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Keros Therapeutics, Inc (KROS) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $211M

KT Keros Therapeutics, Inc logo Keros Therapeutics, Inc KROS · US
Price$10.61
Fair Value$10.19
Upside-4.0%
Quality59/100
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Evidence: High Range $7.68 – $12.74

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $68.92 to $10.19 (−85.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$21.84 $9.91 Fair Value $10.19 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $9.91 – $21.84 · fair‑value band $7.68 – $12.74 · the $10.61 price screens above the $10.19 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Keros Therapeutics, Inc (KROS) currently trades at $10.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.19, implying the stock looks roughly 4.0% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $33.2M. It earns a return on equity of -16.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $271M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.68 (bear case) to $12.74 (bull case); at $10.61, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -4%, KROS screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $33.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) -99.8%
Net margin -257%
Return on equity -16.8%
Free cash flow $106M FY2025
Operating margin -7,051%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.53
Net cash $271M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Keros Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes novel therapeutics to treat patients with disorders linked to dysfunctional signaling of the transforming growth factor-beta family of proteins in the United States. It develops rinvatercept, which acts as a ligand trap and inhibits the biological effects of myostatin and activin A in Phase 1 clinical trials for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis; and elritercept to target TGF-ß signaling pathways to address diseases that arise from ineffective hematopoiesis in Phase 3 clinical trials for Myelodysplastic Syndromes and Phase 2 clinical trials for Myelofibrosis. The company has collaboration and license agreements with Hansoh (Shanghai) Healthtech Co., Ltd. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize elritercept and licensed products containing elritercept; and Takeda Pharmaceuticals U.S.A., Inc. to develop, manufacture, and commercialize elritercept and certain …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Keros Therapeutics, Inc reported revenue of $244M in FY2025 versus $20.1M in FY2021, a compound +86.7%/yr. Reported net income was $87.0M in FY2025.

Revenue +86.7%/yr
FY21 $20.1M
FY22 $20.0M
FY23 $151K
FY24 $3.6M
FY25 $244M
Net income
FY21 −$58.7M
FY22 −$105M
FY23 −$153M
FY24 −$187M
FY25 $87.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Keros Therapeutics, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KROS

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Frequently asked questions

Is Keros Therapeutics, Inc (KROS) undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.19 versus a price of $10.61, about −4% (fairly valued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of KROS?
Our model-based fair value for Keros Therapeutics, Inc is $10.19 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.61.
What is the quality score of KROS?
Keros Therapeutics, Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Keros Therapeutics, Inc (KROS)?
Keros Therapeutics, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $33.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.