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KCG Corporation (KCG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 5.7B THB

KC KCG Corporation KCG · BK
Price10.60 THB
Fair Value18.47 THB
Upside+74.3%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.15% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range 13.85 THB – 23.09 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +1.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 74% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (13.85 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

10.90 THB 5.71 THB Fair Value 18.47 THB Aug 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

36‑month range 5.71 THB – 10.90 THB · fair‑value band 13.85 THB – 23.09 THB · the 10.60 THB price screens below the 18.47 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

KCG Corporation (KCG) currently trades at 10.60 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.47 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 74.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, KCG Corporation generated revenue of 8.8B THB at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at 879M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 13.85 THB (bear case) to 23.09 THB (bull case); at 10.60 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 74%, KCG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 20.23 THB 34.38 THB 57.14 THB 80
Residual Income 5.90 THB 7.60 THB 18.51 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 14.19 THB 23.14 THB 34.73 THB 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 20.44 THB 36.07 THB 62.25 THB 38
Owner Earnings 12.01 THB 21.16 THB 36.47 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 14.19 THB 23.21 THB 35.19 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 16.77 THB 28.53 THB 43.11 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 15.81 THB 26.54 THB 38.66 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 15.82 THB 25.01 THB 38.60 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 17.86 THB 28.82 THB 45.08 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 17.23 THB 27.39 THB 41.44 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 6.28 THB 29.18 THB 40.09 THB 54
Lynch FV 7.70 THB 11.00 THB 14.30 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 7.70 THB 11.00 THB 14.30 THB 46
EPV 8.89 THB 10.28 THB 11.47 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.60 THB 7.17 THB 10.86 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.60 THB 6.20 THB 7.57 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 14.54 THB 19.39 THB 24.24 THB 63
P/S Multiple 11.77 THB 15.70 THB 19.62 THB 58
P/B Multiple 11.77 THB 15.70 THB 19.62 THB 55
EV/EBIT 15.69 THB 20.89 THB 26.08 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 16.24 THB 21.61 THB 26.98 THB 54
EV/Revenue 11.23 THB 16.00 THB 20.76 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.93 THB 3.93 THB 5.87 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 20.23 THB 34.38 THB 57.14 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 14.19 THB 23.14 THB 34.73 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 5.90 THB 7.60 THB 18.51 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 9.92 THB 13.25 THB 17.62 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 12.27 THB 17.52 THB 22.78 THB 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (26.54 THB) versus Asset-Based (3.93 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.8B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.5%
Net margin 6.1%
Return on equity 16.7%
Free cash flow 905M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 10.6
More key figures
Operating margin 8.7%
EPS (TTM) 0.9800 THB
Dividend yield 5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +27.3%
Net debt 879M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

KCG Corporation Public Company Limited manufactures, sells, and imports food and bakery products in Thailand and internationally. It provides dairy products, including butter, cheese, and other dairy products.

Full company description

KCG Corporation Public Company Limited manufactures, sells, and imports food and bakery products in Thailand and internationally. It provides dairy products, including butter, cheese, and other dairy products. The company also offers food ingredients, packaged food, frozen food, bakery ingredients, food additives, concentrated fruit juices, and bakery and cooking equipment, as well as biscuits, such as cookies, crackers, and wafers. In addition, it sells preserved and flavored meat and poultry products. The company was incorporated in 1958 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. KCG Corporation Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of Kim Chua Group Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

KCG Corporation reported revenue of 8.6B THB in FY2025 versus 5.2B THB in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was 503M THB in FY2025, compounding +13.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.6B THB
Latest YoY
+11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.9%
Revenue +13.3%/yr
FY21 5.2B THB
FY22 6.2B THB
FY23 7.2B THB
FY24 7.7B THB
FY25 8.6B THB
Net income +13.5%/yr
FY21 303M THB
FY22 241M THB
FY23 306M THB
FY24 406M THB
FY25 503M THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KCG Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KCG

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +74% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.77× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 28
FUTURE 38 · sector 20
PAST 67 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KCG Corporation (KCG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.47 THB versus a price of 10.60 THB, about +74% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KCG?
Our model-based fair value for KCG Corporation is 18.47 THB (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 10.60 THB.
What is the quality score of KCG?
KCG Corporation has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KCG Corporation (KCG)?
KCG Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.8B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KCG?
The net profit margin of KCG Corporation is about 6.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does KCG Corporation pay a dividend?
KCG Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.43% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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