KDDI Corp. (KDDIF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of KDDI Corp. $21.25, price $19.74, upside +7.7%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.59 – $19.83 · fair‑value band $15.11 – $28.36 · the $19.74 price screens below the $21.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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KDDI Corporation engages in the provision of mobile telecommunications services in Japan and internationally. It operates in two segments, Personal Services and Business Services.
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KDDI Corporation engages in the provision of mobile telecommunications services in Japan and internationally. It operates in two segments, Personal Services and Business Services. The Personal Services segment offers 5G telecommunication services and other services, such as finance, energy, and LX through its multi-brands comprising au, UQ mobile, and povo; and entertainment services, including video and games to individual customers. The Business Services segment provides smartphones and other devices, network and cloud services, and data center services to corporate customers under the TELEHOUSE brand name. It is also involved in the provision of solutions for the development and expansion of businesses through IoT, DX, generative AI, and other technology centered on 5G communications. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
KDDI Corp. (KDDIF) currently trades at $19.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.25, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $25.51 per share, and 17 of the 25 models we run sit above the $19.74 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.70, and 8 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $15.11 (bear) to $28.36 (bull), the price of $19.74 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
KDDI Corp. reported revenue of ¥6.1T in FY2026 versus ¥5.4T in FY2022, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥712B in FY2026, compounding +1.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $76.0B · P/E ratio 17.2 · P/S ratio 2.00 · EPS (TTM) $1.15 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 11.6% · Return on equity 14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 8%, KDDIF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $15.11Fair Value $21.25Bull $28.36
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.2% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−5.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8.2% vs −0.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 18%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.5% a year for the price and +1.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (82 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 237 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside+27.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14.0% · Above median
Return on assets3.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)11.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)14.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.45× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KDDI Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KDDIF
Frequently asked questions
Is KDDI Corp. (KDDIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.25 versus a price of $19.74, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KDDIF?
Our model-based fair value for KDDI Corp. is $21.25 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.74.
What is the quality score of KDDIF?
KDDI Corp. has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $21.25 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.11, optimistic scenario $28.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KDDI Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $21.25, about +8% upside versus a price of $19.74 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $15.11, optimistic scenario $28.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
KDDI Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥6.1T (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does KDDI Corp. pay a dividend?
KDDI Corp. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.21% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, KDDI Corp. would have to grow free cash flow by -0.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.8 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KDDIF use?
Our models discount KDDI Corp. at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For KDDI Corp. that is -0.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has KDDI Corp. (KDDIF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at KDDI Corp. grew +2.8 % a year. The price currently implies -0.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into KDDI Corp. (-0.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.13 %: that much free cash flow KDDI Corp. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KDDI Corp. it is $21.25 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $19.74. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KDDI Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, KDDIF trades below its calculated fair value: price $19.74, fair value $21.25, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KDDIF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($21.25). For KDDI Corp. the two are $1.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KDDI Corp. worth?
The market values KDDI Corp. at about $76.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $19.74; our models calculate a fair value of $21.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KDDIF?
Our models span a range for KDDI Corp.: cautious scenario $15.11, base $21.25, optimistic $28.36 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $19.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KDDIF?
KDDI Corp. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.2 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $21.25 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/B 2.4, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 7.6.
What is the PEG ratio of KDDIF?
The PEG ratio of KDDI Corp. is 1.66 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 28, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
Balance-sheet figures for KDDI Corp. (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 14.0%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KDDIF from its 52-week high?
KDDI Corp. trades at $19.74, at its 52-week high of $19.83 and 43% above the low of $13.82 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $21.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KDDI Corp.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KDDI Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $19.74, calculated fair value $21.25 (+8%), Quality Score 53/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KDDIF calculated?
We run KDDI Corp. through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $21.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. KDDI Corp. currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $19.74. Our model-based fair value is $21.25, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KDDI Corp. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($15.11 to $28.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF) come from?
Earnings per share at KDDI Corp. grew +0.4 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.4 %, EBIT margin −0.4 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of KDDI Corp.
How large is the market capitalisation of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
The market capitalisation of KDDI Corp. is $76.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of KDDI Corp. is 2.00 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
Earnings per share at KDDI Corp. are $1.15 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
The dividend yield of KDDI Corp. is 3.2% (payout 55.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
The net margin of KDDI Corp. is 11.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KDDI Corp. is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KDDI Corp. is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
The operating margin of KDDI Corp. is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
Revenue at KDDI Corp. is growing +8.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at KDDI Corp. (KDDIF)?
Earnings per share at KDDI Corp. are growing +42.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does KDDI Corp. (KDDIF) carry?
The net debt of KDDI Corp. is ¥4.3T (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 28, 2026