Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Kitanotatsujin Corporation $0.66, price $0.97, upside -32.0%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.8518 – $4.06 · fair‑value band $0.5000 – $0.8300 · the $0.9704 price screens above the $0.6600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Kitanotatsujin Corporation plans, develops, manufactures, and sells health foods, cosmetics, and miscellaneous goods in Japan. It offers health foods and beauty products under the J North Farm brand. The company sell its products through online mail-order channel. Kitanotatsujin Corporation was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF) currently trades at $0.9704, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6600, implying the stock looks roughly 47.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.8287 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.9704 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.2435, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.5000 (bear) to $0.8300 (bull), the price of $0.9704 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Kitanotatsujin Corporation reported revenue of ¥11.2B in FY2026 versus ¥9.5B in FY2022, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥698M in FY2026, compounding −15.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $135M · P/E ratio 19.4 · P/S ratio 1.20 · EPS (TTM) $0.0500 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 6.2% · Return on equity 8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −32%, KITAF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.5000Fair Value $0.6600Bull $0.8300
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−10.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−13% vs 9%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.2% a year for the price.
Compare Kitanotatsujin Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 251 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside−32% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)19.4× · Pricier than median
P/B2.66× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.92× · Pricier than median
P/FCF0.2× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA14.0× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 5
PAST (return on equity)35· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)49· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kitanotatsujin Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KITAF
Frequently asked questions
Is Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6600 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.9704, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KITAF?
Our model-based fair value for Kitanotatsujin Corporation is $0.6600 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $0.9704.
What is the quality score of KITAF?
Kitanotatsujin Corporation has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.6600 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5000, optimistic scenario $0.8300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kitanotatsujin Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.6600, about −32% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.9704 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.5000, optimistic scenario $0.8300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
Kitanotatsujin Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥11.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Kitanotatsujin Corporation pay a dividend?
Kitanotatsujin Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kitanotatsujin Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +12.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KITAF use?
Our models discount Kitanotatsujin Corporation at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kitanotatsujin Corporation that is +12.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kitanotatsujin Corporation grew +3.9 % a year. The price currently implies +12.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kitanotatsujin Corporation (+12.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.95 %: that much free cash flow Kitanotatsujin Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kitanotatsujin Corporation it is $0.6600 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.9704. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kitanotatsujin Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, KITAF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.9704, fair value $0.6600, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KITAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.9704); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.6600). For Kitanotatsujin Corporation the two are $0.3104 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kitanotatsujin Corporation worth?
The market values Kitanotatsujin Corporation at about $135M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.9704; our models calculate a fair value of $0.6600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KITAF?
Our models span a range for Kitanotatsujin Corporation: cautious scenario $0.5000, base $0.6600, optimistic $0.8300 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.9704). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KITAF?
Kitanotatsujin Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.6600 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 14.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kitanotatsujin Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KITAF from its 52-week high?
Kitanotatsujin Corporation trades at $0.9704, at its 52-week high of $0.9704 and 3% above the low of $0.9464 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.6600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kitanotatsujin Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, Kimberly-Clark Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kitanotatsujin Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.9704, calculated fair value $0.6600 (−32%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KITAF calculated?
We run Kitanotatsujin Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.6600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Kitanotatsujin Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $0.9704. Our model-based fair value is $0.6600, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kitanotatsujin Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.8300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF) come from?
Earnings per share at Kitanotatsujin Corporation grew +14.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +20.5 %, EBIT margin −6.7 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kitanotatsujin Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
The market capitalisation of Kitanotatsujin Corporation is $135M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kitanotatsujin Corporation is 1.20 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
Earnings per share at Kitanotatsujin Corporation are $0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
The dividend yield of Kitanotatsujin Corporation is 2.4% (payout 47.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
The net margin of Kitanotatsujin Corporation is 6.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kitanotatsujin Corporation is 8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kitanotatsujin Corporation is 15.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
The operating margin of Kitanotatsujin Corporation is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
Revenue at Kitanotatsujin Corporation is growing +23.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
Earnings per share at Kitanotatsujin Corporation are growing −11.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF) hold?
Kitanotatsujin Corporation holds more cash than debt, ¥5.7B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026