Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited ₹14.02, price ₹120, upside -88.4%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ₹14.02 · Strongly overvalued (−88.4%)
!Quality 38/100
!Mixed Growth(revenue 5y +16.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.4% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers(4/14)
!Narrow moat31/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹16.70 – ₹246.33 · fair‑value band ₹13.92 – ₹26.33 · the ₹120.43 price screens above the ₹14.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Kirloskar Electric Company Limited engages in the manufacturing and sale of various electrical equipment in India and internationally. The company operates through Power Generation and Distribution Group, Rotating Machines Group, and Others segments.
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Kirloskar Electric Company Limited engages in the manufacturing and sale of various electrical equipment in India and internationally. The company operates through Power Generation and Distribution Group, Rotating Machines Group, and Others segments. Its products include AC high and low voltage motors; AC generators; DC motors; DG sets; electronics, such as AC and DC drives, battery chargers, and uninterruptible power supply systems; and switchgears, including vacuum circuit breakers, SF6 circuit breaker, unitized package substations, panels, and porcelain clad vacuum circuit breakers. The company also provides traction products, such as dynamic breaking resistors, AC and DC traction motors, traction alternators, and radiator cooling fans; and cast resin, distribution, power, energy, and special transformers. It serves defense, metro rail, nuclear power, sugar, power transmission and distribution, data centers, pharmaceutical, water and irrigation, electronics, fertilizer, textile, steel and metals, building and infrastructure, oil and gas refineries, railways, thermal, mining, port and shipping, IT and telecom, FMCG, green hydrogen, renewable, chemical, automobile, paper, and cement industries. Kirloskar Electric Company Limited was incorporated in 1946 and is based in Bengaluru, India.
Stock analysis
Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL) currently trades at ₹120.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹14.02, 88.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ₹133.92 per share, and 2 of the 20 models we run sit above the ₹120.43 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹13.30, and 18 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹13.92 (bear) to ₹26.33 (bull), the price of ₹120.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Kirloskar Electric Company Limited reported revenue of ₹5.9B in FY2026 versus ₹3.3B in FY2022, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹83.8M in FY2026, compounding −40.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹8.0B (≈ $83.2M) · P/E ratio 95.6 · P/S ratio 1.36 · EPS (TTM) ₹1.26 · Dividend yield 12.7% · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 6.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −88%, KECL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹2.35 to ₹136.25). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹13.92Fair Value ₹14.02Bull ₹26.33
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.6386 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.7% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−19.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−31.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)12.7%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−8% → 5%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.7%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+37.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +32.0% a year for the price.
Compare Kirloskar Electric Company Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 791 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−88.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.8% · Below median
Return on assets4.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth26.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)12.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.72× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)95.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B6.08× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.36× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF31.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA24.2× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 28
PAST (return on equity)27· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 26
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kirloskar Electric Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KECL
Frequently asked questions
Is Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹14.02 versus a price of ₹120.43, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KECL?
Our model-based fair value for Kirloskar Electric Company Limited is ₹14.02 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹120.43.
What is the quality score of KECL?
Kirloskar Electric Company Limited has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹14.02 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹13.92, optimistic scenario ₹26.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kirloskar Electric Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹14.02, about −88% upside versus a price of ₹120.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹13.92, optimistic scenario ₹26.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
Kirloskar Electric Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Kirloskar Electric Company Limited pay a dividend?
Kirloskar Electric Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.68% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kirloskar Electric Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +37.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KECL use?
Our models discount Kirloskar Electric Company Limited at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.49, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kirloskar Electric Company Limited that is +37.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kirloskar Electric Company Limited grew +16.3 % a year. The price currently implies +37.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (+37.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.17 %: that much free cash flow Kirloskar Electric Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kirloskar Electric Company Limited it is ₹14.02 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹120.43. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kirloskar Electric Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, KECL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹120.43, fair value ₹14.02, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KECL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹120.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹14.02). For Kirloskar Electric Company Limited the two are ₹106.41 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kirloskar Electric Company Limited worth?
The market values Kirloskar Electric Company Limited at about ₹8.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹120.43; our models calculate a fair value of ₹14.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KECL?
Our models span a range for Kirloskar Electric Company Limited: cautious scenario ₹13.92, base ₹14.02, optimistic ₹26.33 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹120.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KECL?
Kirloskar Electric Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 95.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹14.02 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.1, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 24.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 6.8%, debt of 2.72 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KECL from its 52-week high?
Kirloskar Electric Company Limited trades at ₹120.43, about 21% below its 52-week high of ₹152.34 and 56% above the low of ₹77.31 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹14.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kirloskar Electric Company Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kirloskar Electric Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹120.43, calculated fair value ₹14.02 (−88%), Quality Score 38/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KECL calculated?
We run Kirloskar Electric Company Limited through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹14.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kirloskar Electric Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹120.43. Our model-based fair value is ₹14.02, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kirloskar Electric Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹26.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹13.92 to ₹26.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
The market capitalisation of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited is ₹8.0B (≈ $83.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited is 1.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
Earnings per share at Kirloskar Electric Company Limited are ₹1.26 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 95.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
The dividend yield of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited is 12.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
The net margin of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited is 1.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
The operating margin of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
Revenue at Kirloskar Electric Company Limited is growing +26.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL)?
Earnings per share at Kirloskar Electric Company Limited are growing +589% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kirloskar Electric Company Limited (KECL) carry?
The net debt of Kirloskar Electric Company Limited is ₹684M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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