Kissei Pharmaceutical Co (KSPHF) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $45.63 to $35.26 (−22.7%) since Jun 24, 2026.
Below-average quality, screening 37% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($26.44). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $14.26 – $30.62 · fair‑value band $26.44 – $44.07 · the $25.77 price screens below the $35.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Kissei Pharmaceutical Co (KSPHF) currently trades at $25.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.26, implying the stock looks roughly 36.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kissei Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of $97.4B at a net margin of 14.2%. Revenue grew 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $28.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $26.44 (bear case) to $44.07 (bull case); at $25.77, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 37%, KSPHF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($96.36) versus Asset-Based ($23.21). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kissei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical products primarily in Japan.
Full company description
Kissei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical products primarily in Japan. The company offers Calogra tablets, for the treatment of ulcerative colitis; Tabneos capsules for the treatment of microscopic polyangiitis and granulomatous polyangiitis; Minirin Melt OD tablets; Corsuba Intravenous Dialysis Syringe for the treatment of chronic idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura; Beova tablets for the treatment of overactive bladder treatment; and Darbepoetin Alfa BS injection JCR for the treatment of renal anemia. Its products in pipeline include CG0070, which is in Phase III clinical trial to treat non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer; Linzagolix, which is in Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of uterine fibroids and endometriosis; KDT-3594, which is in Phase II clinical trial to treat Parkinson's disease; KSP-0243 that is in Phase II clinical trial to treat Ulcerative colitis; and Difelikefalin, which is in Phase III clinical trial to treat uremic pruritus in dialysis patients. The company is also developing Silodosin for dysuria associated with benign prostatic hyperplasia; and Fostamatinib for tyrosine kinase inhibitor. In addition, it develops and sells protein controlled and energy supply food; and purchases and sells related materials, as well as offers system development and information processing, construction contracting, facility and equipment management, and information gathering and development support services. Further, the company engages in the information equipment rentals; insurance agency business; manufactures and sells noodles; and undertakes construction of factories, research institutes, offices, etc., as well as computer system design and development, and cloud services. Kissei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Kissei Yakuhin Kogyo Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Kissei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. in October 1964. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is based in Matsumoto, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Kissei Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of $98.0B in FY2026 versus $65.4B in FY2022, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was $13.9B in FY2026, compounding +1.8%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥53.19 | ¥25.94 | -51% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,933 | ₹989.50 | -49% |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹7,316 | ₹1,943 | -73% |
| Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM | ₹4,763 | ₹1,329 | -72% |
| PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 | 1,285 TWD | 221.01 TWD | -83% |
| Cipla Limited CIPLA | ₹1,439 | ₹1,001 | -30% |
| Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE | ₹1,151 | ₹703.32 | -39% |
| Lupin Limited LUPIN | ₹2,443 | ₹2,477 | +1% |
| Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND | ₹2,484 | ₹983.11 | -60% |
| Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY | ₹1,211 | ₹874.79 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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