Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Logistics Development Group PLC £0.28, price £0.20, upside +38.7%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.0965 – £0.2000 · fair‑value band £0.2774 – £0.3490 · the £0.2000 price screens below the £0.2774 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Logistics Development Group plc operates as an investment company. The company invests in a portfolio of assets. Logistics Development Group plc was incorporated in 2014 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG) currently trades at £0.2000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.2774, implying the stock looks roughly 27.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £1.76 per share, and 10 of the 11 models we run sit above the £0.2000 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.1800, and 1 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.2774 (bear) to £0.3490 (bull), the price of £0.2000 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Logistics Development Group PLC reported revenue of £428K in FY2025 versus £0 in FY2021. Reported net income was £15.1M in FY2025, compounding −50.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 89.6M GBX · P/E ratio 6.7 · EPS (TTM) £0.0300 · Return on equity 13.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −11.1% · EPS growth (YoY) −95.1% · Free cash flow −2.1M GBX · Net cash 2.2M GBX.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 39%, LDG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.2774Fair Value £0.2774Bull £0.3490
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0247 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.41/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−66.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.2%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−45.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +31.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+31.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−37.9% vs 4.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3% → 3,510%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 50.9%/yr over ~9Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 93% above its own trend.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Logistics Development Group PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LDG
Frequently asked questions
Is Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.2774 versus a price of £0.2000, about +39% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LDG?
Our model-based fair value for Logistics Development Group PLC is £0.2774 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.2000.
What is the quality score of LDG?
Logistics Development Group PLC has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.2774 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.2774, optimistic scenario £0.3490. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Logistics Development Group PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.2774, about +39% upside versus a price of £0.2000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.2774, optimistic scenario £0.3490. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Logistics Development Group PLC it is £0.2774 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of £0.2000. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Logistics Development Group PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LDG trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.2000, fair value £0.2774, a gap of about +39% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LDG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.2000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.2774). For Logistics Development Group PLC the two are £0.0774 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Logistics Development Group PLC worth?
The market values Logistics Development Group PLC at about 89.6M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is £0.2000; our models calculate a fair value of £0.2774 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LDG?
Our models span a range for Logistics Development Group PLC: cautious scenario £0.2774, base £0.2774, optimistic £0.3490 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price £0.2000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LDG?
Logistics Development Group PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £0.2774 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, EV/EBITDA 11.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Logistics Development Group PLC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.3%, debt of 1.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LDG from its 52-week high?
Logistics Development Group PLC trades at £0.2000, at its 52-week high of £0.2000 and 45% above the low of £0.1375 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.2774 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Logistics Development Group PLC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Logistics Development Group PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price £0.2000, calculated fair value £0.2774 (+39%), Quality Score 51/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LDG calculated?
We run Logistics Development Group PLC through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.2774, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Logistics Development Group PLC currently trades 39 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was £0.2000. Our model-based fair value is £0.2774, about +39% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Logistics Development Group PLC right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (£0.2774). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Logistics Development Group PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG)?
The market capitalisation of Logistics Development Group PLC is 89.6M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG)?
Earnings per share at Logistics Development Group PLC are £0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Logistics Development Group PLC is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Logistics Development Group PLC is −11.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast are earnings growing at Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG)?
Earnings per share at Logistics Development Group PLC are growing −95.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG) generate?
The free cash flow of Logistics Development Group PLC is −2.1M GBX (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Logistics Development Group PLC (LDG) hold?
Logistics Development Group PLC holds more cash than debt, 2.2M GBX net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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