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Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Ibiden Co.Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US

IC Ibiden Co.Ltd logo Thin data Sep 18, 2026

Ibiden Co.Ltd

IBIDF · US

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $19.40 · Strongly overvalued (−84%)
!Quality 60/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.3 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 15.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·20.70% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$989,535 $11.68 Fair Value $19.40 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.68 – $989,535 · fair‑value band $11.68 – $27.86 · the $120.76 price screens above the $19.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Ibiden Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells electronic and ceramics products in Japan, Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally.

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Ibiden Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells electronic and ceramics products in Japan, Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers plastic packaging; printed circuit boards ; and integrated circuit package substrates used as microprocessor units for personal computers and data centers, as well as graphic processing units for AI and vehicles. It also provides diesel particulate filter substrates for passenger cars mounted with diesel engines, buses, and tracks; substrate holding mats for automobiles, construction machinery, and agricultural equipment; high temperature insulating wools for heat processing devices in energy industrial facilities for energy, molten metal casting apparatuses, fuel cells, and high-heat part insulating materials for combustion devices; graphite specialty for single crystal pulling apparatuses for silicon and SiC, auto and aviation electric discharge machining electrode, and industrial materials for continuous casting and industrial furnaces; and special carbon products, fine ceramic products, and ceramic fiber. In addition, the company is involved in construction such as slope stabilization and landscaping; production of housing materials, including decorative interior laminates, services equipment, and wilhel; synthetic resin processing; agricultural and livestock products; marine product processing; sale of petroleum products; information services; environmental engineering technology; medical software package development; sale of information and communication terminals; sale of welfare vehicles; LP gas; styrol automotive components; and electrode for high-precision electric discharge machining. The company was formerly known as Ibigawa Electric Power Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Ibiden Co.,Ltd. in November 1982. Ibiden Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1912 and is headquartered in Ogaki, Japan.

Stock analysis

Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF) currently trades at $120.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.40, implying the stock looks roughly 522.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 22 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $11.68 (bear) to $27.86 (bull), the price of $120.76 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ibiden Co.Ltd reported revenue of ¥419B in FY2026 versus ¥401B in FY2022, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥64.1B in FY2026, compounding +11.7%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $39.2B · P/E ratio 89.5 · P/S ratio 13.7 · EPS (TTM) $1.35 · Net margin 15.3% · Return on equity 12.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8% · Operating margin 14.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −63% fair-value upside, at −84%, IBIDF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $11.68 Fair Value $19.40 Bull $27.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $440.74 $444.98 $451.42 82
Growth DCF $441.11 $445.16 $451.01 80
Owner Earnings $1,318 $1,668 $2,199 78
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $440.74 $444.98 $451.42 82
Owner Earnings $1,318 $1,668 $2,199 78
5Y Revenue Exit $1,552 $2,375 $3,444 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $3,746 $6,183 $9,029 74
5Y P/E Exit $3,073 $5,015 $7,028 70
10Y Revenue Exit $1,076 $1,733 $2,547 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $2,487 $4,274 $6,461 67
10Y P/E Exit $2,070 $3,494 $5,059 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1,561 $3,098 $3,887 66
EPV $1,502 $1,680 $1,837 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $231.42 $329.57 $430.59 69
DDM Multi-Stage $231.42 $324.97 $433.73 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4,822 $6,429 $8,036 63
P/S Multiple $2,927 $3,903 $4,879 58
P/B Multiple $2,927 $3,903 $4,879 55
EV/EBIT $4,202 $5,460 $6,717 66
EV/EBITDA $6,482 $8,499 $10,516 67
EV/Revenue $2,337 $3,155 $3,972 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $991.13 $1,328 $1,982 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $441.11 $445.16 $451.01 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1,812 $2,135 $4,494 71
ROIC Compounder $1,502 $1,680 $1,837 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3,445 $4,921 $6,397 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 81
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +7.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.19% vs 16%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 14%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 92% above its own trend.

IBIDF screens 522% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 649 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 19% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 20.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.32× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 89.5× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 134.7× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)93 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)49 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $77.65 $85.42 +10%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 136.42 CHF 28.71 −79%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,710 TWD 519.57 TWD −70%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥52.13 ¥19.37 −63%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,381,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −87%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥192.00 ¥21.19 −89%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.20 $138.66 −31%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥146.03 ¥66.42 −55%
Flex Ltd FLEX $107.90 $48.10 −55%
Celestica Inc CLS $316.81 $113.54 −64%

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Ibiden Co.Ltd · Fair Value
$19.40 −522%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ibiden Co.Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IBIDF

Frequently asked questions

Is Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.40 versus a price of $120.76, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IBIDF?
Our model-based fair value for Ibiden Co.Ltd is $19.40 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $120.76.
What is the quality score of IBIDF?
Ibiden Co.Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $19.40 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.68, optimistic scenario $27.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ibiden Co.Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $19.40, about −84% upside versus a price of $120.76 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $11.68, optimistic scenario $27.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Ibiden Co.Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥416B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ibiden Co.Ltd it is $19.40 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $120.76. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ibiden Co.Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, IBIDF trades above its calculated fair value: price $120.76, fair value $19.40, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IBIDF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($120.76); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($19.40). For Ibiden Co.Ltd the two are $101.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ibiden Co.Ltd worth?
The market values Ibiden Co.Ltd at about $39.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $120.76; our models calculate a fair value of $19.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IBIDF?
Our models span a range for Ibiden Co.Ltd: cautious scenario $11.68, base $19.40, optimistic $27.86 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $120.76). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IBIDF?
Ibiden Co.Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 89.5 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $19.40 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ibiden Co.Ltd (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 12.2%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Ibiden Co.Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Corning Incorporated, Delta Electronics, Inc, Luxshare Precision Industry Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ibiden Co.Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $120.76, calculated fair value $19.40 (−84%), Quality Score 60/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IBIDF calculated?
We run Ibiden Co.Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $19.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Ibiden Co.Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The closing price on Sep 14, 2026 was $120.76. Our model-based fair value is $19.40, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ibiden Co.Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($27.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($11.68 to $27.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF) come from?
Earnings per share at Ibiden Co.Ltd grew +12.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.5 %, EBIT margin +5.9 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Ibiden Co.Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The market capitalisation of Ibiden Co.Ltd is $39.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ibiden Co.Ltd is 13.7 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Earnings per share at Ibiden Co.Ltd are $1.35 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 89.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The net margin of Ibiden Co.Ltd is 15.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ibiden Co.Ltd is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ibiden Co.Ltd is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
The operating margin of Ibiden Co.Ltd is 14.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Revenue at Ibiden Co.Ltd is growing +18.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF)?
Earnings per share at Ibiden Co.Ltd are growing +247% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF) generate?
The free cash flow of Ibiden Co.Ltd is ¥291M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Ibiden Co.Ltd (IBIDF) hold?
Ibiden Co.Ltd holds more cash than debt, ¥104B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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