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Keihan Holdings (KHNRF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.1B

KH Keihan Holdings logo Keihan Holdings KHNRF · US
Price$20.75
Fair Value$29.05
Upside+40.0%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.1% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.31% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range $21.79 – $36.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $29.53 to $29.05 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, screening 40% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($21.79). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$20.75 $19.89 Fair Value $29.05 May 2024 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range $19.89 – $20.75 · fair‑value band $21.79 – $36.31 · the $20.75 price screens below the $29.05 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Keihan Holdings (KHNRF) currently trades at $20.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.05, implying the stock looks roughly 40.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Keihan Holdings generated revenue of $332B at a net margin of 10.1%. Revenue grew 34.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at $357B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $21.79 (bear case) to $36.31 (bull case); at $20.75, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 40%, KHNRF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1,936 $3,681 $5,975 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1,270 $3,228 $5,352 74
P/E Multiple $4,412 $5,883 $7,354 63
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit $1,460 $3,514 $5,560 38
10Y P/E Exit $1,560 $3,284 $5,214 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1,905 $4,635 $5,992 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4,412 $5,883 $7,354 63
P/B Multiple $3,572 $4,762 $5,953 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1,558 $2,088 $3,117 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1,936 $3,681 $5,975 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1,270 $3,228 $5,352 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2,625 $2,849 $3,579 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($4,762) versus Asset-Based ($2,088). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $332B
Revenue growth (YoY) +34.2%
Net margin 10.1%
Return on equity 10.5%
Free cash flow $44.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 13.2
More key figures
Operating margin 12.1%
EPS (TTM) $1.57
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +141%
Net debt $357B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Keihan Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the transportation and various other businesses in Japan. It operates through Transportation, Real Estate Business, Distribution Industry, Leisure Service Industry, and Other Business segments. The Transportation segment is involved in railroad and bus operations.

Full company description

Keihan Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the transportation and various other businesses in Japan. It operates through Transportation, Real Estate Business, Distribution Industry, Leisure Service Industry, and Other Business segments. The Transportation segment is involved in railroad and bus operations. The Real Estate Business segment engages in the sale and lease of real estate, and wholesale of building materials. The Distribution Industry segment manages department stores, retail stores, and shopping malls. The Leisure Service Industry segment engages in hotels and sightseeing boats businesses. The Other Business segment is involved in sustainability business. The company was formerly known as Keihan Electric Railway Co., Ltd. Keihan Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Keihan Holdings reported revenue of $314B in FY2025 versus $253B in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was $28.3B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$314B
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−0.2%
Revenue +5.5%/yr
FY21 $253B
FY22 $258B
FY23 $260B
FY24 $302B
FY25 $314B
Net income
FY21 −$4.6B
FY22 $9.6B
FY23 $17.6B
FY24 $24.9B
FY25 $28.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Keihan Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KHNRF

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +40% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.89× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.2× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 87 · sector 21
FUTURE 100 · sector 16
PAST 42 · sector 20
HEALTH 56 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Keihan Holdings (KHNRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $29.05 versus a price of $20.75, about +40% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KHNRF?
Our model-based fair value for Keihan Holdings is $29.05 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $20.75.
What is the quality score of KHNRF?
Keihan Holdings has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Keihan Holdings (KHNRF)?
Keihan Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $332B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KHNRF?
The net profit margin of Keihan Holdings is about 10.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Keihan Holdings pay a dividend?
Keihan Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.31% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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