vs IBIDF

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Ibiden Co.Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ibiden Co.Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IBIDF

Frequently asked questions

Is Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.57 versus a price of $60.17, about 84% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IBIDF?
Our model-based fair value for Ibiden Co.Ltd is $9.57 (as of Nov 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $60.17.
What is the quality score of IBIDF?
Ibiden Co.Ltd has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.57 (as of Nov 1, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.78, optimistic scenario $13.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ibiden Co.Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.57, about 84% lower versus a price of $60.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.78, optimistic scenario $13.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Ibiden Co.Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥442B (latest available figure, as of Nov 1, 2026).
Does Ibiden Co.Ltd pay a dividend?
Ibiden Co.Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.13% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ibiden Co.Ltd it is $9.57 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026), against a price of $60.17. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ibiden Co.Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 1, 2026, IBIDF trades above its calculated fair value: price $60.17, fair value $9.57, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IBIDF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($60.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.57). For Ibiden Co.Ltd the two are $50.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ibiden Co.Ltd worth?
The market values Ibiden Co.Ltd at about $34.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 1, 2026). Per share that is $60.17; our models calculate a fair value of $9.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IBIDF?
Our models span a range for Ibiden Co.Ltd: cautious scenario $5.78, base $9.57, optimistic $13.73 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026, price $60.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IBIDF?
Ibiden Co.Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 80.2 (as of Nov 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9.57 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 10.1, P/S 12.7, EV/EBITDA 39.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ibiden Co.Ltd (as of Nov 1, 2026): return on equity 12.7%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IBIDF from its 52-week high?
Ibiden Co.Ltd trades at $60.17, about 89% below its 52-week high of $564.45 and 258% above the low of $16.80 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ibiden Co.Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Hon Hai Precision Industry Co, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ibiden Co.Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 1, 2026: price $60.17, calculated fair value $9.57 (−84%), Quality Score 61/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IBIDF calculated?
We run Ibiden Co.Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9.57, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Ibiden Co.Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was $60.17. Our model-based fair value is $9.57, about 84% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ibiden Co.Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($5.78 to $13.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF) come from?
Earnings per share at Ibiden Co.Ltd grew +12.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.5 %, EBIT margin +5.9 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Ibiden Co.Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The market capitalisation of Ibiden Co.Ltd is $34.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ibiden Co.Ltd is 12.3 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Earnings per share at Ibiden Co.Ltd are $0.7500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 80.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The dividend yield of Ibiden Co.Ltd is 0.1% (payout 10.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The net margin of Ibiden Co.Ltd is 15.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ibiden Co.Ltd is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ibiden Co.Ltd is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The operating margin of Ibiden Co.Ltd is 21.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Revenue at Ibiden Co.Ltd is growing +26.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Earnings per share at Ibiden Co.Ltd are growing +41.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF) generate?
The free cash flow of Ibiden Co.Ltd is ¥291M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF) hold?
Ibiden Co.Ltd holds more cash than debt, ¥104B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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