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Italmobiliare S.p.A (ITM) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · IT · Market cap €1.3B

IS Italmobiliare S.p.A ITM · MI
Price€25.85
Fair Value€28.09
Upside+8.7%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.76% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Medium Range €27.34 – €35.26 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −9.9% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€27.34). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€32.16 €19.13 Fair Value €28.09 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €19.13 – €32.16 · fair‑value band €27.34 – €35.26 · the €25.85 price screens below the €28.09 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Italmobiliare S.p.A (ITM) currently trades at €25.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €28.09, implying the stock looks roughly 8.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Italmobiliare S.p.A generated revenue of €779M at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue grew 12.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. Net debt stands at €285M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €27.34 (bear case) to €35.26 (bull case); at €25.85, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 9%, ITM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €26.36 €26.70 €25.55 76
ROIC Compounder €21.68 €24.55 €26.94 72
Growth-Adj P/E €28.97 €41.39 €53.81 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €16.73 €23.89 €33.40 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €15.15 €46.94 €62.39 54
Lynch FV €10.17 €14.53 €18.89 50
PEG = 1.0 €10.17 €14.53 €18.89 46
EPV €21.68 €24.55 €26.94 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €35.10 €46.80 €58.50 63
P/S Multiple €20.15 €26.86 €33.58 58
P/B Multiple €28.41 €37.89 €47.36 55
EV/EBIT €37.91 €50.34 €62.77 53
EV/EBITDA €40.71 €54.07 €67.43 54
EV/Revenue €18.25 €25.80 €33.36 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €17.63 €23.62 €35.26 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €26.36 €26.70 €25.55 76
ROIC Compounder €21.68 €24.55 €26.94 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €28.97 €41.39 €53.81 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€41.39) versus Earnings-Based (€14.53). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €779M
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.8%
Net margin 7.2%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow −€53.1M FY2024
P/E ratio 22.9
More key figures
Operating margin 11.5%
EPS (TTM) €1.32
Dividend yield 3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +51.7%
Net debt €285M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Italmobiliare S.p.A., an investment holding company, owns and manages a portfolio of equity and other investments in the financial and industrial sectors in Italy and internationally. The company produces and sells coffee in compatible capsules and pods; cosmetics and fragrances; cooked and smoked cured meat; and cycling and motorcycling footwear.

Full company description

Italmobiliare S.p.A., an investment holding company, owns and manages a portfolio of equity and other investments in the financial and industrial sectors in Italy and internationally. The company produces and sells coffee in compatible capsules and pods; cosmetics and fragrances; cooked and smoked cured meat; and cycling and motorcycling footwear. It also produces and distributes electricity from renewable sources, including hydroelectric, wind, and photovoltaic plants. In addition, the company operates a network of specialist diagnostic, dental, and physio-kinesitherapy outpatient clinics; and an e-commerce platform that sells wine and spirits. Further, it manufactures and sells outdoor footwear and ski equipment under the Tecnica, Nordica, Moon Boot, Lowa, Blizzard, and Rollerblade brand names; designs, produces, and sells mechanical and electronic locks, and solutions for security and access management; engages in the non-life insurance retail focusing on motor segment; and holds alternative investments in private equity and credit, as well as offers factoring services. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Italmobiliare S.p.A reported revenue of €705M in FY2024 versus €591M in FY2020, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was €93.6M in FY2024, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
€705M
Latest YoY
+19.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
−15.7%
Revenue +4.5%/yr
FY20 €591M
FY21 €497M
FY22 €488M
FY23 €591M
FY24 €705M
Net income +8.2%/yr
FY20 €68.3M
FY21 €140M
FY22 €21.1M
FY23 €66.6M
FY24 €93.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Italmobiliare S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ITM

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.89× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 4.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 45 · sector 29
FUTURE 64 · sector 19
PAST 16 · sector 27
HEALTH 97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 75 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Italmobiliare S.p.A (ITM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €28.09 versus a price of €25.85, about +9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ITM?
Our model-based fair value for Italmobiliare S.p.A is €28.09 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €25.85.
What is the quality score of ITM?
Italmobiliare S.p.A has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Italmobiliare S.p.A (ITM)?
Italmobiliare S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €779M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ITM?
The net profit margin of Italmobiliare S.p.A is about 7.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Italmobiliare S.p.A pay a dividend?
Italmobiliare S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.76% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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