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Liberty Financial Group (LFG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · AU · Market cap A$1.0B

LF Liberty Financial Group LFG · AU
PriceA$3.26
Fair ValueA$5.74
Upside+76.1%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 23.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
8.46% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range A$4.30 – A$7.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −4.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 76% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$4.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$4.67 A$2.18 Fair Value A$5.74 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$2.18 – A$4.67 · fair‑value band A$4.30 – A$7.17 · the A$3.26 price screens below the A$5.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Liberty Financial Group (LFG) currently trades at A$3.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$5.74, implying the stock looks roughly 76.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Liberty Financial Group generated revenue of A$611M at a net margin of 23.7%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.1%. Net debt stands at A$13.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$4.30 (bear case) to A$7.17 (bull case); at A$3.26, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 76%, LFG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income A$3.39 A$3.75 A$4.92 76
Gordon GGM A$2.33 A$4.20 A$5.79 70
P/E Multiple A$4.30 A$5.74 A$7.17 63
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$3.00 A$12.65 A$17.26 54
Lynch FV A$3.22 A$4.59 A$5.97 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$2.33 A$4.20 A$5.79 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$2.33 A$3.84 A$4.49 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$4.30 A$5.74 A$7.17 63
P/B Multiple A$4.14 A$5.52 A$6.90 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$1.97 A$2.64 A$3.94 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$3.39 A$3.75 A$4.92 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (A$5.52) versus Asset-Based (A$2.64). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$611M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.1%
Net margin 23.7%
Return on equity 12.1%
Free cash flow A$116M FY2024
P/E ratio 6.7
More key figures
Operating margin 29.4%
EPS (TTM) A$0.4700
Dividend yield 8.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +16.3%
Net debt A$13.8B FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Liberty Financial Group Limited engages in providing loan finance services in Australia. The company provides home and investment home loans, car and caravan loans, and personal loans, such as secured and unsecured personal loans, holiday loans, wedding loans, medical loans, debt consolidation loans, home renovation loans, and boat finance.

Full company description

Liberty Financial Group Limited engages in providing loan finance services in Australia. The company provides home and investment home loans, car and caravan loans, and personal loans, such as secured and unsecured personal loans, holiday loans, wedding loans, medical loans, debt consolidation loans, home renovation loans, and boat finance. It also offers business loans, including secured business loans, low-doc business loans, flexible business loans, and business lines of credit; commercial property loans; and residential and commercial self-managed super funds. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Melbourne, Australia. Liberty Financial Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Vesta Funding BV.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Liberty Financial Group reported revenue of A$605M in FY2024 versus A$853M in FY2020, a compound −8.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$134M in FY2024, compounding −7.9%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
A$605M
Latest YoY
−58.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+14.7%
Revenue −8.2%/yr
FY20 A$853M
FY21 A$869M
FY22 A$1.2B
FY23 A$1.5B
FY24 A$605M
Net income −7.9%/yr
FY20 A$186M
FY21 A$220M
FY22 A$182M
FY23 A$116M
FY24 A$134M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Liberty Financial Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LFG

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +76% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 24% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 8.23× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.60× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.17× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 35
FUTURE 11 · sector 39
PAST 48 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Liberty Financial Group (LFG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$5.74 versus a price of A$3.26, about +76% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LFG?
Our model-based fair value for Liberty Financial Group is A$5.74 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$3.26.
What is the quality score of LFG?
Liberty Financial Group has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Liberty Financial Group (LFG)?
Liberty Financial Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$611M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LFG?
The net profit margin of Liberty Financial Group is about 23.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Liberty Financial Group pay a dividend?
Liberty Financial Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.89% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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