Kervansaray Yatirim Holding (KERVN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 6.3B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Share price +59.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (9.55 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (3.82 TRY to 9.55 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.4100 TRY – 11.00 TRY · fair‑value band 3.82 TRY – 9.55 TRY · the 10.70 TRY price screens above the 6.21 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Kervansaray Yatirim Holding (KERVN) currently trades at 10.70 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.21 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 42.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Revenue declined 66.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 59.9%. Net debt stands at 2.4B TRY. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 2.0. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 3.82 TRY (bear case) to 9.55 TRY (bull case); at 10.70 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -42%, KERVN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (6.21 TRY) versus DCF Models (6.21 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kervansaray Yatirim Holding A.S. is a holding company, engages in providing consultancy in investment, financing, marketing, organization, and management. It also involves in renting out hotels in Turkey. Kervansaray Yatirim Holding A.S. was formerly known as Ceylan Yatirim Holding AS and changed its name to Kervansaray Yatirim Holding A.S. in 2013.
Full company description
Kervansaray Yatirim Holding A.S. is a holding company, engages in providing consultancy in investment, financing, marketing, organization, and management. It also involves in renting out hotels in Turkey. Kervansaray Yatirim Holding A.S. was formerly known as Ceylan Yatirim Holding AS and changed its name to Kervansaray Yatirim Holding A.S. in 2013. The company was incorporated in 1976 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years
Kervansaray Yatirim Holding reported revenue of −68.5M TRY in FY2023 versus 129M TRY in FY2019. Reported net income was −264M TRY in FY2023.
KERVN screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →
Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$44.40 | HK$75.65 | +70% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥23.56 | ¥14.53 | -38% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.04 | ¥14.35 | +19% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 28.72 TWD | +4% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,083 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥78.00 | ¥11.85 | -85% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥5.18 | ¥2.21 | -57% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹602.20 | ₹437.53 | -27% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 323.84 TRY | +86% |
| Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 | ¥8.08 | ¥7.87 | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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