KMD Brands Limited (KMD) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$66.4M
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from A$0.0546 to A$1.81 (+3,208.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +6.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (A$1.21 to A$2.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.23 – A$21.30 · fair‑value band A$1.21 – A$2.41 · the A$1.49 price screens below the A$1.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
KMD Brands Limited (KMD) currently trades at A$1.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.81, implying the stock looks roughly 21.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, KMD Brands Limited generated revenue of A$1.0B at a net margin of -8.5%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.7%. Net debt stands at A$341M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$1.21 (bear case) to A$2.41 (bull case); at A$1.49, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 21%, KMD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$34.06) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.3000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
KMD Brands Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, markets, wholesales, and retails apparel, footwear, and equipment for surfing and the outdoors under the Kathmandu, Rip Curl, and Oboz brand names. It operates in New Zealand, Australia, North America, Europe, Southeast Asia, Japan, and Brazil, and internationally.
Full company description
KMD Brands Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, markets, wholesales, and retails apparel, footwear, and equipment for surfing and the outdoors under the Kathmandu, Rip Curl, and Oboz brand names. It operates in New Zealand, Australia, North America, Europe, Southeast Asia, Japan, and Brazil, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Kathmandu Holdings Limited and changed its name to KMD Brands Limited in March 2022. KMD Brands Limited was founded in 1987 and is based in Christchurch, New Zealand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
KMD Brands Limited reported revenue of A$989M in FY2025 versus A$923M in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$95.1M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Apparel Manufacturing · 212 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB | kr 163.45 | kr 165.47 | +1% |
| Ralph Lauren Corporation RL | $374.08 | $224.21 | -40% |
| Moncler S.p.A MONC | €52.08 | €50.69 | -3% |
| LPP SA LPP | 19,380 PLN | 17,754 PLN | -8% |
| Bosideng International Holdings 3998 | HK$4.88 | HK$5.92 | +21% |
| Youngor Fashion Co 600177 | ¥7.57 | ¥5.59 | -26% |
| Page Industries Limited PAGEIND | ₹39,900 | ₹12,395 | -69% |
| Hla Group 600398 | ¥6.05 | ¥9.92 | +64% |
| Eclat Textile Co 1476 | 333.50 TWD | 357.81 TWD | +7% |
| Youngone Corporation 111770 | 87,600 KRW | 196,629 KRW | +124% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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