Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc (KNSA) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $4.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +17.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 82% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($16.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.60 – $80.92 · fair‑value band $9.38 – $16.54 · the $76.06 price screens above the $13.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc (KNSA) currently trades at $76.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.57, implying the stock looks roughly 82.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc generated revenue of $754M at a net margin of 9.7%. Revenue grew 55.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $156M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.38 (bear case) to $16.54 (bull case); at $76.06, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 190% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -82%, KNSA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($59.20) versus Asset-Based ($8.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc, a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medical therapies in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Full company description
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc, a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medical therapies in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers ARCALYST, an interleukin-1alpha and 1beta cytokine trap for the treatment of recurrent pericarditis, a chronic autoinflammatory cardiovascular disease and cardiac sarcoidosis. It also develops KPL-387, an investigational and fully human immunoglobulin G2 monoclonal antibody, which is Phase 2/3 clinical trial for the treatment of recurrent pericarditis; and KPL-116, a Fc-modified immunoglobulin G2 monoclonal antibody, which is in pre-clinical stage. The company was formerly known as Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals, Ltd. and changed its name to Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc in June 2024. Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc was incorporated in 2015 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc reported revenue of $678M in FY2025 versus $38.5M in FY2021, a compound +104.8%/yr. Reported net income was $59.0M in FY2025.
KNSA screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- KNSA Q2 Earnings Call Backs Higher ARCALYST Sales Outlook
- Earnings Estimates Rising for Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc (KNSA): Will It Gain?
- Could Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International (KNSA) Be 16% Overvalued After Raised 2026 Guidance?
- Why Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals (KNSA) Is Up 29.6% After Raising 2026 Revenue Guidance And Advancing Pipeline
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥53.19 | ¥25.94 | -51% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,933 | ₹989.50 | -49% |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹7,316 | ₹1,943 | -73% |
| Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM | ₹4,763 | ₹1,329 | -72% |
| PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 | 1,285 TWD | 221.01 TWD | -83% |
| Cipla Limited CIPLA | ₹1,439 | ₹1,001 | -30% |
| Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE | ₹1,151 | ₹703.32 | -39% |
| Lupin Limited LUPIN | ₹2,443 | ₹2,477 | +1% |
| Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND | ₹2,484 | ₹983.11 | -60% |
| Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY | ₹1,211 | ₹874.79 | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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