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Kakel Max AB (publ) (KAKEL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · SE · Market cap 32.2M SEK (≈ $3.3M) · ISIN SE0009921075

What is Kakel Max AB (publ) really worth?

KM Kakel Max AB (publ) KAKEL · ST
Pricekr 10.90
Fair Valuekr 17.44
Upside+60.0%
Quality57/100

A solid business, trading 38% below our fair value of kr 17.44.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.8% net margin
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range kr 12.35 – kr 22.55

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from kr 12.53 to kr 17.44 (+39.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +0.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 12.35). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 12.35 to kr 22.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 23.40 kr 8.15 Fair Value kr 17.44 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 8.15 – kr 23.40 · fair‑value band kr 12.35 – kr 22.55 · the kr 10.90 price screens below the kr 17.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Kakel Max AB (publ) (KAKEL) currently trades at kr 10.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 17.44, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 43.11 per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the kr 10.90 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 11.01, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kakel Max AB (publ) generated revenue of 175M SEK at a net margin of −0.8%. Revenue grew 40.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.8%. Net debt stands at 6.5M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 12.35 (bear case) to kr 22.55 (bull case); at kr 10.90, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at 60%, KAKEL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence kr 33.35 kr 43.11 kr 54.49 82
Growth DCF kr 33.67 kr 42.43 kr 52.18 80
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 21.23 kr 26.59 kr 32.25 77
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence kr 33.35 kr 43.11 kr 54.49 82
5Y Revenue Exit kr 34.68 kr 50.59 kr 70.10 73
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 21.23 kr 26.59 kr 32.25 77
10Y Revenue Exit kr 32.96 kr 45.62 kr 61.16 67
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 26.52 kr 31.73 kr 37.52 70
Multiples
EV/EBITDA kr 12.72 kr 16.39 kr 20.05 67
EV/Revenue kr 38.18 kr 53.81 kr 69.44 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 8.21 kr 11.01 kr 16.43 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 33.67 kr 42.43 kr 52.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 34.68 kr 51.03 kr 68.74 73

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 43.11) versus Asset-Based (kr 11.01). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.19 TTM
EPS (TTM) kr −0.4500
Net margin −0.8% FY2025
Return on equity −2.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.2% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 175M SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +40.8% 3y avg −0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −93.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 12.2M SEK FY2025
Net debt 6.5M SEK FY2025 · ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Kakel Max AB (publ) operates in the construction ceramic market in Sweden. The company offers tiles, clinker, and natural stones, as well as bathroom furniture. It sells its products through its own stores, warehouses, and resellers. Kakel Max AB (publ) was founded in 1987 and is based in Östervåla, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kakel Max AB (publ) reported revenue of 175M SEK in FY2025 versus 151M SEK in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was −1.4M SEK in FY2025.

Growth Quality 39/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
175M SEK
Latest YoY
+22.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +3.8%/yr
FY21 151M SEK
FY22 176M SEK
FY23 155M SEK
FY24 143M SEK
FY25 175M SEK
Net income
FY21 1.4M SEK
FY22 5.4M SEK
FY23 848K SEK
FY24 −5.5M SEK
FY25 −1.4M SEK

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kakel Max AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KAKEL

Peer Group

Building Materials · 258 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 21
FUTURE44 · sector 3
PAST0 · sector 15
HEALTH99 · sector 92
DIVIDEND0 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $96.05 $69.69 −27%
Holcim AG HOLN CHF 71.04 CHF 20.00 −72%
Vulcan Materials Company VMC $279.86 $114.48 −59%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,891 ₹4,718 −60%
Heidelberg Materials AG HEI €170.05 €167.96 −1%
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc MLM $543.90 $215.31 −60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥40.56 ¥13.22 −67%
Amrize AG AMRZ CHF 37.65 CHF 29.67 −21%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,293 ₹1,245 −62%
CEMEX, S.A. CX $11.24 $11.31 +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kakel Max AB (publ) (KAKEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 17.44 versus a price of kr 10.90, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KAKEL?
Our model-based fair value for Kakel Max AB (publ) is kr 17.44 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 10.90.
What is the quality score of KAKEL?
Kakel Max AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kakel Max AB (publ) (KAKEL)?
Kakel Max AB (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 175M SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KAKEL?
The net profit margin of Kakel Max AB (publ) is about −0.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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