Keros Therapeutics, Inc (KROS) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $211M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $68.92 to $10.19 (−85.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $9.91 – $21.84 · fair‑value band $7.68 – $12.74 · the $10.61 price screens above the $10.19 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Keros Therapeutics, Inc (KROS) currently trades at $10.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.19, implying the stock looks roughly 4.0% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $33.2M. It earns a return on equity of -16.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $271M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.68 (bear case) to $12.74 (bull case); at $10.61, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -4%, KROS screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Keros Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes novel therapeutics to treat patients with disorders linked to dysfunctional signaling of the transforming growth factor-beta family of proteins in the United States. It develops rinvatercept, which acts as a ligand trap and inhibits the biological effects of myostatin and activin A in Phase 1 clinical trials for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis; and elritercept to target TGF-ß signaling pathways to address diseases that arise from ineffective hematopoiesis in Phase 3 clinical trials for Myelodysplastic Syndromes and Phase 2 clinical trials for Myelofibrosis. The company has collaboration and license agreements with Hansoh (Shanghai) Healthtech Co., Ltd. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize elritercept and licensed products containing elritercept; and Takeda Pharmaceuticals U.S.A., Inc. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize elritercept and certain …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Keros Therapeutics, Inc reported revenue of $244M in FY2025 versus $20.1M in FY2021, a compound +86.7%/yr. Reported net income was $87.0M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | 7,746 MXN | 449.62 MXN | -94% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $635.45 | $547.01 | -14% |
| UCB SA UCB | €251.70 | €180.06 | -28% |
| argenx SE ARGNF | $900.00 | $382.64 | -57% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,000,000 KRW | 1,091,384 KRW | +9% |
| CSL Limited CSL | A$97.91 | A$100.60 | +3% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 167,300 KRW | 76,382 KRW | -54% |
| BioNTech SE B1NT34 | R$29.19 | R$21.38 | -27% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$32.74 | HK$24.99 | -24% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$85.35 | HK$21.13 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.