Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited $6.26, price $4.64, upside +34.8%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range $3.53 – $4.64 · fair‑value band $5.30 – $7.82 · the $4.64 price screens below the $6.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited engages in the manufacture, import, export, distribution, wholesale, and sale of paper, paperboards, pulp, and paper-related products in Japan, Europe, Asia, Oceania, North America, and internationally.
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Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited engages in the manufacture, import, export, distribution, wholesale, and sale of paper, paperboards, pulp, and paper-related products in Japan, Europe, Asia, Oceania, North America, and internationally. The company operates through Japan Wholesaling; Non-Japan Wholesaling; Paper Manufacturing and Processing; Raw Materials and Environment; and Real Estate Leasing. The company offers household paper products and goods, processed papers, container materials, recovered papers, industrial chemicals, building materials, capacitor papers, paper products, and stationery and goods. It is also involved in the information management; sale of computer systems; development of software; internet retailing operations; retail of paper products; wholesale and retail of bookbinding materials; warehousing and transportation; paper converting, shipping, pallet recovery, and recycling; real estate leasing; and cargo handling. In addition, the company engages in the sale of materials to the electronics industry; sign and display media hardware sales and technical services; supply of thermal transfer ribbons and MICR ribbons; business management; sale of digital printers, paper, films and other media, ink and other supplies, graphic paper, and non-woven fabric; and provision of shared services delivering IT and finance services. Further, it is involved in the manufacture and sale of corrugated board and packages, household paper products, and biomass power generation. Additionally, the company engages in the generation and sale of renewable energy. Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited was founded in 1845 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF) currently trades at $4.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.26, implying the stock looks roughly 25.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $11.49 per share, and 22 of the 23 models we run sit above the $4.64 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $5.48, and 1 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $5.30 (bear) to $7.82 (bull), the price of $4.64 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited reported revenue of ¥555B in FY2025 versus ¥463B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥7.6B in FY2025, compounding +20.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $572M · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) $0.4200 · Dividend yield 4.1% · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at 35%, JPPPF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $5.30Fair Value $6.26Bull $7.82
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−21.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−25.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.1%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 3%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.9% a year for the price.
Compare Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 121 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Below median
Fair Value upside+35% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth10% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JPPPF
Frequently asked questions
Is Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.26 versus a price of $4.64, about +35% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JPPPF?
Our model-based fair value for Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited is $6.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.64.
What is the quality score of JPPPF?
Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.30, optimistic scenario $7.82. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.26, about +35% upside versus a price of $4.64 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $5.30, optimistic scenario $7.82. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥607B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited pay a dividend?
Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -1.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +4.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JPPPF use?
Our models discount Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited that is -1.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited grew +4.6 % a year. The price currently implies -1.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (-1.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.13 %: that much free cash flow Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited it is $6.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $4.64. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, JPPPF trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.64, fair value $6.26, a gap of about +35% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JPPPF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.26). For Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited the two are $1.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited worth?
The market values Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited at about $572M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $4.64; our models calculate a fair value of $6.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JPPPF?
Our models span a range for Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited: cautious scenario $5.30, base $6.26, optimistic $7.82 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $4.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JPPPF?
Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 4.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JPPPF from its 52-week high?
Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited trades at $4.64, at its 52-week high of $4.64 and 7% above the low of $4.34 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $4.64, calculated fair value $6.26 (+35%), Quality Score 40/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JPPPF calculated?
We run Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited currently trades 35 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $4.64. Our model-based fair value is $6.26, about +35% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Key figures of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
The market capitalisation of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited is $572M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited is 0.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
Earnings per share at Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited are $0.4200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
The dividend yield of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited is 4.1% (payout 45.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
The net margin of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited is 4.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
The operating margin of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
Revenue at Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited is growing +10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF)?
Earnings per share at Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited are growing +245% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited (JPPPF) carry?
The net debt of Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited is ¥79.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026