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Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya IDR 33, price IDR 62, upside -46.8%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · ID

BK Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya

KRYA · JK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 33.01 IDR · Strongly overvalued (−47%)
!Quality 30/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -93.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

579.07 IDR 50.00 IDR Fair Value 33.01 IDR Jul 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

50‑month range 50.00 IDR – 579.07 IDR · fair‑value band 27.51 IDR – 42.58 IDR · the 62.00 IDR price screens above the 33.01 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya Tbk, a construction company, engages in the steel fabrication and general contracting business in Indonesia. It undertakes construction works of commercial buildings, roads and bridges, ports and harbors, and residential properties, as well as industrials plants, such as factories and warehouses.

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PT Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya Tbk, a construction company, engages in the steel fabrication and general contracting business in Indonesia. It undertakes construction works of commercial buildings, roads and bridges, ports and harbors, and residential properties, as well as industrials plants, such as factories and warehouses. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Surabaya, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA) currently trades at 62.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.01 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 87.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 34.98 IDR per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 62.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 8.83 IDR, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 27.51 IDR (bear) to 42.58 IDR (bull), the price of 62.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya reported revenue of 90.8B IDR in FY2025 versus 103B IDR in FY2021, a compound −3.0%/yr. Reported net income was −85.0B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 103B IDR (≈ $5.8M) · P/S ratio 1.12 · Net margin −93.6% · Return on equity −136% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.6% · Operating margin −164% · Revenue (TTM) 90.8B IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) −85.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −47%, KRYA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 27.51 IDR Fair Value 33.01 IDR Bull 42.58 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 32.94 IDR 41.71 IDR 57.43 IDR 81
Growth DCF 33.95 IDR 42.40 IDR 56.39 IDR 80
5Y Revenue Exit 27.33 IDR 34.40 IDR 44.65 IDR 74
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 32.94 IDR 41.71 IDR 57.43 IDR 81
5Y Revenue Exit 27.33 IDR 34.40 IDR 44.65 IDR 74
10Y Revenue Exit 29.03 IDR 34.41 IDR 40.05 IDR 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue 24.92 IDR 31.75 IDR 38.58 IDR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.59 IDR 8.83 IDR 13.18 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 33.95 IDR 42.40 IDR 56.39 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 27.33 IDR 34.98 IDR 44.50 IDR 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 54
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−58.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.1% (2020) → −87.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.7% a year for the price.

KRYA screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 840 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −33% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −94% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −164% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −85% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $634.90 $163.08 −74%
Vinci SA DG €110.50 €185.62 +68%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,626 $1,122 −31%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,930 ₹1,994 −49%
Ferrovial N.V FER $56.30 $24.01 −57%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 256,792 KRW −30%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €397.00 €203.87 −49%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €92.75 €75.04 −19%
EMCOR Group EME $751.80 $521.87 −31%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $217.52 $106.05 −51%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRYA

Frequently asked questions

Is Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.01 IDR versus a price of 62.00 IDR, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KRYA?
Our model-based fair value for Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya is 33.01 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 62.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of KRYA?
Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 33.01 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 27.51 IDR, optimistic scenario 42.58 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 33.01 IDR, about −47% upside versus a price of 62.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 27.51 IDR, optimistic scenario 42.58 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 90.8B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya would have to grow free cash flow by +20.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KRYA use?
Our models discount Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.68, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya that is +20.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya grew +1.8 % a year. The price currently implies +20.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (+20.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.82 %: that much free cash flow Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya it is 33.01 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 62.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KRYA trades above its calculated fair value: price 62.00 IDR, fair value 33.01 IDR, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KRYA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (62.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (33.01 IDR). For Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya the two are 28.99 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya worth?
The market values Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya at about 103B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 62.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 33.01 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KRYA?
Our models span a range for Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya: cautious scenario 27.51 IDR, base 33.01 IDR, optimistic 42.58 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 62.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −135.8%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KRYA from its 52-week high?
Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya trades at 62.00 IDR, about 71% below its 52-week high of 216.00 IDR and 24% above the low of 50.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 33.01 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 62.00 IDR, calculated fair value 33.01 IDR (−47%), Quality Score 30/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KRYA calculated?
We run Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 33.01 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 62.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 33.01 IDR, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (42.58 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya

How large is the market capitalisation of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
The market capitalisation of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya is 103B IDR (≈ $5.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya is 1.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
The net margin of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya is −93.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya is −136% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya is −7.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
The operating margin of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya is −164% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
Revenue at Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya is growing −85.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA)?
Earnings per share at Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya are growing −8.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya (KRYA) carry?
The net debt of Bangun Karya Perkasa Jaya is 9.6B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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