Japan Pulp and Paper Company (JPPPF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $511M
Japan Pulp and Paper Company
JPPPF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.56). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (17 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
17‑month range $3.53 – $4.64 · fair‑value band $5.56 – $9.28 · the $4.64 price screens below the $7.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
Japan Pulp and Paper Company (JPPPF) currently trades at $4.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.42, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Japan Pulp and Paper Company generated revenue of $607B at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. Net debt stands at $79.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.56 (bear case) to $9.28 (bull case); at $4.64, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 60%, JPPPF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($10.29) versus Earnings-Based ($5.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited engages in the manufacture, import, export, distribution, wholesale, and sale of paper, paperboards, pulp, and paper-related products in Japan, Europe, Asia, Oceania, North America, and internationally.
Full company description
Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited engages in the manufacture, import, export, distribution, wholesale, and sale of paper, paperboards, pulp, and paper-related products in Japan, Europe, Asia, Oceania, North America, and internationally. The company operates through Japan Wholesaling; Non-Japan Wholesaling; Paper Manufacturing and Processing; Raw Materials and Environment; and Real Estate Leasing. The company offers household paper products and goods, processed papers, container materials, recovered papers, industrial chemicals, building materials, capacitor papers, paper products, and stationery and goods. It is also involved in the information management; sale of computer systems; development of software; internet retailing operations; retail of paper products; wholesale and retail of bookbinding materials; warehousing and transportation; paper converting, shipping, pallet recovery, and recycling; real estate leasing; and cargo handling. In addition, the company engages in the sale of materials to the electronics industry; sign and display media hardware sales and technical services; supply of thermal transfer ribbons and MICR ribbons; business management; sale of digital printers, paper, films and other media, ink and other supplies, graphic paper, and non-woven fabric; and provision of shared services delivering IT and finance services. Further, it is involved in the manufacture and sale of corrugated board and packages, household paper products, and biomass power generation. Additionally, the company engages in the generation and sale of renewable energy. Japan Pulp and Paper Company Limited was founded in 1845 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Japan Pulp and Paper Company reported revenue of $555B in FY2025 versus $463B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was $7.6B in FY2025, compounding +20.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.58 | R$3.89 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.45 | €15.47 | -34% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.70 | R$138.01 | +231% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 103.00 | kr 49.40 | -52% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥14.13 | ¥17.29 | +22% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 305.40 | kr 217.72 | -29% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.55 | HK$8.73 | +16% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,078 CLP | 1,269 CLP | +18% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥22.05 | ¥24.32 | +10% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 68.70 | kr 48.60 | -29% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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