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The KCP Limited (KCP) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹21.9B

TK The KCP Limited KCP · NSE
Price₹152.12
Fair Value₹161.87
Upside+6.4%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.29% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹121.40 – ₹202.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from ₹259.92 to ₹161.87 (−37.7%) since Jul 3, 2026. Share price −10.8% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ₹121.40 (bear) to ₹202.33 (bull), base ₹161.87. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹270.05 ₹89.73 Fair Value ₹161.87 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹89.73 – ₹270.05 · fair‑value band ₹121.40 – ₹202.33 · the ₹152.12 price screens below the ₹161.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

The KCP Limited (KCP) currently trades at ₹152.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹161.87, implying the stock looks roughly 6.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, The KCP Limited generated revenue of ₹25.8B at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹5.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹121.40 (bear case) to ₹202.33 (bull case); at ₹152.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 6%, KCP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹352.22 ₹596.58 ₹1,091 80
Residual Income ₹125.77 ₹142.26 ₹222.37 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹296.38 ₹519.75 ₹917.18 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹370.17 ₹543.40 ₹1,095 38
Owner Earnings ₹79.56 ₹94.16 ₹124.81 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹296.38 ₹462.90 ₹808.10 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹299.81 ₹469.89 ₹800.08 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹296.55 ₹552.31 ₹894.99 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹312.70 ₹593.23 ₹784.15 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹323.35 ₹600.52 ₹1,097 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹320.98 ₹593.59 ₹1,055 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹103.97 ₹725.05 ₹1,018 54
Lynch FV ₹261.78 ₹373.97 ₹486.17 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹261.78 ₹373.97 ₹486.17 46
EPV ₹239.29 ₹267.82 ₹292.78 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹108.18 ₹224.94 ₹356.84 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹108.18 ₹189.67 ₹236.08 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹194.94 ₹259.92 ₹324.90 63
P/S Multiple ₹194.94 ₹259.92 ₹324.90 58
P/B Multiple ₹194.94 ₹259.92 ₹324.90 55
EV/EBIT ₹277.80 ₹347.70 ₹417.60 53
EV/EBITDA ₹267.40 ₹333.84 ₹400.27 54
EV/Revenue ₹249.84 ₹327.73 ₹405.61 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹69.11 ₹92.60 ₹138.21 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹352.22 ₹596.58 ₹1,091 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹296.38 ₹519.75 ₹917.18 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹125.77 ₹142.26 ₹222.37 76
ROIC Compounder ₹289.91 ₹399.33 ₹540.09 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹312.57 ₹446.53 ₹580.48 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹543.40) versus Asset-Based (₹92.60). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹25.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.7%
Net margin 7.7%
Return on equity 13.1%
Free cash flow ₹2.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 11.1
More key figures
Operating margin 14.1%
EPS (TTM) ₹15.28
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +126%
Net cash ₹5.0B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The KCP Limited engages in cement, heavy engineering, power generation, and hospitality businesses in India. It operates through Cement Unit, Heavy Engineering Unit, Hotel, and Sugar segments.

Full company description

The KCP Limited engages in cement, heavy engineering, power generation, and hospitality businesses in India. It operates through Cement Unit, Heavy Engineering Unit, Hotel, and Sugar segments. The company manufactures and sells cement; generates power from various sources, including thermal, hydel, solar, wind, and waste heat recovery; and produces refined sugar products under VARELLA brand. It also manufactures heavy equipment for various industries and operates Mercure Hyderabad KCP hotel. KCP Limited was incorporated in 1941 and is based in Chennai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

The KCP Limited reported revenue of ₹25.8B in FY2026 versus ₹21.0B in FY2022, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.0B in FY2026, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 83/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹25.8B
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.3%
Revenue +5.2%/yr
FY22 ₹21.0B
FY23 ₹22.5B
FY24 ₹28.4B
FY25 ₹25.3B
FY26 ₹25.8B
Net income +1.2%/yr
FY22 ₹1.9B
FY23 ₹417M
FY24 ₹1.9B
FY25 ₹1.5B
FY26 ₹2.0B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +10.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.6 pp

of which total revenue +8.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +1.6 pp
Tax rate +2.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The KCP Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KCP

Peer Group

Building Materials · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.23× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.85× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 42 · sector 27
FUTURE 39 · sector 2
PAST 52 · sector 15
HEALTH 92 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 6 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The KCP Limited (KCP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹161.87 versus a price of ₹152.12, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KCP?
Our model-based fair value for The KCP Limited is ₹161.87 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹152.12.
What is the quality score of KCP?
The KCP Limited has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The KCP Limited (KCP)?
The KCP Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹25.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KCP?
The net profit margin of The KCP Limited is about 7.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The KCP Limited pay a dividend?
The KCP Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.29% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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