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Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $135M

KC Kitanotatsujin Corporation logo Kitanotatsujin Corporation KITAF · US
Price$0.9704
Fair Value$0.6500
Upside-33.0%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.44% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $0.4900 – $0.8100 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $0.8300 to $0.6500 (−21.7%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.8100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$4.06 $0.8518 Fair Value $0.6500 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.8518 – $4.06 · fair‑value band $0.4900 – $0.8100 · the $0.9704 price screens above the $0.6500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF) currently trades at $0.9704, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6500, implying the stock looks roughly 33.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kitanotatsujin Corporation generated revenue of $11.2B at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 23.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $5.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.4900 (bear case) to $0.8100 (bull case); at $0.9704, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -33%, KITAF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.5791 $0.7264 $0.9136 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.6144 $0.8509 $1.14 74
ROIC Compounder $0.4759 $0.5231 $0.5752 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.5823 $0.7471 $0.9696 38
Owner Earnings $0.5736 $0.7340 $0.9507 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.6144 $0.8535 $1.17 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.6432 $0.9102 $1.23 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.6421 $0.9081 $1.20 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.5854 $0.7828 $1.06 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.6111 $0.8175 $1.11 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.6105 $0.8162 $1.09 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.2105 $0.8311 $1.13 54
Lynch FV $0.2054 $0.2934 $0.3814 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.2054 $0.2934 $0.3814 46
EPV $0.4601 $0.4853 $0.5057 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.4875 $0.6500 $0.8125 63
P/S Multiple $0.3947 $0.5262 $0.6577 58
P/B Multiple $0.3947 $0.5262 $0.6577 55
EV/EBIT $0.8179 $1.01 $1.20 53
EV/EBITDA $0.7399 $0.9031 $1.07 54
EV/Revenue $0.6554 $0.8290 $1.00 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1790 $0.2398 $0.3579 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.5791 $0.7264 $0.9136 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.6144 $0.8509 $1.14 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.2725 $0.2835 $0.2915 61
ROIC Compounder $0.4759 $0.5231 $0.5752 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.3644 $0.5206 $0.6767 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.8162) versus Asset-Based ($0.2398). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $11.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.3%
Net margin 6.2%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow $847M FY2026
P/E ratio 19.4
More key figures
Operating margin 7.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.0500
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -11.8%
Net cash $5.7B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kitanotatsujin Corporation plans, develops, manufactures, and sells health foods, cosmetics, and miscellaneous goods in Japan. It offers health foods and beauty products under the J North Farm brand. The company sell its products through online mail-order channel. Kitanotatsujin Corporation was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Kitanotatsujin Corporation reported revenue of $11.2B in FY2026 versus $9.5B in FY2022, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $698M in FY2026, compounding −15.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$11.2B
Latest YoY
−4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.6%
Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY22 $9.5B
FY23 $9.8B
FY24 $14.7B
FY25 $11.8B
FY26 $11.2B
Net income −15.1%/yr
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $344M
FY24 $995M
FY25 $1.2B
FY26 $698M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +14.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +20.5 pp

of which total revenue +20.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.3 pp

EBIT margin −6.7 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

KITAF screens 33% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kitanotatsujin Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KITAF

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −33% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.4× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 100 · sector 4
PAST 35 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

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Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP ₹1,088 ₹367.64 -66%
Marico Limited MARICO ₹846.75 ₹233.05 -72%
APR Co 278470 375,000 KRW 151,222 KRW -60%
Dabur India Limited DABUR ₹429.45 ₹181.60 -58%
Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA 38.07 MXN 50.09 MXN +32%
PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR 1,730 IDR 1,934 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6500 versus a price of $0.9704, about −33% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KITAF?
Our model-based fair value for Kitanotatsujin Corporation is $0.6500 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.9704.
What is the quality score of KITAF?
Kitanotatsujin Corporation has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kitanotatsujin Corporation (KITAF)?
Kitanotatsujin Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KITAF?
The net profit margin of Kitanotatsujin Corporation is about 6.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kitanotatsujin Corporation pay a dividend?
Kitanotatsujin Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.44% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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